A week ago the Canes pulled off a 5-3 win over the Blue Jackets in an exciting game. The game was the second straight win for the Canes and it helped propel the Canes to winning all four home-games in just over a week. The great play at home has led to a significant rise in the standings for the Canes and by the end of tonight they could potentially be in the final wildcard spot.
Sitting one point behind the Flyers with three games in hand tonight should provide the Canes with plenty of motivation. The Canes continue to play very good offensively, however, they haven’t done the best job of preventing defensive breakdowns. The most impressive part of the last four wins is that the Canes surrendered the first goal and still won.
I have been very impressed with how hard this team battles through adversity. Despite giving up the first goal in all four of their wins, the team rebounded very well and ended up dominating the second periods. The second period has been very fruitful for the Canes offensively too—in the past four games, they have outscored opponents 11-4.
The other aspect that has been refreshing is the fact that the team is winning games in the third period. In those past four games, the Canes were either tied or winning by one goal and found ways to close out the games. Previously, the Canes were last in the league with their win percentage when leading after two periods.
It has been very nice to see that the Canes are learning how to win these games—hopefully, now that they are learning, they can improve on the road as they are 6-11-6. Three of the next four games are on the road and the Canes will see the Blue Jackets twice, Washington and the Penguins at home. This next stretch of four games will really define the direction of the season and could help solidify their lead on the final wildcard position too.
Overall, the Canes have seen all four of their forward lines begin to make contributions and improve. A testament to this was the fact that Brock McGinn won the NHL Third Star of the Week—he had a very impressive week with seven points (4g, 3a). He was very central in leading the Canes in the second period of their comeback against the Islanders, as he made some excellent passes that resulted in goals.
The one question for tonight surrounds the availability of Hainsey. He did not join the Canes for their morning skate and Coach Peters said that he will be a gametime decision. If he isn’t available to play tonight, Dahlbeck will take his spot for the evening. This could present a challenge for the Canes defensively, as the Blue Jackets are a very gifted offensive team.
One aspect that will be huge tonight for the Canes to come out victorious will be special teams again. In the previous game, the Canes killed four penalties and kept the Blue Jackets PP off the board. It was a very impressive performance for them, especially given the Blue Jackets PP is first in the NHL converting 26% of their opportunities. Hopefully, the Canes don’t give the Blue Jackets PP much time and are disciplined tonight, as they are the least penalized team in the NHL.
The Canes benefited in the last game because the Blue Jackets starting goalie, Sergei Bobrovsky had the flu. It has yet to be announced if he will be starting tonight, but I would be surprised if he wasn’t. In the previous game, the Canes took on Anton Forsberg, who let in some stoppable goals. If Bobrovsky doesn’t start tonight, the Canes would get to face off against Joonas Korpisalo.
Cam Ward will be back in net for the Canes which shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone. Tonight will mark his 20th straight start and it doesn’t appear that Coach Peters will give him a night off until after the All-Star Break. While Ward has been statistically very sound at home, he is much more vulnerable on the road; he is 5-9-5 with a 2.51 GAA and .906 SV% this season.
There has been a noticeable difference in his play from November until this point in January. While he is still making some great saves, he is also allowing a few soft goals. However, I think that much of his statistical decline is a result of the Canes making more defensive breakdowns. While they do a good job most of the game, when the team does make a mistake, it tends to be relatively significant and puts Ward in a very tough position to make a save.
Another concern for me is the first and last two minutes of each period. The Canes had issues with starting their periods strong and finishing them earlier this season—this appears to be creeping back. Three of the four Islanders goals were either in the first two minutes. The other goal was scored four minutes into the first period-not much better. Hopefully, the Canes can do a better job early and late in the periods tonight.
The Canes appear to be catching the Blue Jackets at the right time, as they are nowhere near as hot as they once were during their 16-game winning streak. Since the Capitals broke their winning streak, they are 2-4-0 and have looked beatable. It would be great for the Canes to notch another win over the Blue Jackets and climb into 8th in the East tonight.
Puck drop is at 7:00 (EST) and can be found on FSCR and FSOH. Go Canes!
Canes lines for tonight:
Skinner-Rask-Ryan
McGinn-Staal-Lindholm
Aho-Teravainen-Stempniak
Nordstrom-McClement-Stalberg
Dahlbeck-Faulk
Slavin-Pesce
Hanifin-Tennyson
Ward
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