Center for American Studies: sectarian tension in Iraq was going to explode and that extends to the

Center for American Studies: sectarian tension in Iraq was going to explode and that extends to the rest of the region 


19-10-2014 12:47 AM



Warns of escalating sectarian tension witnessed in the Middle East, and in light of the continued deterioration of security in some of its countries, a radical change in the form of their political map, which may affect the economic conditions of their countries in the next few years, according to a recent study.

The study published by the Center 'Atlantic Counsel' for Strategic Studies in Washington, Saturday, that the 'sectarian tension, especially in Iraq, will escalate and will expand to the rest of the Middle East'. The study pointed out that 'the pace of sectarian violence will continue to several generations, similar to what happened in the period after the First World War in Europe, may require about ten years so that the region enjoyed relative calm'.
The researcher believes in strategic affairs, Matthew Burrows, that 'at best, and in the case did not arise sectarian conflict on a large scale, will see the Middle East region controlled by authoritarian regimes of a new type, does not come as a result of sectarian conflicts, and similar to what is expected to happen in Egypt '.
And about the implications of what is known as the Arab Spring, the study suggests that "contrary to popular belief, due to the escalation of violence and bloody conflict, will lead the Arab Spring peoples of the region to accept to live in an atmosphere and practices of non-democratic, because the consequences of sectarian violence, will force the peoples of the region to give the option of security and stability Priority '.
Economically, and in the devastation of sectarian conflict, and predicted expansion of the control of authoritarian rule in the region, it may become difficult to carry out radical economic reforms. And is expected to lead to the difficulty of direct improvement of other sectors, are directly affected by variables economic sector, despite the urgent need to conduct such reforms in the next stage, according to the study.
The file Iranian nuclear program one of the most important issues that the study suggests that it will have a direct bearing on the development of the region in the next phase. A likely scenario, is to reach a solution that satisfies all parties, it may reduce the Sunni-Shiite tensions, and living a relatively quiet area.
The study attributes Tehran's quest to reach states with 5 +1 to resolve the nuclear issue, to the urgent need for the development of the sectors of the energy industry has, and other important industries in Iran.


In the same context, Bowers says that 'the economic embargo imposed on Tehran, recent pay to sit at the table of dialogue'. He adds that 'the use of the carrot and the stick, proved to be an effective means to force Iran to stop its support for terrorist groups, extremist'.

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