Market Talk – December 22nd, 2015
Posted on December 22, 2015 by Martin Armstrong
Asia returned a quiet lacklustre day’s trading Tuesday with Toshiba alone claiming the reason the whole market had edged lower. The stock sank an additional 12.3%, extending Mondays 9.8% decline, having stated it is expected to post a 550Bln Yen loss ($4.54Bln) for the fiscal year. In Shanghai and Hong Kong we saw marginal gains of around 0.25% each.
Europe ended a quiet day mixed (DAX -0.1%; CAC +0.05% and FTSE +0.8%) as Oil continues to drift lower. The lower/slower market momentum was blamed yet again on the decline in Brent and the much discussed glut in storage. Interestingly the spread between WTI and Brent has tightened yet again as delivery costs retreat into insignificance when absolute prices are so low.
As the US markets opened the drift of money continues to flow towards the USD resulting in strong performance across all US Indices. The DOW closed up +165 points (+0.96%), the S+P up 18 points (+0.88%) and finally the NASDAQ closed +32 points (+0.65%). The USD saw a strong performance against GBP today gaining around (0.5%) to push Sterling below 1.4800 at one stage in the day.
We have finally seen the last big data point for the year (US GDP) earlier today and despite a 2% print (against a forecast of 1.9%) this failed to alter any markets course and so we finally wind-down for Christmas.
Gold has drifted a little in late trading (currently down $8) at $1072 and the US Treasury market has drifted also. Last I saw US 10’s trading at 2.23% (+4BP) whilst 10yr Germany was last seen at 0.60% which closes the spread this evening at +163BP.
Into year end it is worth watching the spread between US/Germany in the Bond market, keep an eye on the WTI/Brent spread also and finally the US Dollar itself. The DXY closed this evening marginally lower at 98.20 (-0.15%).
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