US intelligence: «Daesh» weakened after a series of defeats
[rtl] WJ Hanegan and Brian Bennett translation - Anis al - Saffar
Pentagon agencies and US intelligence regarded organization «Daesh» as a military power increasingly shrinking and vulnerable and run-down in morale, a sharp turn hit the one that seemed to look invincible army of extremists is difficult to fend them off, which announced a successor before Centen.aota this assessment in the wake of a series victories sudden quick, relatively Alladmoah, achieved during this summer near the Syrian border with Turkey and in the heart of Iraq's western regions, namely Alrqatan which was «Daesh» look like two entrenched and fully prepared.
Rapid recovery has helped during this week to the city of Carchemish, which was thelast stronghold of the terrorists near the Turkish border, to cut off the border area , which was of vital importance to move volunteers and supplies and funds access to itscongregation areas in and out of them.
Also was the latest battle reveal that these terrorists have not It is their determination to fight or to stick to any particular areas determined attack. It is stated in the reports that the fighters and only one had been killed during the attack , which led the Turkish tanks and it seems that hundreds of others have fled.
Partly as a result of this , US officials hint that the attack on the city of Mosul, the long -delayed, you may launch during the autumn. This is the city of today nearly one million people being isolated, increasingly, by advanced Iraqi and Kurdish ground forces.
Says «Michael Knights Michael Knights» from the Institute for Near East Policy in Washington: the restoration of Mosul and the towns of Deir al - Zor and Raqqa Alsorretan will put endpoint to succeed «Daesh ».
spends Knights noting:« while these cities will not fall remains «Daesh» more than aterrorist organization is no different from any other terrorist organization. They may still have the ability to detonate a car here and there in other urban centers or carry outattacks with small arms sometimes, but they will no longer be able to engage in thegreat battles approach daily. Ie , we will return to where we were in 2013. »
However, most experts, including US intelligence officials, warn that the ability of « Daesh »incitement to carry out systematic attacks abroad may not be halted, but maybe it will represent the biggest threat , while not able to foreign sympathizers of access to the land of «succession» excised.
confirmed this view «Nicholas Rasmussen Nicholas Rasmussen« head of the National counterterrorism Center in his face to the National security Commission of the House ofRepresentatives recently when he said: «despite all the progress we believe that thegroup 's ability to implementation of the terrorist attacks may not be overwhelmed by little to yet.
warns an official at the Ministry of defense did not want to be named because he wasnot licensed to him talk in this regard: «I do not think that we will never eliminate the ability to guess and incitement to carry out attacks abroad just because they lost Earth.They will continue to work, but in the shade, and will cause problems. »
Some experts warn that these terrorists, like other rebel movements, maybe they were fleeing from the fighting today to fight the fight again at another time and place of their choosing. Or they may send to other sites or use Ktefjarien bombers.
Says the latest estimates of US intelligence that the force that can group mobilized now does not exceed 16 thousand fighters, and this is half the size of its army a year from now or so before, but this force remains the same effect.
However, officials Americans point to achieve undeniable progress in two years have seen more than 14 thousand air strike since the first thing President Obama launching strikes against targets «Daesh» campaign.
in a video conference from Baghdad team «Sean Mkavarln Sean MacFarland» thecommander of US forces against said « Daesh »:« the preparation of its fighters on thefront lines have diminished, which is not diminished in size only , but also in terms ofgenre. »he Mkavarln:« I know is that the more we Qsdnahm in place and we found it easier and easier than it was a year ago. The enemy is no longer are willing to constancy and steadfastness in battle. »He cites the example of this , he says that after the restoration of Iraqi forces, backed by the United States, the city of Fallujah, a pivotal city in the month of June , the terrorists fled from the former stronghold in a large convoy was soon planes Alliance being spotted quickly and destroyed it .
goes Mkavarln says: «seemed to have made themselves easy targets for us, I do not think they would fall in such a mistake before a year or two.»
each new defeat adds pressure on the terrorists because they cut their lines that they use to transport arms and equipment and supplies. This has implications for the leadership and cohesion of units and efficiency. »
Before Mkavarln Msttrda:« now become for them to go out to great distances across thedesert in order to bring those who replace those who are killed near Ramadi or modern or elsewhere is similar, and there is the possibility of a good that we spotted up in this case , prior to their arrival to their target distance away. »
in addition to exit the towns Jarablos and Manbej in northern Syria from their hand defeated the terrorists also this month in Khalidiya and Qayyarah western Iraq, and before that they had come out of the Heat and wet.
also, the operations« Daesh »outside these areas under blockade. Battles have erupted in Sirte since mid-May and remained burning until last week, and is a stronghold of Sirte strong group on the Libyan coast. US air strikes and raids British special forces Libyan government forces finally restore the city debilitating helped.
Community Branch also lost in Nigeria called Boko Haram, held territory in front of thegovernment forces attack, and me «Daesh» branch in Egypt 's Sinai Peninsula and in theeastern regions of Afghanistan defeats visits.
«Seth Jones , Seth Jones» says a former official was working in the US anti - terrorism agencies: «evidence suggests now everywhere to the existence of a breakdown in control on the ground. It seems that the group has lost its momentum and push on anumber of fronts. Its capacity has been affected on the recruitment and fund - raising , it has lost its claim that it is important to win and expanding ». * Los Angeles Times[/rtl]