Analysts: Daesh leaders evade .. admit defeat and the collapse of the "Caliphate" imminent
Baghdad / translation
She Konfdenseal newspaper that part of the speech, the former spokesman organization Abu Mohammad al-Adnani, during the month of Ramadan, he drew the attention of observers.
it says on the tongue Aladnana that "has defeated organize Daesh when he lost the cities of Iraq, and remained his followers in the desert without cities or land. Did we will defeat again and you're making a victory to restore Mosul or Sirte or tenderness, or even all the cities? of course not! "
it should be noted here that this recall is not due to the events of the loss of Fallujah or Ramadi and restored by the Iraqi army and militias allied with him, but due to the events experienced by the organization in 2008, when Iraqi tribes expelled so- called "regulation Daesh in Iraq."
she said the Spanish newspaper that this loss is one of the worst moments of regulation, but was able toorganize reorganize their ranks and take advantage of the chaos in Iraq and the war in Syria, to announce succession. the
newspaper reported that in that speech , a tacit acknowledgment that the organization is going through adifficult phase and is facing a dramatic situation, especially after his removal from Sirte , Libya, and prepare for an attack on Iraq 's Mosul and the Syrian and tenderness. In addition to a number of these losses, the killing Aladnana , which caused a great void in the organization.
The paper says that those responsible for the propaganda machine in the organization to realize that a large part of his popularity stems from his aura of invincibility, no choice but to start preparing the followers of theorganization to the loss of territory , which is, apparently, inevitable. In this purpose , the deployment of theorganization Daesh an article in an editorial in its report, titled "illusions of the Crusaders in the era of theCaliphate."
The paper pointed out that the organization 's leaders have tried, in videos released in recent weeks toconvince their followers that the difficulties they face are testing God, namely , it is a test of the degree offaith of the followers of the organization Daesh. Leaders appealed to their followers and to be patient and show the strength of their faith.
Moreover, the organization sent similar messages these days on social networking sites, the space in which the raging debate between supporters of the organization and intensifies increasingly in this period. The positions of pro - ranged to organize Daesh between despair and appeal that the organization went through similar situations and was able to recover.
The newspaper added that several indicators says the "caliphate" on the verge of collapse, it is a grave mistake to expect anything other than a defeat for the organization Daesh. In addition to the loss of land, theorganization is facing financial difficulties forced him to reduce elements of wages in half, along with failure tomeet payment of grants to the families of the dead from the elements.
The newspaper quoted Adam Szubin, deputy in charge of financial intelligence adviser and secretary for terrorism at the US Department of the Treasury, that "we received Information within this year, that al Daesh fails to pay compensation for the killing of its elements. "
so the paper quoted Renad Mansour, an analyst at the Carnegie Middle East Center, said that" the most important question is can you keep organizing Daesh alive in the event of loss each territory , which acquired them? it is certain that if this loss occurs, the organization will not remain the same and will lose the current imbued. "
Mansour added , " We have seen withdrawals in Fallujah and other places. they know that it is possible to lose territory, but the loss of capitals the road link between Iraq and Syria would be more dangerous. "
she said the Spanish newspaper that many experts gather around that whenever there has been an erosion more of the capabilities of state regulation, the more sought refuge in the organization to launch operations in other countries.
Mansour, believes that" the organization will be forced to adopt such tactics , to show he is active in theinternational field, which is what really draws the attention of many, "adding that" when the retrieval of Mosul and tenderness, would be forced to organize the elements of the organization to the immigration waiting for anew opportunity to fill any power vacuum. " In all cases, the organization Daesh as we know it today, would disappear from existence.