September 25, 2016
With continued uncertainty in global markets, today the man who has become legendary for his predictions on QE, historic moves in currencies, and major global events, told King World News this is the most dangerous time ever, with the world financial system now at the edge of a black hole.
The Most Dangerous Time Ever
World Economy Now At The Most Dangerous PointEgon von Greyerz: “The world economy is now at its most dangerous point in history. In virtually every major country or region, there are problems of a magnitude which individually could trigger a collapse of the financial system. Because of the interconnectivity of the financial system, when the first domino starts falling, there is no possibility to stop all the other unstable dominos from crashing one after the other in quick succession…
Continue reading the Egon von Greyerz interview below…
In Volatile Markets, Is Wealth Preservation King?
In a King World News interview I spoke with the man who predicted the Swiss National Bank would experience staggering losses and that the Fed would also experience massive losses that will destabilize the global financial system! His company is the only one in the world offering a precious metals investment service outside the banking system, with direct ownership and full control by the investor. He has also become legendary for his predictions on QE, historic moves in currencies, and major global events. To find out what he and his company can do to help answer that age old question for you CLICK HERE.
Egon von Greyerz continues: “The world is now staring down a deflationary black hole that is on the verge of sucking into it all global debt of $250 trillion plus unfunded liabilities and derivatives of another $2 quadrillion or so. That would be the end of the financial system as we know it. Governments and central bankers around the world are of course totally aware of this and are standing with their fingers ready to push the button for the biggest money printing bonanza that the world has ever experienced.
Massive Global Debt Bubble
Look at Europe – Deutsche Bank, which is one of the biggest in the world, is valued at 1% of its asset value and it has derivatives which are standing at 20x German GDP. The share price is telling us that Deutsche Bank is bust. And so are Greek banks, Italian, Spanish, Portuguese, French banks, etc.
ECB money printing of €80 billion a month or €1 trillion per year is having no effect. Central banks are now pushing on a string. The bail out of Italy’s fourth largest bank, Monte dei Paschi, is failing. Germany is totally against the ECB stepping in, and the Italian government doesn’t want to bail-in the depositors. That would be a political disaster. Non-performing loans in Italy are 20% of assets and growing. It confirms my view that no debts, bank or sovereign, will ever be repaid.
Trouble In Japan…
The news from around the world is just getting worse by the day. Japan’s 80 trillion yen ($.8 trillion) printing program is having no effect. Bank of Japan Governor (Kamikaze) Kuroda is totally lost. He is currently buying all the bonds that the Bank of Japan is issuing. The BoJ is a top 10 shareholder in 90% of Japanese stocks. So not only is the BoJ holding Japanese bonds that they can never repay, but they are desperately trying to support the Japanese stock market. Just as the bonds will become worthless, they are likely to lose at least 90% on their stock holdings. The balance sheet of the BoJ is now approaching 0.5 quadrillion yen ($5 trillion) which makes them the biggest money printer in the world. But it won’t stop there. Kuroda’s latest folly is to hold the 10-year bond interest rate at 0% for an undetermined period. As investors start dumping Japanese bonds, the BoJ will need to print unlimited amounts of yen and increase debt exponentially to keep rates at zero. This is a policy which is guaranteed to fail.
The debt explosion in emerging markets has created a disastrous situation for many countries. Corporate debt in these markets has grown massively in the last ten years and is now standing at $25 trillion. Without continued growth of exports and higher commodity prices, these countries will go into a deflationary spiral. According to the Bank for International Settlements, the Debt/GDP ratio in China is 3x greater than what the BIS calls a dangerous level. The growth of Chinese debt from $2 trillion to $32 trillion in this century has probably created the credit bubble of all bubbles. A lot of this money has gone to big infrastructure projects that have zero value and yield no return. Bad debts in China are estimated at $2 trillion but are probably considerably higher.
And The U.S.
In the US, corporate debt has grown from $2 trillion to $6 trillion in the last 10 years. A lot of this debt has been used for share buybacks and have thus not created any economic value except for a few shareholders and executives. And US Federal debt will have doubled from $10 trillion to $20 trillion during Obama’s presidency. This is an absolutely remarkable and unacceptable increase, and a clear sign of a country on the road to bankruptcy. No country that runs real budget deficits every year for 55 years has any chance of survival. The only reason the US economy hasn’t collapsed yet is that the dollar is still the reserve currency of the world. But the dollar doesn’t deserve to be a reserve currency. Against the Swiss Franc for example, the dollar is down 77% since 1971. And against gold, history’s only surviving currency, the dollar is down 97% since 1971. It is only a matter of time before the dollar starts its final journey to its intrinsic value of zero and so will many other currencies.
World Financial System At The Edge Of A Black Hole
Thus we are standing on the edge of a black hole that could very easily cause a deflationary implosion of all financial assets and all debt. No government is talking about this and no central banker dares to mention the seriousness of the present situation. There is only the smallest final snowflake that can push the world over the edge and start the deflationary avalanche. It is really surprising that central banks dare to hold back on the biggest printing program ever for so long. Because they only need to be a few seconds late and they will not be able to stop the collapse.
Let’s assume that a miracle happens and central banks will intervene in time and print tens of trillions of and eventually hundreds or even quadrillions of dollars, euros, yen etc. We will then see a hyperinflationary period which will be bigger than both the Weimar Republic or Zimbabwe for the simple reason that the figures involved now are much greater.
But we know of course that we cannot create wealth by printing worthless pieces of paper or creating zeros in a computer. So sadly, the world will not be saved by this money printing which will only create more debt. It is of course impossible to solve a problem by the same means that caused it in the first place.
Hyperinflation Followed By A Deflationary Collapse
After the hyperinflation, which will have solved nothing but instead created an even bigger problem, we will still see a deflationary collapse. This will be absolutely necessary to get rid of all the debt and the bubble assets. It will be like a forest fire that will get rid of all the dead wood and create the foundation for new, strong growth not lumbered by debt. This is the only way that the world can progress and grow, totally free from debt, decadence, and the all the false values that the current era has created.
It will not be easy to protect yourself against the coming upheaval. It is likely to involve social unrest, wars, famine, disease and massive suffering for most people. During this period of transition, money will be needed as a method of payment or for barter. Throughout periods of crisis, whether inflationary or deflationary, gold has always functioned as money. During the hyperinflationary period, gold will reflect the destruction of paper money and appreciate substantially both in inflationary terms as well as in real terms.
The All-Important Flight To Safety
What most people don’t realize is that gold also does very well in deflationary times. If we get the deflationary implosion that I have discussed above, there will be no financial system for a while and gold will be one of the few methods of payments. This is why gold will also be excellent
protection in a deflationary period, although the nominal value will be much lower than in a hyperinflationary period.
Thus, with the current unprecedented risk in the financial system and the world economy, physical gold, and some silver, will be the best insurance and protection that anyone can hold.”