Analysts: Daesh would use tribal alliances to stay in the pockets between Iraq and Syria translation: Range
If it is able to military attacks from the expulsion of a group of Daesh strongholds in Syria and Iraq, the military leaders and analysts say the Kurds are likely to establish extremists bases in rural areas to continue their terrorism.
He says Radwan Badini, a professor of political science at the University of Salahaddin in Erbil, "When you run out Daesh fighters Options, and this will soon get, they will exert more violence in areas outside their control, where they will continue to impose their influence in the rural provinces in Syria and Iraq, and will try to use these areas as centers of operations to launch attacks. "
Since 2014, Iraq used the Daesh group and Syria as centers for the establishment and expansion of so-called succession in order to change the map of these two countries destroyed by war.
Parties fighting Daesh - including international coalition government and local forces - made the group reeling and managed to regain control over parts of Iraq and Syria are slow.
In this context, Anthony Pellnkn, Deputy US Secretary of State said during a congressional hearing, "We have our inventory Daesh of about 25% of the territory it controlled in Syria, more than 50% of them in Iraq."
In Anbar province of western Iraq, the group suffered from Andharat series over the past months, and in the north the Group to strengthen its stronghold in Mosul and plans to repel a major attack of Iraqi forces to restore the city.
Analysts say the loss of the conductor Daesh S_it extremists across the desert region often.
Says Khalid Okasha, director of the National Center for Security Studies in Cairo, said the "liberation of Mosul would stop the expansion of a group Daesh in Iraq and guarantee the demise of the so-called succession gradually."
Others say it is a threat will remain in Iraq even after the loss of Mosul. Fdaash backed by some Sunni tribes in Anbar, according to the military strategic Aras Dzia of Arbil, which says "will remain Daesh pose a threat as long as they enjoy popular support in these areas."
Some Sunni tribes and resent the government in Baghdad, and some see in Daesh alternative power group, while others benefit from working with them through the smuggling of oil and goods from the areas it controls.
He says Dzia "Daesh will continue cooperation with the tribes because it gives legitimacy among the people and some sort of military alliance."
He adds that it is difficult to eliminate the influence because its members are scattered among the population and from there they can use the old tactics, "they know they will lose areas at any moment, and they have trained a lot of suicide bombers - especially children - to carry out attacks."
It is probable that extends Daesh influence in the Sunni areas to Syria, says one of the leaders of the Peshmerga forces near Mosul "Daesh fighters have a lot of strong enclaves along the Iraqi-Syrian border and is likely to be stationed in those areas after being driven from Mosul."
But who will lead Daesh in Iraq and Syria in the future. Months ago, the US military targeting leaders Daesh, where he killed 13 of them in Mosul during the month of September is likely that the group is losing a lot of them in the battle of Mosul.
He says analyst Akasha "Daesh most of the leaders who were targeted by US air strikes, they have the skills not owned by alternates, but that does not mean it is completely weakened."http://almadapaper.net/ar/news/517827/%D9%85%D8%AD%D9%84%D9%84%D9%88%D9%86-%D8%AF%D8%A7%D8%B9%D8%B4-%D8%B3%D9%8A%D8%B3%D8%AA%D8%BA%D9%84-%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%81%D8%A7%D8%AA%D9%87-%D8%A7%D9%84%D8%B9%D8%B4%D8%A7%D8%A6%D8%B1%D9%8A%D8%A9-%D9%84%D9%84