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Global energy between «great transformation» and possible scenarios
23/10/2016 0:00
[rtl]Rob Davies translation / Linda Adoor
predicted World Energy Council, in a report on scenarios projected for the consumption of the world 's energy, increasing energy demand per capita , which will be the highest level in 2030 , attributing the cause to modern technology and to follow government policies more stringent, noting that energy companies and institutions the public sector will be a whole new world to the power industry dubbed «great transformation».
he predicted the report, which was launched ahead of «global energy Conference» which was held in Istanbul, Turkey , for the period from 9-13 of October now, that energy demand per capita , including fuel rate transport, heating and electricity will start todecline after 2030 says good Davis, CEO of the expected scenarios in the World energy Council »historically, the talk of peak oil demand , but today, with the destructive trends, leading energy experts to taking into account the implications of the growing demand. »
He continued but while low energy demand per capita rate of overall starts, demand for electricity will double by the year 2060, which requires a greater investment in infrastructure in smart systems that will contribute to enhancing the efficiency of energy use. As it is expected to continue the phenomenal growth in the solar and wind energy use and a decline in demand for coal and oil in the energy mix rate.
Power output rate of relying on solar and wind accounted for only 4 percent in 2014 and expects this figure increases to up to 39 percent in year 2060 , accompanied by thegrowth in demand for hydroelectric and nuclear power. But fossil fuels remains thenumber one source of energy , recording a decline of only one percent since 1970 ,when the production of energy from the proportion constituted 86 percent and reached 81 percent in 2014.oda Council three scenarios to evaluate various energy uses The results showed that the fossil fuels It can provide a rate of 50-70 percent of energy by 2060. General the second scenario sees that oil production will peak in 2030 at a rate between 94-103 million barrels per day, while the third scenario went to high oil production rate up to 104 million barrels per day starting from 2040 and for ten years following.
energy Council points out that the shift from the use of fuel cars to cheap electronics such as cars will prove »overcome one of the toughest obstacles» in front of efforts to remove carbon from the energy used globally. As oil comprised 92 percent of vehicle fuel in 2014 and is expected to decrease this ratio to reach 78-60 percent , with thewidespread use of electric vehicles. The
Council warned that maintaining the global warming rates without (2 degrees) requires an exceptional and lasting efforts much more than commitments are already under very high carbon price. Council predicted differing amounts of greenhouse gas emissions ofcarbon dioxide dramatically depending on the efforts to address them through to thereduced rate of up to 61 percent in 2060 year , a slight increase of up to 5 percent.Overall, the report placed on the great transformation depicted low population growth andmodern technology as the root of the biggest environmental challenges and the shift in the economic and geopolitical power. [/rtl]
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