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COMMENT #1: Regarding your post Currency vs Language, I wanted to add that in NY I have an abundance of IT co-workers that are H1-B visas holders working as consultants from India. They are extremely nice and I’ve enjoyed learning about their culture. As I’ve stated before, these consults overwhelmingly supported Hillary Clinton. Some of the consultants were naturalized and voted for Hillary. People from India are social and they often gather and speak among themselves; therefore, as more before naturalized and vote, you can expect more Democrat voters. With regard to language, they’ve confirmed to me that they speak their India state language at home, not English. You are correct, even in NY, “If that subculture then becomes the majority, the culture of the state will change and therein lies the seed …”
COMMENT #2: The Xi Jinping article about the coming new world order, in it you provide a good explanation of why we think linearly and they think cyclically. My explanation lies along the lines of religious background. Even if/when people leave the confines of religion, the subconscious thought remains. I believe that we think linearly because our religion teaches us that things begin and end. They think cyclically because their religion teaches them that things begin and end and then begin again and end again.
COMMENT #3: Hi Martin, I appreciate the work you do and making your blog available for free. I thought you might like to know that Canada is also moving toward a cashless society. Yesterday I went into Scotia Bank and tried to buy foreign currency. I offered them cash and they refused it. They told me that the money had to be paid by cash transfer. Because I didn’t have an account with them I could not buy the foreign currency. The Canadian banking system is primitive compared to New Zealand and Australian banks where I have also lived. Another bank would not allow me transfer money online from my own bank to a relative’s bank account at their bank. I would have to personally go into their bank and only they could request the money for me, and of course, charge me $30!
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/qa/comments-observations-of-readers/
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Reader Comments & Observations-#3 RE CANADA - Sat 14 Jan 2017, 9:10 am
Michelle is Not Going to Like This Announcement - Sat 07 Jan 2017, 9:01 pm
i have a few questions about this. #1 how does one person have that kind of power, to dictate how every child in this country can and cannot eat. #2 since when does the government have the right to dictate what parents want their kids to eat? my wife was a cafeteria manager for a local high school for 5 years, she quit about a month ago. she used to bring dinner home every day from school, of course she paid for it. in all those years i never had but maybe 2 things she brought home that i didn't eat, and that's because i just didn't like it anyway. then , along comes this michelle bi otch and suddenly,it's all inedible. i saw more wasted food than you could imagine and all for nothing except it was sub standard and just slop. thank god almighty it is going away.
Patriots’ opponents: See you in the AFC Championship game - Fri 06 Jan 2017, 8:26 pm
Previewing the Patriots’ competition in the AFC Divisional round - Fri 06 Jan 2017, 8:22 pm
Previewing the Patriots’ competition in the AFC Divisional round
The New England Patriots clinched a first-round bye and home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs this winter with their 35-14 win on the road in Miami on Sunday. As such, they join the Kansas City Chiefs on the sidelines this coming weekend watching the AFC Wild Card round on television.
AROUND COVER32
Power Rankings: Playoff addition
QB Rankings:: Who’s riding highest into the playoffs?
Winners and Losers:: Who came out on top to open up 2017?
Patriots’ News: Congratulations Edelman on accomplishment
Patriots’ News: Pats’ Weekly: A weekend in front of the TV for the Pats
Patriots’ News: Lippett meets Floyd and the Pats
With the seeding set, the #3 seed AFC North champion Pittsburgh Steelers host the #6 seed Miami Dolphins and the #4 seed AFC South champion Houston Texans host the #5 seed Oakland Raiders.
With a rematch of the Dolphins 30-15 win in Week 6, as the highest seed, the Steelers will play Kansas City if they win. If Miami wins, they return to Foxboro to play the Patriots for a third time this season.
Houston (possibly without promoted starter Tom Savage) takes the place of the Indianapolis Colts as the requisite cupcake from the AFC South. However, the Raiders–down to rookie third-string quarterback Connor Cook last week after an injury to back-up Matt McGloin (filling in for starter Derek Carr who broke his leg)–have gone from potential #1 seed to on the road in the first round.
To simplify, the teams are broken into three categories: Likely to play next week (Houston or Oakland), unlikely to play next week (Miami), impossible to play before AFC Championship game (Kansas City and Pittsburgh):
LIKELY TO BE VISITING FOXBORO:
Houston Texans:
The Texans played the Patriots already in 2016 in with a hobbled J.J. Watt right before he ended his season on injured reserve with a back injury. The New England 27-0 thrashing of the Texans in Week 3 on Thursday night dealt Houston their first loss of the season as rookie quarterback Jacoby Brissett won in his first NFL start.
After two decent performances to open the season, Brock Osweiler was exposed before the nation as mediocre. For the season, Osweiler completed just 59% of his passes for 2,957 yards with 15 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. Osweiler is starting by default due to Tom Savage being sidelined by a concussion and Savage may be back if they make it to New England.
In the first game, the Patriots draped cornerback Malcolm Butler over wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins and challenged the Texans to outscore them throwing to tight end Ryan Griffin and wide receiver Will Fuller. The results were as mediocre as expected.
Former Miami Dolphins running back Lamar Miller rushed 21 times for 80 yards but the bend-but-don’t-break defense watched the Texans punt six times, turn the ball over three times and have three drives end on failed fourth-down conversions.
The Texans are an odd playoff team winning the division with a 9-7 record while being outscored by their opponents by 49 points and with the 28th ranked offense. They host the 12-4 Oakland Raiders and their 20th ranked defense. As hard as it is to believe, the Texans could actually pull out a win and travel to New England for the divisional round.
Oakland Raiders:
Oakland was cruising along this season riding the strong arm of quarterback Derek Carr jumping out to an 11-3 record before Carr broke his fibula in Week 16 against Indianapolis. Instead of competing for the number one overall seed, the Raiders dropped their Week 17 game as back-up quarterback Matt McGloin injured his shoulder and gave way to third-string rookie Connor Cook in the loss to Denver.
The loss dropped Oakland out of the bye week and number two seed down to going to Houston as the fifth seed. Cook is expected to start the game at Houston. While not a great option, he is blessed with arguably the NFL’s best pass blocking offensive line in front of him.
The Raiders still have a strong offense with running backs Latavius Murray, DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard leading the NFL’s sixth best rushing offense. The Raiders have dynamic wide receiver Amari Cooper and veteran Michael Crabtree giving them two 1,000 yard receivers.
Defense is the issue in Oakland although they showed improvement in the second half of the season. After getting lit-up by New Orleans and Atlanta in the first two games of the season, they have slowly improved. Outside linebackers Khalil Mack and Bruce Irvin are a dynamic duo of quarterback pressure and have 18 of the team’s 25 sacks.
In the secondary, veteran safety Reggie Nelson leads the team with five interceptions and cornerbacks Sean Smith and David Amerson are a solid duo of starters but the loss of 2013 first-round draft pick cornerback D.J. Hayden to injury this month hurts. Hayden was having his best season after transitioning to the third cornerback role defending in the slot.
Oakland is a flawed team with horrendous injury issues at quarterback. Had Carr stayed healthy, they would likely be joining the Patriots on the bye week. They are the most likely to travel to New England for the Divisional Playoff game as even on the road they should have enough talent on both sides of the ball to beat the Texans.
UNLIKELY…JUST SAW YOU–GO AWAY:
Miami Dolphins:
Does anyone in New England really want to see Miami come back north to Foxboro for the second time this season for another game after the Patriots defeated them with and without Tom Brady? Yes, it is very difficult to beat a team three times in one season but New England outscored them 66 to 38 in two games.
In addition, the Dolphins have to travel to Pittsburgh to face the Steelers. Yes, Miami defeated the Steelers 30-15 in Week 6, but the Steelers’ defense was in a bad place at that time and Roethlisberger was clearly hobbled.
Miami looks a lot like the 2015 New York Jets right now: they are a .500 team who took advantage of an easy schedule this year and pulled out a number of close games. They beat Cleveland in overtime, Buffalo by three points twice (once in overtime), Arizona by three points, the Rams by four points, the Jets by four points and the 49ers by a touchdown. Seven of their ten wins were by seven or less points–games which could have gone either way.
Miami had a lot to play for at home versus New England last week and were dominated early and late with only a brief sign of life around halftime. A playoff team fighting for the fifth seed and a match-up against Houston instead of Pittsburgh showed little fire at home generating just 280 yards of offense and falling behind 20-0 before losing 35-14.
The Dolphins figure to be a longshot to go into Pittsburgh and win.
Oilers a one-man team? As Draisaitl & Sekera's play shows, that's a tall tale - Mon 02 Jan 2017, 2:59 pm
Oilers a one-man team? As Draisaitl & Sekera's play shows, that's a tall tale
The Edmonton Oilers roar into the New Year with two No. 1 centres leading the way, Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid. That’s a luxury few other teams can boast, but it’s fuelled the rise of the Oilers this year, along with a much improved blueline featuring players like Andrej Sekera, Adam Larsson, Kris Russell and Matt Benning. Here the the January 1, 2017 power rankings on the team:
Andrej Sekera, ⇔. Sekera’s underlying scoring chance numbers are far and away the best I’ve ever seen for an Oilers d-man playing tough minutes since I started this project in 2010-11. He’s a big part of the reason this team is winning. Before he missed the last few games with the flu, Sekera was playing like a real live #1 NHL d-man, doing well in all aspects of the game, even strength, power play and short-handed. Sekera had been playing about 24:00 minutes per game and had 11 points in 12 games. Let’s hope his flu isn’t one of those doozies that set you back forever, because his strong play in tough spots was taking the pressure off every other Oiler d-man on the blueline.
Cam Talbot, ⇑2. He plays almost every game, has a .919 save percentage, has won 18 of 34 decisions and rarely lets in a bad goal, the kind that sucks the life out of team.
Patrick Maroon,⇑3. Put him on any line, he hits hard, makes plays and makes those around him better. He’s earned a good, long shot on a line with McDavid, not that Maroon needs it, as he was playing well with others. But it would be swell to find the perfect mix on the Oil’s very top line.
Kris Russell, ⇑9. He skates, he hits, he gambles, he loses some, but he wins most, so much so that cutting edge analytics expert Brad Werenka, a former NHLer, says Russell is “drastically under-rated” and one of the top defensive d-men in the league. We already know what coach Todd McLellan thinks of Russell, as no Oilers players gets more even strength time on ice per game. But this isn’t a hard case like Justin Schultz who got all that ice for years and struggled on a struggling team. Instead Russell is doing fine on a team trending up. Most recently he has performed well enough partnered with young Matt Benning in one of the game’s toughest roles, filling in for sick Sekera as the team’s No 1 d-man. His underlying scoring chances numbers show a solid enough second-pairing d-man, a decent NHLer.
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, ⇑5. At long last McLellan gave RNH the break he needed, taking him off a checking line and putting him with two strong attackers in Draisaitl and Patrick Maroon. Almost instantly RNH has looked like the Nuge of old, fast and tricky on the attack, sharp on defence. It’s clear that RNH is not now and is unlikely to ever be a major offensive driver who can carry a line, but he’s good enough to more than hold his own on a line with other good players. So there he should remain, though that leaves a hole at No. 3 centre for the Oilers.
Adam Larsson,⇓1. As Werenka describes it, on a NHL defensive pairing you will sometimes find a troublemaker and a cleaner, one d-man who makes a lot of mistakes and another d-man charged with trying to clean up those errors. This year the inconsistent Oscar Klefbom has struggled to stop attackers on his side of the ice, so his partner Larsson has been asked to that cleaner-type d-man. Larsson hasn’t always got the job done either. But when Klefbom is on a good run of play, Larsson has looked great. He’s a nasty shut-down guy on his own side of the ice and can move the puck safely, though not spectacularly. As the year has gone along, Larsson’s underlying scoring chance numbers have trended up, something we saw with Sekera and Eric Gryba last year as they settled into their new team.
Milan Lucic,⇓4. He’s meshing well enough with McDavid, been a physical force in some games and showed both skill and toughness on the power play. His best fit, though, might be with Draisaitl, as Looch is a big winger who can go into the corners, win the puck and feed Drai in the slot.
Brandon Davidson, ⇑4. A skilled, tough, smart NHL d-man who only needs a run of good health. He has improved pretty much every game since he got back in the line-up and is close to playing at the high level he did last year when all the underlying numbers including own scoring chances metric saw him having a home-run of a rookie season. If Davidson stays healthy he may find a way to beat the odds again and make himself so valuable that the Oilers find a way to keep in the upcoming Vegas expansion draft.
Matt Benning, ⇓2. It’s not easy when a young d-man is asked to suddenly play tough minutes. Benning has had a few shaky moments since Sekera got sick and he was teamed with Russell, but he’s holding his own. On the third-pairing, the kid has crushed it all year long.
Eric Gryba, no rating. His game blew up good against Vancouver, with major mistakes on both Vancouver goals, but before then Gryba was playing the best hockey of his Oilers career, hitting hard and moving the puck well. As seventh d-men go, it’s hard to beat Gryba.
Mark Letestu,⇓3. He continues to do everything asked of him as a checker and occasional scorer. Might be an idea to call-up gritty Anton Lander and give both him and Matt Hendricks a game off now and then.
Jordan Eberle,⇑4. For a guy getting regular minutes with McDavid, he’s not getting it done. I keep expecting him to break out but something still seems missing. Needs to play with both more gusto and confidence, especially when it comes to taking the puck hard to the net. We’ve seen him make that daring move to the net in the past. Where is it this year? His underlying numbers are OK, but unspectacular for a winger getting so much ice with McD, and they are nothing close to his outstanding metrics last year with McDavid.
Jesse Puljujarvi, ⇑5. He has been used more the last few games and has played with his usual skill and hustle. I don’t see many veteran wingers on the Oilers more deserving of ice-time. If I were King of the Oilers, I’d play him with McDavid for five games. If he doesn’t get it done, and there’s no room for him getting 13 or 14 minutes per game on the third line, then send him to Bakersfield. But Puljujarvi sitting — or dressing and not playing much — is a bad idea, as has been noted by countless Oilers fans by now. It’s one of the top complaints about the team this year from fans.
Zack Kassian, ⇑1. Had a huge moment in a big game, standing up for his linemate Matt Hendricks against Arizona after Oliver Ekman-Larsson violently smashed Hendricks into the boards. Kassian responded instantly, giving Ekman-Larsson as good as he gave. It was the kind of physical pushback Oilers fans have craved to see for years. As a player, Kassian is inconsistent, but often makes a positive difference with his hitting, skating and skill.
Oscar Klefbom,⇓6. It looks like coming back from his injury — and his own learning curve as a young d-man — are presenting some major challenges. This isn’t at all unexpected, of course. It’s the way it goes with young d-men. But Klefbom is nonetheless on a skid and the underlying numbers speak of a need for rapid intervention. In the first 22 games, Klefbom made 13 major contributions to Grade A scoring chances and 25 major mistakes on Grade A scoring chances against, a decent rate for defenceman, given their limited offensive opportunities and major defensive responsibilities. Klef was -12 Grade A scoring chances in those 22 games, not bad for a player facing tough competition regularly. In the past 16 games, however, Klefbom has contributed to just four Grade A chances and made mistakes on 29 against, -25 in that run. Ouch! But nothing a steady diet of softer competition can’t fix. When Sekera returns how about Klefbom and Benning on the third pairing? Sekera and Larasson can handle the tough competition, with Russell and Davidson on the second pairing. Make sense?
Matt Hendricks,⇑6. He’s battled his way back into the affections of the hockey mob. He’s a tough-checking hombre two out of three games, but could use a rest every third game. The will is there, but the wheels aren’t always.
Benoit Pouliot,⇓6. Meh. That said, Pouliot’s awfulness is over-stated. His underlying scoring chance numbers are OK, though they indicate he’s playing more of a perimeter game than last year. If he wants to win his way back into the Top 6, he’s got to play with more intensity, especially when it comes to handing out hard checks.
Drake Caggiula, ⇓1. In the last few games he’s started to flash more of his skill. He also plays with a bit of an edge. Most games, however, he’s struggled to hold his own, though if RNH, Draisaitl and McDavid are all on the top two lines, Caggiula may get an extended run here at 3C. Me, I’d like to see Lander and Jujhar Khaira also given another shot.
Jonas Gustavsson,⇑2. Coach doesn’t much trust Gamblin’ Gus. I suspect he’ll get another chance or two before the Oilers make the change to a different back-up.
INJURED: Tyler Pitlick, Darnell Nurse
Cover32-Dallas Predicts Cowboys-Eagles Week 17 - Sat 31 Dec 2016, 8:47 pm
Cover32-Dallas Predicts Cowboys-Eagles Week 17
Matt Urben (5-3)
This is the kind of game you can throw stats and records out the window. A meaningless NFC East showdown between two teams with deep-rooted hatred for each other. Will the Cowboys even play to win? Will pride kick in for this sub .500 Eagles team because they get a chance to end the season on a high note? It’s anyone’s guess, but I think both teams will find it hard to turn off their competitive juices. Whoever is out there, including possibly even Tony Romo, the Cowboys will fight for. I expect another good game for Eagles QB Carson Wentz but not enough to stop the Cowboys from getting their fourteenth win. Prediction: Cowboys-27-Eagles 24.
Anthony Iosso (6-2)
With the #1 seed in the NFC and home field throughout the playoffs locked up already, the Dallas Cowboys have very little to play for this week as they take on division rival Philadelphia Eagles. Banged up starters such as Tyron Smith, Morris Claiborne and Tank Lawrence will not even suit up for the game while other starters are only expected to see limited action.The real intrigue may come in the form of whether or not we will see Tony Romo take the field for the first time since last Thanksgiving.
Adam Schefter reported yesterday that the Cowboys have planned for #9 to see some game action. While it is tough to judge the motivation factor for both teams leading up to the 1 p.m. kickoff, I still believe Jason Garrett and staff will have the entire Cowboy team prepared and ready to play. Give me Dallas 20-17 with Darren McFadden acting as the catalyst. Prediction: Cowboys-20, Eagles-17.
AROUND COVER32
QB Rankings: Who’s rising as the temperatures are falling?
NFL Mailbag: Out goes Osweiler, in comes Savage
Winners and Losers: Christmas came early for several teams this weekend
Ryan Johnson (5-3)
With the recent news of Tony Romo playing a few series on Sunday, the non-meaningful week 17 just became must-watch for Cowboys Nation. Unfortunately, Romo will be thrown to the wolfs as very few if any starters will be on the field with him. I still expect Mark Sanchez to see the majority of the snaps on Sunday. I expect Dallas to win. Prediction: Cowboys-21, Eagles-17.
Yusuf Nakhooda (8-1)
For the Cowboys regular season finale, this is a meaningless game, but expect the Cowboys to play Dak Prescott, and Ezekiel Elliott maybe for one half, and we should see both Tony Romo, and Mark Sanchez play. The key to stopping the Eagles is Darren Sproles. If the Cowboys can do that they should win even with key starters resting. Prediction: Cowboys-31, Eagles 21
Beware of Bond Funds - Tue 20 Dec 2016, 4:00 pm
QUESTION #1: Dear Mr Armstrong, you recently wrote that if you are in any bond fund, better get out. Do you also mean corporate short-term/medium-term bonds or are those expected to rise when people realise government debt is the real bubble ?
Kind regards.
WL.
QUESTION #2: Mr. Armstrong- I enjoyed my first WEC immensely! In the blog and other place’s you warned that you should get out of bond funds. I understand government bonds of all kinds should be sold including date certain and funds. I am curious though about high-quality corporate bond funds. Should one get out of corporate bond funds and move to individual issues? The funds are easier for a working person of course.
Thank you,
KO
ANSWER: We are entering a phase of rising interest rates, so bond funds will do poorly. We are not yet at a stage where U.S. government bonds would default or be swapped. Therefore, my recommendation has only to do with rising rates. What you should do is stay short-term, like 90-day paper or less, be it corporate or government. This is just an interest rate play moving into 2018.
As we move into 2018, we will look at corporate vs government shift. That will become the play, but that will most likely unfold after we begin to see serious problems with government debt outside the United States. In Japan, the ownership of public debt by the private sector is in freefall. Debt to GDP held by the private sector before Abe came to power was 177%, which had collapsed to 100% in 2012, and has continued to decline to about 75%. The Bank of Japan through its quantitative easing now owns more government debt than the private sector. Japan is in VERY SERIOUS trouble and there is no possible way to reverse this nightmare.
The European Central Bank now holds 15% of Germany’s national debt. The central banks have been running out of positive-yielding safe-haven bonds. Yes, the Federal Reserve holds $2.4 trillion is less than 10%. The volume of repo loans using Treasury debt as collateral has collapsed from $2.6 trillion to about $1.8 trillion according to Barclays.
Despite all the complaints that QE has failed, we must ask how deep deflation would be without it. True, QE has not produced inflation. It has not stimulated the economies of Europe or Japan because the confidence of the people is not there. The central banks are trapped and politicians, not hedge fund managers, run government. These people are ignorant at best if not outright deaf, dumb, and stupid. They cannot see how this system of government borrowing will continue if the public no longer buys their debt.
This is by no means going to end nicely. So keep the power dry. We are in for a real crisis come 2018.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/markets-by-sector/bonds/bonds-funds-beware/
Back-to-Back Arctic Blasts Sending Midwest, Northeast into a Deep Freeze Through the Weekend - Thu 15 Dec 2016, 7:01 pm
Back-to-Back Arctic Blasts Sending Midwest, Northeast into a Deep Freeze Through the Weekend
Chris Dolce
Published: December 15, 2016
A bitter cold arctic air mass has swept through a large swath of the central and eastern states to close out the workweek, sending wind chills into the teens, 20s and 30s below zero in some locations. Extreme cold will continue this weekend as an even more frigid blast of arctic air plunges into the central states on the heels of Winter Storm Decima.
(MORE: Another Winter Storm in the Midwest)
Some locations have seen or could see their coldest December temperatures in several years, and some record lows may be threatened.
(MORE: What the Wind Chill Really Means)
Current Wind Chills
Arctic Cold Round #1: Through Friday
Great Falls, Montana, recorded its tenth straight day in a row with subzero lows on Wednesday morning. That is longest such streak there since February 1996.Thursday morning, subzero low temperatures were recorded as far south as Iowa, northern Illinois and northern Indiana. Winds chills in the 20s and 30s below zero were widespread throughout the Upper Midwest.
Chicago saw its first December subzero low temperature since Dec. 24, 2013. The mercury plunged to minus 20 degrees in Grand Forks, North Dakota, making it the coldest December reading in the city since Dec. 23, 2013.
Current Temperatures
Temperatures held in the 20s on Thursday afternoon along the Interstate 95 corridor from Boston to Washington, D.C. A large number of cities from the interior Northeast to the Great Lakes and Upper Midwest saw afternoon readings in the single digits or teens, including Chicago, Minneapolis and Pittsburgh.
Friday morning looks to be the coldest for many Northeast cities, with lows 15-30 degrees below average. Single digits above and below zero are expected in parts of upstate New York, northern/western Pennsylvania and New England. Wind chills will be in the single digits, teens and even a few 20s below zero across the interior Northeast and New England Friday morning. A few places in northern New England could see wind chills in the 30s below zero.
Forecast Morning Lows
(FORECAST: Bismarck, North Dakota | Chicago | Minneapolis | Boston | New York)
Cold Perspective
- Boston: A low of 8 degrees or colder would be the lowest official December temperature in the city since 2004.
- Pittsburgh: The first single-digit December low temperature since Dec. 31, 2009 (9 degrees), is possible Friday morning.
- Washington, D.C.: A low in the teens Friday morning would be the first time the mercury has dipped below 20 degrees there in December since Dec. 23, 2008.
Arctic Cold Round #2: This Weekend
The second plunge of arctic air will begin seeping south of the Canadian border and into the northern Plains (western Dakotas, Montana) on Friday. That cold air will spread east and south across the Midwest and Plains during the upcoming weekend and into early next week.This weekend's temperatures will be the coldest we've seen so far this month in some locales, and daily record lows may be threatened.
Forecast Highs This Weekend
(MAPS: 10-Day Forecast)
- Lows: Temperatures in the teens and 20s below zero will infiltrate areas from Montana to the Dakotas and the upper Mississippi Valley this weekend. In some locations, this will be 20-45 degrees below mid-December average lows. Single digits below zero may surge into the Front Range of Colorado, Kansas, northern Missouri and northern Illinois on Sunday morning. By Monday morning, lows in the teens and single digits below zero could continue the Great Lakes and upper Mississippi Valley.
- Highs: Afternoon readings may not rise above zero in the northern Plains, upper Midwest and western Great Lakes this weekend, including Minneapolis and Fargo, North Dakota.
- This round of arctic air will move into the Northeast early next week, but it won't be as cold as we will see in the Midwest.
Forecast Low Temperatures Compared to Average Sunday
Cold Perspective For This Weekend
- Chicago: There is a chance that the Windy City may see a subzero high temperature on Sunday. The last high temperature that was below zero there was in January 2014. The last below-zero high temperature there in December was in 1983.
- Bismarck, North Dakota: Saturday's high may be in the teens below zero. The last time they recorded a high in the double digits below zero in December was 2008. They haven't had a high in the teens below zero in any month since January 2010.
- Minneapolis: If the mercury plunges into the 20s below zero, that would be the first time it's happened there in December since 1996. The last 20s below zero in the Twin Cities for any month occurred in January 2014.
Will Any Record Lows Be Set?
Some daily record lows could be approached in the Midwest this weekend into Monday. Below are a few examples with the record to beat for each city on that respective day shown.- Saturday: Bismarck, North Dakota (-27 degrees); Omaha, Nebraska (-9 degrees)
- Sunday: Aberdeen, South Dakota (-28 degrees); Minneapolis (-24 degrees)
- Monday: Chicago (-14 degrees); Detroit (-6 degrees)
https://www.wunderground.com/news/back-to-back-arctic-cold-blasts-midwest-east-december-2016
10 American Foods that are Banned in Other Countries - Fri 02 Dec 2016, 4:50 pm
10 American Foods that are Banned in Other Countries
by DR MERCOLA
Americans are slowly waking up to the sad fact that much of the food sold in the US is far inferior to the same foods sold in other nations. In fact, many of the foods you eat are BANNED in other countries.
Here, I’ll review 10 American foods that are banned elsewhere, which were featured in a recent MSN article.1
Seeing how the overall health of Americans is so much lower than other industrialized countries, you can’t help but wonder whether toxic foods such as these might play a role in our skyrocketing disease rates.
#1: Farm-Raised Salmon
If you want to maximize health benefits from fish, you want to steer clear of farmed fish, particularly farmed salmon fed dangerous chemicals. Wild salmon gets its bright pinkish-red color from natural carotenoids in their diet. Farmed salmon, on the other hand, are raised on a wholly unnatural diet of grains (including genetically engineered varieties), plus a concoction of antibiotics and other drugs and chemicals not shown to be safe for humans.
This diet leaves the fish with unappetizing grayish flesh so to compensate, they’re fed synthetic astaxanthin made from petrochemicals, which has not been approved for human consumption and has well known toxicities. According to the featured article, some studies suggest it can potentially damage your eyesight. More details are available in yesterday’s article.
Where it’s banned: Australia and New Zealand
How can you tell whether a salmon is wild or farm-raised? The flesh of wild sockeye salmon is bright red, courtesy of its natural astaxanthin content. It’s also very lean, so the fat marks, those white stripes you see in the meat, are very thin. If the fish is pale pink with wide fat marks, the salmon is farmed.
Avoid Atlantic salmon, as typically salmon labeled “Atlantic Salmon” currently comes from fish farms. The two designations you want to look for are: “Alaskan salmon,” and “sockeye salmon,” as Alaskan sockeye is not allowed to be farmed. Please realize that the vast majority of all salmon sold in restaurants is farm raised.
So canned salmon labeled “Alaskan Salmon” is a good bet, and if you find sockeye salmon, it’s bound to be wild. Again, you can tell sockeye salmon from other salmon by its color; its flesh is bright red opposed to pink, courtesy of its superior astaxanthin content. Sockeye salmon actually has one of the highest concentrations of astaxanthin of any food.
#2: Genetically Engineered Papaya
Most Hawaiian papaya is now genetically engineered to be resistant to ringspot virus. Mounting research now shows that animals fed genetically engineered foods, such as corn and soy, suffer a wide range of maladies, including intestinal damage, multiple-organ damage, massive tumors, birth defects, premature death, and near complete sterility by the third generation of offspring. Unfortunately, the gigantic human lab experiment is only about 10 years old, so we are likely decades away from tabulating the human casualties.
Where it’s banned: The European Union
Unfortunately, it’s clear that the US government is not in a position to make reasonable and responsible decisions related to genetically engineered foods at this point, when you consider the fact that the Obama administration has placed former Monsanto attorney and Vice President, Michael Taylor, in charge of US food safety, and serious conflicts of interest even reign supreme within the US Supreme Court! That’s right. Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas is also a former Monsanto attorney, but refuses to acknowledge any conflict of interest.
#3: Ractopamine-Tainted Meat
The beta agonist drug ractopamine (a repartitioning agent that increases protein synthesis) was recruited for livestock use when researchers found that the drug, used in asthma, made mice more muscular. This reduces the overall fat content of the meat. Ractopamine is currently used in about 45 percent of US pigs, 30 percent of ration-fed cattle, and an unknown percentage of turkeys are pumped full of this drug in the days leading up to slaughter. Up to 20 percent of ractopamine remains in the meat you buy from the supermarket, according to veterinarian Michael W. Fox.
Since 1998, more than 1,700 people have been “poisoned” from eating pigs fed the drug, and ractopamine is banned from use in food animals in no less than 160 different countries due to its harmful health effects! Effective February 11, 2013, Russia issued a ban on US meat imports, slated to last until the US agrees to certify that the meat is ractopamine-free. At present, the US does not even test for the presence of this drug in meats sold. In animals, ractopamine is linked to reductions in reproductive function, increase of mastitis in dairy herds, and increased death and disability. It’s also known to affect the human cardiovascular system, and is thought to be responsible for hyperactivity, and may cause chromosomal abnormalities and behavioral changes.
Where it’s banned: 160 countries across Europe, Russia, mainland China and Republic of China (Taiwan)
#4: Flame Retardant Drinks
If you live in the US and drink Mountain Dew and some other citrus-flavored sodas and sports drinks, then you are also getting a dose of a synthetic chemical called brominated vegetable oil (BVO), which was originally patented by chemical companies as a flame retardant.
BVO has been shown to bioaccumulate in human tissue and breast milk, and animal studies have found it causes reproductive and behavioral problems in large doses. Bromine is a central nervous system depressant, and a common endocrine disruptor. It’s part of the halide family, a group of elements that includes fluorine, chlorine and iodine. When ingested, bromine competes for the same receptors that are used to capture iodine. This can lead to iodine deficiency, which can have a very detrimental impact on your health. Bromine toxicity can manifest as skin rashes, acne, loss of appetite, fatigue, and cardiac arrhythmias. According to the featured article:
“The FDA has flip-flopped on BVO’s safety originally classifying it as ‘generally recognized as safe’ but reversing that call now defining it as an ‘interim food additive’ a category reserved for possibly questionable substances used in food.”
Where it’s banned: Europe and Japan
#5: Processed Foods Containing Artificial Food Colors and Dyes
More than 3,000 food additives — preservatives, flavorings, colors and other ingredients — are added to US foods, including infant foods and foods targeted to young children. Meanwhile, many of these are banned in other countries, based on research showing toxicity and hazardous health effects, especially with respect to adverse effects on children’s behavior. For example, as reported in the featured article:
“Boxed Mac & Cheese, cheddar flavored crackers, Jell-O and many kids’ cereals contain red 40, yellow 5, yellow 6 and/or blue 2, the most popularly-used dyes in the United States. Research has shown this rainbow of additives can cause behavioral problems as well as cancer, birth defects and other health problems in laboratory animals. Red 40 and yellow 6 are also suspected of causing an allergy-like hypersensitivity reaction in children. The Center for Science in the Public Interest reports that some dyes are also “contaminated with known carcinogens.”
In countries where these food colors and dyes are banned, food companies like Kraft employ natural colorants instead, such as paprika extract, beetroot, and annatto. The food blogger and activist Vani Hari, better known as “Food Babe,” recently launched a Change.org petition2 asking Kraft to remove artificial dyes from American Mac & Cheese to protect American children from the well-known dangers of these dyes.
Where it’s banned: Norway and Austria. In 2009, the British government advised companies to stop using food dyes by the end of that year. The European Union also requires a warning notice on most foods containing dyes.
#6: Arsenic-Laced Chicken
Arsenic-based drugs are approved for use in animal feed in the US because they make animals grow quicker and make the meat appear pinker (i.e. “fresher”). The US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has stated these products are safe because they contain organic arsenic, which is less toxic than the other inorganic form, which is a known carcinogen.
The problem is, scientific reports surfaced stating that the organic arsenic could transform into inorganic arsenic, which has been found in elevated levels in supermarket chickens. The inorganic arsenic also contaminates manure where it can eventually migrate into drinking water and may also be causing heightened arsenic levels in US rice.
In 2011, Pfizer announced it would voluntarily stop marketing its arsenic-based feed additive Roxarsone, but there are still several others on the market. Several environmental groups have filed a lawsuit against the FDA calling for their removal from the market. In the European Union, meanwhile, arsenic-based compounds have never been approved as safe for animal feed.
Where it’s banned: The European Union
#7: Bread with Potassium Bromate
You might not be aware of this, but nearly every time you eat bread in a restaurant or consume a hamburger or hotdog bun you are consuming bromide, as it is commonly used in flours. The use of potassium bromate as an additive to commercial breads and baked goods has been a huge contributor to bromide overload in Western cultures.
Bromated flour is “enriched” with potassium bromate. Commercial baking companies claim it makes the dough more elastic and better able to stand up to bread hooks. However, Pepperidge Farm and other successful companies manage to use only unbromated flour without any of these so-called “structural problems.” Studies have linked potassium bromate to kidney and nervous system damage, thyroid problems, gastrointestinal discomfort, and cancer. The International Agency for Research on Cancer classifies potassium bromate as a possible carcinogen.
Where it’s banned: Canada, China and the EU
#8: Olestra/Olean
Olestra, aka Olean, created by Procter & Gamble, is a calorie- and cholesterol-free fat substitute used in fat-free snacks like chips and French fries. Three years ago, Time Magazine3 named it one of the worst 50 inventions ever, but that hasn’t stopped food companies from using it to satisfy people’s mistaken belief that a fat-free snack is a healthier snack. According to the featured article:
“Not only did a 2011 study from Purdue University conclude rats fed potato chips made with Olean gained weight, there have been several reports of adverse intestinal reactions to the fake fat including diarrhea, cramps and leaky bowels. And because it interferes with the absorption of fat soluble vitamins such as A, D, E and K, the FDA requires these vitamins be added to any product made with Olean or olestra.”
Where it’s banned: The UK and Canada
#9: Preservatives BHA and BHT
BHA (butylated hydroxyanisole) and BHT (butylated hydroxytoluene) are commonly used preservatives that can be found in breakfast cereal, nut mixes, chewing gum, butter spread, meat, dehydrated potatoes, and beer, just to name a few. BHA is known to cause cancer in rats, and may be a cancer-causing agent in humans as well. In fact, according to the US Department of Health and Human Services, National Toxicology Program’s 2011 Report on Carcinogens, BHA “is reasonably anticipated to be a human carcinogen.” It may also trigger allergic reactions and hyperactivity, while BHT can cause organ system toxicity.
Where it’s banned: The UK doesn’t allow BHA in infant foods. BHA and BHT are also banned in parts of the European Union and Japan.
#10: Milk and Dairy Products Laced with rBGH
Recombinant bovine growth hormone (rBGH) is the largest selling dairy animal drug in America. RBGH is a synthetic version of natural bovine somatotropin (BST), a hormone produced in cows’ pituitary glands. Monsanto developed the recombinant version from genetically engineered E. coli bacteria and markets it under the brand name “Posilac.”
It’s injected into cows to increase milk production, but it is banned in at least 30 other nations because of its dangers to human health, which include an increased risk for colorectal, prostate, and breast cancer by promoting conversion of normal tissue cells into cancerous ones. Non-organic dairy farms frequently have rBGH-injected cows that suffer at least 16 different adverse health conditions, including very high rates of mastitis that contaminate milk with pus and antibiotics.
“According to the American Cancer Society, the increased use of antibiotics to treat this type of rBGH-induced inflammation ‘does promote the development of antibiotic-resistant bacteria, but the extent to which these are transmitted to humans is unclear,'” the featured article states.
Many have tried to inform the public of the risks of using this hormone in dairy cows, but their attempts have been met with overwhelming opposition by the powerful dairy and pharmaceutical industries, and their government liaisons. In 1997, two Fox-affiliate investigative journalists, Jane Akre and Steve Wilson, attempted to air a program exposing the truth about the dangers of rBGH. Lawyers for Monsanto, a major advertiser with the Florida network, sent letters promising “dire consequences” if the story aired.
Despite decades of evidence about the dangers of rBGH, the FDA still maintains it’s safe for human consumption and ignores scientific evidence to the contrary. In 1999, the United Nations Safety Agency ruled unanimously not to endorse or set safety standards for rBGH milk, which has effectively resulted in an international ban on US milk.4 The Cancer Prevention Coalition, trying for years to get the use of rBGH by the dairy industry banned, resubmitted a petition to FDA Commissioner Margaret Hamburg, MD, in January 2010.5 Although the FDA stubbornly sticks to its position that milk from rBGH-treated cows is no different than milk from untreated cows, this is just plain false and is not supported by science. The only way to avoid rBGH is to look for products labeled as “rBGH-free” or “No rBGH.”
Where it’s banned: Australia, New Zealand, Israel, EU and Canada
Source: Mercola.com
http://www.realfarmacy.com/10-american-foods-that-are-banned-in-other-countries/
The Mini EDC Pouch - 11-25-16 - Sat 26 Nov 2016, 11:16 am
PZ Perfect Gift - The Mini EDC Pouch - 11-25-16
EDC… you hear that term a lot in the prepper circles and it is starting to become more main stream.
What is EDC ? … Every Day Carry.
I got the following email from a reader…
Hello Ray,
My husband and I enjoy your articles on Steve Quayle’s website and have found them to be really informative. I like your writing style and it seems like you writing specifically to us.
I have an idea and I need your help.
I want to make a mini EDC bag that my husband can carry on his belt. He is a business man and can not wear his cargo pants. So he really does not have anywhere to keep his EDC items on him.
The problem is that I do not know what to get him and what sort of things he might appreciate. We are new preppers, and I don’t want to waste a lot of money getting all that “cool guy stuff”, as you like to call it, but I do not want to get him shoddy stuff that is a waste of money.
Please point me in the right direction.
Thank you,
Bev
I started to write Bev back and thought, HEY… this would make a great article So I hope that you do not mind Bev that I will share this with the world and possibly help some other wives put together a “Mini EDC Pouch.”
My EDC
Just so you know, my daily EDC is pretty minimal. Here is what I carry daily…First…If I carry nothing else, I carry a knife and in fact the few times where I have ran out the door and forgotten it, I have stressed out knowing that I do not have a knife on me. I have two knives that I rotate…
Cold Steel Voyager Clip Point XL … OR
Cold Steel Ti-Lite 6”
Both of these are great knives and depending on where I am going I have one of these on me at all times.
– Cold Steel Voyager Clip Point XL – this is a great all duty knife. I use this for just about everything. I cut meat, chop small trees and branches, skin a chicken, and it makes for a great self defense weapon. This is the knive that I carry most of the time.
– Cold Steel Ti-Lite 6” – This is my go to battle blade. This is the knife I wear when I know that I am going down town and could possibly run into a situation. When people see this knife, well they kind of freak out because it is so large. I tell them it is my “pocket sword.” This thing is long. But what I like about it is that it is very versatile in the fight. You can use it as a kubaton, a fist filler like brass knuckles and when things get bad, flick the wrist and you can deploy the blade very easily.
BEV – Get your husband at least one of these knives. I do not know his day to day needs, but if you are worried about him getting into a mix up, get the Ti-Lite. If you are thinking day to day, get the Voyager Clip Point. He can carry this in his suit pocket and it will not weigh it down.
The other things I carry daily…
– Self defense money clip
– Para-cord survival bracelet
– Uzi Tactical Pen
There are many other things that I can add to this list and at times when I am totally “geared up” it looks like I am wearing Batman’s Utility Belt.
But when I started thinking about Bev’s request I have to say that I was getting pretty enthusiastic about her idea. “HEY… no more Batman belt.”
Here are the issues and what I am looking for….
1 – I personally do not want to carry a man purse / messenger bag. Those are to big and like it or not, the bigger the bag, the more stuff you want to add to it.
2 – it has to hook / clip to my belt.
3 – it would be great if I had room in it to carry more of my EDC items, but not bulky.
She sent me the link and WOW…. This thing is perfect and what is better is that the price is right. It ranges from $14.99 to $16.99 depending on the color you want.
The Reebow Gear pouch is a great organizer for big screen smart phone, camera, key, wallet, pen, knife, notebook, small tool etc small accessories, and even can be a holster. It has a lot of positive ratings and one guy even carries his Beretta 21A in it. Another comment also stated that you can carry a Glock 26 in this as well, which is what I carry when I am in C&C mode. It is made out of CorDura, which is a really tough canvas material that takes a beating. Finally it has an external phone holster and slot to keep a tactical pen.
It has the MOLLE system attachment straps, so it can even be carried on a tactical belt or MOLLE vest or backpack.
The one negative that I have is that the canvas loops on the back that hook to your belt, well they can cause the pouch to droop a bit. Some guys may not mind this. Me, I like things snug so that I can access them quickly.
The Blade Tech Tec Loc has all the hardware needed to make it nice and tight and hold it really well to you belt. It also has a locking mechanism that will then lock down and prevent what ever it is holding from dropping away.
This was a perfect solution to a small / mini EDC pouch.
BEV – this is your starting point; you can fill this tactical molle pouch with just about anything as long as it fits. I love this and I think your husband will also.
Gearing Up The Reebow Gear Tactical Molle Pouch
One of the main things I like about this tactical pouch is that it has a phone holster. I have a Samsung Note II, it is a tad big and I like a bigger screen. That is what happens when you get older. But The Reebow tactical pouch holds it with no problem and it fits perfectly in the phone holster, and it is easily accessible when it starts ringing. If you use a blue tooth device then perfect, you don’t have to always pull the phone out.Right next to the phone I can carry my Uzi Tactical Pen.
Uzi Tactical Pen
BEV – This is one of the first things that I would purchase for your husband. The Uzi Tactical Pen. Even without the mini EDC pouch, this is something that he can use daily and it might help save his life as well.
Swiss Fire Steel
Here is an alternative use for the fire steel… if you are somewhere and you do not have a flashlight or fire making materials, you can spark this and it will light up an area. It will give you enough light to find your way around if you have to. So… stuck in an office building and the lights are gone out, you can whip this out and it will cast enough light to help you find your way
BEV – Get your husband a Swiss Fire Steel. This is one item that could save his life if things got hairy. Everyone needs fire. Get a small plastic vile also for Vaseline soaked cotton and he can start a fire anywhere.
Fenix PD35 TAC 1000 Lumen CREE LED Tactical Flashlight
This also can double as a kubaton sort of weapon. It fits nicely in the hand and if you have to punch someone, this will help leave a solid impression on that person. This is a police grade flashlight, so it is waterproof and meant to take a beating and will not die on you.
BEV – This is pricey, but it is the best flashlight that I think is on the market. Forget those stinking cheap Chinese things that you see advertised. I have a few of them, but you drop them just once and they are toast. Spend the money on quality and it will serve your husband well when he really needs it.
Small Travel First Aid Kit
Here are the highlights of this small first aid kit …
- adhesive bandages, cotton swabs, safety pins, tweezers, mini scissors and multi-functional knife
- Measures 1.8 by 4.2 by 0.9-inches
BEV – what I like about this is the case and for $5.89, it is a pretty good deal that is lite and small, but also has what your husband may need in a pinch.
SABRE Red Campus Safety Pepper Gel
This stuff sticks because it is gel. The SABRE peper gel even has training videos online that will help you and teach you how to use this effectively in an emergency. The shooting radius is about 10 feet with this product and it says that it gives you 25 – one second bursts. Personally I would spray the person down with this stuff.
BEV – This is a great product and for the price, you are getting your husband a good self defense weapon.
Cold Steel Secret Edge Knife
First, I think that everyone should have a primary EDC knife that they carry on their person at all times. This is where my XL Voyager Clip Point or my Ti-Lite 6” knife play their role.
But I am also someone who believe that you need to always have a back up knife and this is why I am recommending the Cold Steel Secret Edge. Like 99% of the knives I recommend, I also own one of these and I love it. It is small, compact and it also doubles as a neck knife if I wish to wear it. You can slip it in your sock like a Scottish Sgian-dubh, which this knife is patterned after, in your back pocket, or in your mini EDC pouch.
What is amazing is that when I carry this knife, I really find myself using it a lot. It cuts open boxes and envelopes, makes a clean slice on paper, no problem with 550 cord, there are a lot of uses for this knife.
It has the G-10 grive style handle, so holding it and having a solid grip is a plus. It is a great tool and a great weapon. This is why I really like this knife a lot.
BEV – You get this for your husband, he will love you for it. This is one of those knives that every guy secretly wants. AND for under $25, you can’t go wrong.
Leatherman Skeletool CX Multitool
What I love about this is that it has the basics that you REALLY NEED. Not all the added on stuff that you think you need. This is truly the perfect EDC tool. Weighing only 5 ounces, it is the lightest full-size multi-tool on the market.
What do you get out of this tool?
The Skeletool CX has a large straight knife blade that can be accessed while the tool is closed; to open it, just place your thumb in the thumbhole at the base of the blade and rotate it out until it’s fully extended — which will engage the safety lock. This locking mechanism is noted with a padlock symbol on the tool. To unlock the blade, press the locking mechanism towards the handle until the blade slides past the lock.
Equipped with a universal bit driver, the Skeletool offers real utility options like no other multitool. To change the tool bits, simply unfold the tool and remove the bit from the bit driver — and pop it out. And replacing bits is just as easy. Just press a new one into position and you’re good to go. There’s even a spare bit located in the handle side opposite the knife blade. This tool includes the following bits: Phillips #1 and #2, screwdriver 3/16-inch and 1/4-inch.
In the plier jaws you’ll find a hard-wire cutter and a regular wire cutter. The regular wire cutter is great for softer grades of wire, but the hard-wire cutter is excellent for heavier jobs — like cutting and bending fishhooks.
Finally, the carabiner style clip also doubles as a bottle opener.
I have used mine like crazy and believe it or not, the knife edge still holds a razor sharp edge.
BEV – This is something that your husband will recognize as being top of the line quality. I have recommended this multi-tool a lot, and everyone who has ordered one was very pleased with it.
Field Notes – Expedition Model
Everyone always needs some paper to write a note on and having this in your mini EDC pouch is a great idea. You get a pack of three of these for just over $9.00. Field Notes is a solid brand name and they really make their note pads to be used in the out doors.
BEV – This is something that is important to me. I don’t know your husband, but having some paper to write on when it is needed is a nice thing. Having it be water proof and such, well that is “cool guy” bragging rights at the office. This is kind of a trend setting item that can really help him.
Finally – A Couple of Silver Eagles
The good thing is that this is money that is difficult to spend quickly. But in an emergency situation, people have offered services or it is used to purchase goods.
As always, I recommend getting your silver from Steve Quayle’s Renaissance Precious Metals. He makes it easy to purchase a few ounces just for a situation like this
Renaissance Precious Metals – http://www.sqmetals.com
BEV – This is a no brainer, get a few ounces of silver so that your husband always has some insurance to fall back on.
Conclusion
Folks, in today’s world more and more people are looking at EDC as a reality, not something you see crazy people on TV do.Believe it or not, everyone has some sort of EDC. Women have purses full of stuff, guys have their wallets, keys, change, ect. We carry much of the same stuff daily. All I am pointing out is why not carry stuff that might make life differences?
The The Reebow Gear® Tactical Molle Pouch is a great starting point. Add some or all the items that I am recommending and you have a pretty good EDC collection going.
Sure there is more that you can add, but this is why I limited myself to such a small pouch and not a messenger bag or sling bag. Again, bigger the bag, the more stuff you will add to it. This is a fact and any married man who has carried his wives purse for her can attest to this.
Folks, this will make a great Christmas present and I know that just about any guy out there that is worth their “man card” would totally dig getting something like this for Christmas.
Add some or all of the gear that I recommend and your husband, son, boyfriend would be the envy of all the guys.
AND… they would be showing off all the cool stuff the you got them and you would become the greatest wife in the world, not that you already are, but you would rate some major points with your man’s friends.
As always, if you have any questions, please feel free to contact me at ray.gano@raygano.com
Stay Safe!
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