What is the secret of the rush to North Korea?
10/6/2018 12:00 am [rtl] Samih Saab From an isolated country that most countries avoid, North Korea and its leader, Kim Jong-un, in a few months have become a focus not only because of a nuclear or missile test this time, but because of the apparent melting of the last cold war landmark or the return of the Cold War. This country is the scene of international conflict in a renewed cold war. US President Donald Trump plans to meet Kim in Singapore at a historic summit on June 12. North Korean intelligence chief Kim Young-shul, the right-hand man of the North Korean leader, is greeted warmly by Trump at the heart of the White House. US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has crossed the border twice to North Korea to persuade Pyongyang to go ahead with the summit meeting with Trump. The scramble for North Korea is not limited to the United States. Russian President Vladimir Putin sent Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov to Pyongyang a few days ago, and Kim received an invitation from the Kremlin to visit Russia in September. Kim himself has visited China twice in recent weeks, and has also met twice with South Korean President Moon Jay-en. Syrian President Bashar al-Assad expressed his desire to visit Pyongyang Also. There must be many factors behind the race for North Korea, which has been the most pariah state under strict international sanctions, one of which is imposed unilaterally, imposed by international bodies led by the United Nations and the European Union. So what is the secret of transformation? There is no doubt that the transformation began after Kim reassured the elements of the nuclear and missile power of his country. After raising the ceiling of the challenge with the United States to unprecedented levels, he had to take the path of diplomacy to reach his goals. On the other hand, Trump realized that North Korea's threat of "fire and anger" would not lead Washington to its goal, and that the military option might be rolled over to its misdeeds and other regional countries to engage in it. China will not let the United States destroy or sweep North Korea. This is what Beijing did not allow in 1950 and what it will not allow in the future. As well as that the military option may not stand at the limits of conventional weapons, which would mean a disaster not seen before the world. At the height of the mutual military threats, the parties have retreated from the edge of the abyss in time, and everyone is emerging from the tree of escalation. The South Korean Winter Olympics were the transition to diplomacy after Kim Jong-il sent a large sports delegation to the south to participate in the Games. A team from the north and one from the south marched under one flag. On the platforms of delegations, Ivanka Trump stood the son of the American president, and not far away from her was Kim Young-shul, who would later play a key role in the prelude to the US- North Korean summit . The South Korean president, who knows full well that any military conflict will pay a heavy price for Seoul, initiated the expansion of the diplomatic breakthrough achieved by sports normalization and suggested a summit with Kim Jong Il. And so it was. High ceilings began to fall. The US talk is devoid of threats and reminding of the fate of the late Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi, as national security adviser John Bolton likes to repeat. Kim Jong-un fired three Americans on various charges in Pyongyang, and talk in North Korea about security assurances is more than talking about ballistic missiles or nuclear power. Kim went further than just talking when South Korean journalists were destroyed by the Bungi-ri nuclear testing site on a mountain in the north . It is obvious that the Singapore summit will not end the unresolved problems between Washington and Pyongyang at once. Trump is expected to propose economic incentives to Kim Jong-il to tempt him to accept nuclear disarmament entirely from North Korea. But what if Kim required the withdrawal of 38,000 US troops stationed in South Korea since the 1950s to meet the US demand to make the Korean Peninsula a nuclear -free zone ? Kim will enter the summit leaning on a nuclear and ballistic arsenal that Washington knows its power. The man will not accept to give up only for economic aid or against US promises to bring North Korea into the international community. The experience of Trump's withdrawal from the nuclear deal with Iran does not encourage Kim to throw his papers at once, despite the growing suffering of North Koreans from international economic sanctions. Kim's ultimate acceptance would be a phased reduction of nuclear weapons in exchange for US concessions in the area of sanctions and in ensuring that North Korea is not attacked in the future. Russia's openness to Kim came in support of North Korea's position in the negotiations. China is also interested in defusing the Korean peninsula so that the Americans do not take this as a pretext to increase their presence in the region and to deploy weapons that could threaten China's defenses along the lines of the Thad system, which worries Beijing and Moscow alike. The opening to North Korea is still in its infancy. Just as there are chances of success, failure can only be calculated.[/rtl] [rtl]http://www.alsabaah.iq/ArticleShow.aspx?ID=158504 [/rtl] |
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