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Alarm bells in Iraq and warnings of the return of 30 thousand armed men a new dress[/size]
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3 hours ago
Alarm bells in Iraq and warnings of the return of 30 thousand armed men a new dress[/size]
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3 hours ago
Iraqi experts describe the areas in which he is active, calling them "fragile areas," in what others describe as security zones, where there are no government forces, and called the battles that are taking place everywhere today described the "warm war" to distinguish them from the Cold War , And the major wars, and perhaps the first to use this description of the strategic expert Dr. Muhannad al-Azzawi.
The so-called "Islamic Caliphate" has lost control over most of the areas where its black flags, estimated to have a population of nine million, have been raised between western Iraq and eastern Syria.
US President Donald Trump announced this week that his country was about to announce the end of the "Islamic Caliphate State" and the fate of the fighters, families and their families was on the eve of an imminent withdrawal of 2,000 US troops from eastern Syria.
Two days ago, Iraqi national security adviser Faleh al-Fayyad, on the sidelines of his participation in the Munich Security Conference, spoke of a new appearance of the Islamic state organization with a new structure and a name similar to al-Qaeda in an interview with German magazine Der Spiegel.
As strategic experts and the Iraqi media have been talking for more than a year about the expansion of the fragile areas of Salah al-Din and the return of a call-to-action organization to the areas of Mteibeja, Meshaq and Makhoul, to the west of Baiji and Shroukat, Emad Allou, a specialist in military and security issues and the adviser of the European Center for Counter- With an Arab DW that the presence of an advocacy organization in these areas has reached the limit of the threat, stressing that the intelligence available to the Iraqi authorities confirm that the talk of individuals and groups may have a number of elements to twenty, and this does not push the authorities to launch a major military campaign on those pockets , Which he described as "sleeper cells, many of whose elements have been leaked under the cover of displaced families, living in hiding in camps for the displaced and refugees, while some of them left for the countries that came from them, or emigrated to Europe."
The expert pointed out in the military and security issues that the families of the elements of Daash, both from the families of Iraqi families, or the families of Syrian women or women coming to him from around the world, especially from Europe need to be rehabilitated "to erase the effects of brainwashing which they have, To be achieved by the political systems in the region, but requires an international effort. "
The security conference in Munich drew attention to the role of the Islamic state in the region, and all experts said that the organization was no longer as strong as it was, but it was determined to register its presence in the region in another way. This was highlighted by an expert on Islamic groups, Hassan Abu Haniya, Stressing the need to distinguish between the project of the State of the Islamic Caliphate, and the current scene, where the scene returned to the subject of the organization, which is now operating in a decentralized and has cells and have groups scattered in Iraq and Syria.
While media reports about the number of fighters of the organization estimated between 1000 and 1500 fighters operating in an area of no more than 50 kilometers on the Syrian-Iraqi border, according to CNN quoted the US "According to a report," the BBC, "Hassan Abu Haniyeh About "the estimates of the United Nations, which indicate the presence of 20 to 30 thousand, while the intelligence reports indicate that there are 15,000 of them."
In Damascus, the Da'ash organization is exposed to attacks by coalition forces and aircraft, attacks by Syria's democratic forces, Syrian forces and Iraqi forces, often represented by popular mobilization, but some readings of the scene indicate that "the so-called commission of the Islamic state organization is trying, through social media, Now, which explains the organization to some operations in Iraq recently, "as described by Dr. Emad Alo.
There has been a lot of talk recently about such organizations as "Guardians of Religion" or "Support of Islam and Muslims", and before them "Jund al-Sham" and "Nasra", which some observers have seen the emergence of old organizations with new names, which Hassan Abu Haniyeh said " It is important to note that there is an organization with an organizational and ideological structure and sources of funding. This is important regardless of the different names. This is what ensured the survival of the organization, as well as intelligence sources and research institutions because of the existence and persistence of the deep causes that led to its emergence in Iraq and Syria. "
Abu Haniya pointed to US reports that "there is a local recruitment process in Iraq and Syria, at the rate of more than a hundred people a month, which means that the ideology of the organization" Dahesh "still has some kind of attraction in the region, It crushed al-Qaeda (and killed Abu Musab al-Zarqawi), but quickly reappeared in the name of "the Islamic state in Iraq and Syria."
While many specialists consider the east of Syria and western Iraq as one region, after the destruction of the border between them is a preacher when he established in 2014 what he called the state of the Islamic Caliphate, the organization "last year's work on the decentralized separation between Syria and Iraq and therefore no longer deal with them as an organizational unit One, "says expert Hassan Abu Haniyeh, and this is justified by experts the desire of the organization to reduce the unification of the effort of the US-Western coalition, which is dealing with these areas as one hostile region.
He ruled out the idea of the transfer of thousands of fighters from the elements of "dashing" from Syria to Iraq, stressing that "this is possible, but there are no assurances in one way or another confirm this."
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