US analysis: confrontation with Iran will not be like the Iraq war, but worse
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Iran, at present, is a very different country compared to Iraq in 2003, and the way in which the war may be fought is also very different.
It is the largest area of Iraq about three times the size of the population, in addition to its land and sea power. The Iraqi army had a strength of less than 450,000 when the invasion began, while Iran now has 523,000 troops and 250,000 reservists.
Iran, unlike Iraq, has a vast naval force and border on the Caspian Sea to the north, the Gulf and the Gulf of Oman to the south; it shares land borders with many of the United States' troubling allies, including Afghanistan, Pakistan, Turkey and Iraq. The Strait of Hormuz, which accounts for about a third of the world's oil tankers, has reduced oil exports by about 30 percent.
Although Iran is much weaker than the United States in conventional military terms, it has long pursued strategies that would allow it to seriously damage American interests in the region.
The Iranian navy, according to the writer, has a real advantage over the United States. It does not need large ships or firepower to close the Strait of Hormuz, but it can, for example, use mines or submarines to stop trade.
Then there is Iran's ballistic missile program, which is described as the "largest and most sophisticated missile arsenal in the Middle East." This threat from Iran's missile technology extends beyond the country's borders as well, where Hezbollah is believed to have an arsenal of 130,000 rockets.
The dispute between a US administration led by a Republican president such as Donald Trump and a Middle East force such as Iran reminds many observers of the period before the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003, a move widely condemned in the following years as disastrous for all Concerned.
John Bolton, President Trump's national security adviser, played a key role in bringing former President George W. Bush to invade Iraq when he was undersecretary of state for arms control and security. International, which earned him the title of reckless.
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif hinted on Tuesday when he told reporters in New Delhi that "extremist figures in the administration" were trying to falsely blame Iran for the events in the Gulf.