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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    What does Iran want from the new escalation ... "war" or improve the terms of negotiations?

    Rocky
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    • Post n°1

    What does Iran want from the new escalation ... "war" or improve the terms of negotiations? Empty What does Iran want from the new escalation ... "war" or improve the terms of negotiations?

    Post by Rocky Sat Jun 15, 2019 3:52 am


    [size=32]What does Iran want from the new escalation ... "war" or improve the terms of negotiations?

    - 35 Minutes Ago
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    The new behavior of Iran and its proxies in the region has left analysts perplexed towards Tehran's goal, as it comes under US threats that the price of any Iranian targeting of the interests of the United States or its allies in the region will be harsh.
    But what has happened is that the Iranians and their proxies, instead of changing their usual pattern of destabilizing the region, have increased the pace of attacks since US sanctions reached their peak with Iran's oil exports in April 2019. Does this mean that Khamenei's men wanted war, no matter what? Or are they convinced that they are safe from the anger of the strong White House man, and trust his enemy to peace and only support their papers at the negotiating table with him?
    Negotiation papers however!
    A number of questions are posed by political analysts and experts in the Gulf and the world, not the least of which is the prediction that Iran has lost its right to commit suicide, as it did in its war with Saddam. Theocratic regimes used to do it after being drunk with vanity and ideology.
    "The purpose of all Iranian alertness to target international oil tankers is to negotiate, despite growing conviction among conservative international parties, such as Britain, that Tehran is guilty of at least the last terrorist attack targeting ships Oil in the Gulf of Oman, a mile from the Strait of Hormuz, which Iran has threatened to close several times, but has not had the courage to do so today. 
    One of the reasons for analysts to rule out the fact that Iran really wants a war with its new harassment is the price it paid in the 1980s, when the "ship war" ignited its fierce war with Iraq at the time. But Tehran has not done much more than it promised, when its oil is banned from preventing any other oil from crossing through international waters, which Iran is scorned by the international community whenever it finds itself in the "bottleneck."
    However, the expert on Iranian affairs, Dr. Abdullah Al-Tayer, who recently discussed in his book in English, "Burning the Devil," the threads of the Iranian participation in the events of September 11, said in an interview with "Independent Arab" that "among those who believe that the Iranians prefer To commit suicide for their current situation after the US sanctions, because they believe it will inevitably lead to the disintegration of the state around them and their collapse if it continues, so the war is less expensive, according to their reading.
    "War" is the least!
    "The sanctions imposed on Iran are unprecedented, and they are capable of toppling Tehran because it is severing its power, including those in Yemen, Lebanon, Iraq and Syria, so that Iran can no longer feed it. Therefore, Iran, with this situation in it, prefers war because it will unite the Iranian street, especially after the confirmation of America's lack of seriousness in the war limited or comprehensive.
    Al-Tayer believes that the ship incident may "be restricted to an unknown person to block Iran, which has no way out except in the war, because it is in a worse situation than the war."
    Iran, like its habit, refused to accuse the US and Britain of targeting ships in the Gulf of Oman, but went even further by offering a kind of incomprehensible solidarity in which it discussed the problems of navigation in the Gulf with the region.
    However, the political analyst specializing in American affairs, Dr. Ahmed Al-Faraj, said in an interview with the "Independent Arab" that what he called "the facts of the Iranian bullying targeting oil tankers in May 2019, and hit allies with their aircraft and their missiles Iranian targets oil and civilian in Saudi Arabia, Such as the recent Abha Airport incident, is the result of a grave error in the assessment, committed by the American and Iranian sides, along with a betrayal not excluded by the parties in the deep state of the United States of intelligence and the Pentagon, the enemies of Tramb who are affiliated with the Democratic Party.
    He confirmed in this context that Tramp himself discovered that a person from the team of former President Barack Obama, John Kerry, is still in contact with the Iranians, calls them patience and underestimates the seriousness of Trump, and prepare them to return water to the streams after the elections, which put great hope on Won, according to their claims.
    Trump made a mistake in showing him in the "Bolton Scare"
    But Al-Faraj considered it "a great illusion of Iranians if they are attached to it. However, the three mistakes, which he said led to wrong messages to Tehran, were not calculated by the American president when he dealt with his improvised approach to Tehran without taking into consideration the nature of their faux regime" .
    The reason is that Trump has taken a firm stance in imposing an unprecedented blockade on Iran, with the testimony of most of the commentators. He then made several mistakes that led to what we have reached today, the first after the Iranian government took the blockade seriously. We have already been concerned and fearful of what the Iranians intend to do with Tramb. "The president made a mistake that is difficult to understand even if he was maneuvering when he said he wanted to meet with the Iranian president. A negative message of negativity would not say that it undermined the blockade, but it had no need and was understood negatively by Iran."
    The second strategic error in the crisis, which was considered the release of the US administration occurred, is "the success of his opponents Democrats to provoke when he denied that his national security adviser John Bolton is holding the file Iran, showed the public that it is stronger than that Bolton or other large files, the decision".
    "Bolton's character is terrifying for the Iranians, he knows his courage in making war decisions, and he insists on wanting to launch a military strike against Iran and change its regime," he said. "Being in the picture is a powerful deterrent to Iranians who know his background well."
    Insulting the mediator or a hidden conscience?
    The third error in the analyst's belief was that the Americans sent Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe as a mediator to Iran to sit at the negotiating table. The response from Tehran was disappointing, in a misreading by Iranian Leader Ali Khamenei of the American position, The compromise, which enticed Tehran to bully and show more force on the day of Abu Tahran's visit, when targeting oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman, in a provocative move, increased tensions in the region and convinced more countries of the world of Iranian intentions, including some of Iran's allies, The Iraqi government that condemned its foreign affairs The incident, despite its close ties with Tehran.
    Many do not take Khamenei's rejection of Japanese mediation seriously. Hidden convictions have always been a way for Iranians to deal with the situation, covering the difficult reality these days "in the midst of economic and political crises suffocating." 
    However, experts in international relations believe that Iran's current behavior by intimidating international shipping and piracy vessels would further deepen Iran's problems with the rest of its allies in the international community and increase pressure on the Tehran government, which is trying to hide its weakness by moving its regional arms and covering up. On its destructive role. When it negotiates or renounces it it calls it "poisoned" and prefers to do so in the closed rooms, even if the slogans "Death to America in the fields and fatwas cling to the guardian of the jurist" remain.


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