[size=32][rtl]A famous American strategic expert presents his vision of the dialogue between Baghdad and Washington and warns: the Iraqi government is an empty shell and the country suffers from three ghosts[/rtl]
April 18, 2020
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A famous American strategic expert presents his vision of the dialogue between Baghdad and Washington and warns: the Iraqi government is an empty shell and the country suffers from three ghosts
Baghdad - Abdul-Latif al-Musawi
Veteran American strategist Anthony Cordesman described the Iraqi government as a "hollow shell," warning that Iraq was suffering from three political, security and economic ghosts.
Commenting on US Secretary of State Pompeo's announcement that his country would hold a strategic dialogue with the Iraqi government in the middle of next June, Cordesman said (It cannot be said at the present time that the Iraqi government is divided, but rather that it has become a hollow shell. It is not yet clear whether Iraq will have all The main figures who can form an effective form of a national government by mid-June, as Iraq had not had a prime minister in place since December 2019), adding that (Iraq had not had a parliament performing its full function for many years. Even it is unclear whether Iraq could have achieved Shimmery Parliament on the establishment of a new strategic relationship with the United States). Cordesman believed that (Pompeo's identification of the goals of the strategic dialogue with Baghdad is a critical step towards forming a form of permanent relationship between the United States and Iraq, a step that would confront extremism and Iran alike), adding that (at the same time, it is also similar to conducting a strategic dialogue With a ghost, as the Iraqi government does not have a clear path for effective leadership, it suffers from imbalance and corruption at all levels, and Iraqi politics suffers from deep divisions that reflect increasing and major failures). He added that (the Iraqi economy also resembles the ghost to some extent, as it faces an imminent collapse due to the low global demand for oil due to the Corona virus and the surplus resulting from the oil war between Russia and Saudi Arabia). Cordesman goes on to analyze the errors that accompanied the path of the relationship between Baghdad and Washington by saying that they have not made an effective shift from the battle to dismantle the ISIS succession by creating effective and unified Iraqi security forces that serve the central government and deal with the ongoing threat from ISIS and other extremists. And it can defend Iraq at the state level against potential regional threats such as the threat from Iran), but it may be unfair to describe the divided Iraqi security forces as the third ghost of Iraq, but they are inhabited by the past rather than moving towards a clear future). Based on the aforementioned data, Cordesman advises that (any meaningful strategic dialogue between the United States and Iraq should address these three groups of issues - or ghosts) i.e. politics, governance, economics, and security. And that dialogue cannot continue to focus solely on security, especially on ISIS. Rather, Iraq must find answers to every situation, and the United States cannot help Iraq if it cannot unite or act so that it can help itself. At the same time, the United States must decide whether to commit to a sustained effort to help Iraq emerge united and strong enough to prevent further civil conflicts, and act independently of Iranian pressure and threats.) Cordesman emphasizes that (Iraq has one of the worst and least effective governments in the world according to the World Bank classification. And that Iraq not only ranks low compared to other countries in all six bank classification categories - perhaps with the exception of openness and accountability - but also has a very low rating in stability Political, absence of violence and terrorism, the rule of law, and corruption. It ranked 18th among the most corrupt countries in the world according to the latest Transparency International rankings in 2019, noting that (public opinion polls in Iraq show that the government lacks popular support and trust at all levels, starting from the national level to the local level, and that The country's Arab population is divided into more polarized Shi'a and Sunni factions, which in turn are deeply divided - sometimes violent - and have more strength than they have from popular support), pointing out that (the momentum that was present towards unity after the disintegration - a caliphate - ISIS was lost Significantly through failure in the assistant Sunni areas in the west of the country to recover from the effects of Alguetal- and failure to reach effective working relationships with the Kurds, and the failure of Baghdad in the sharing of oil wealth of the country with the Shiite areas in the south).
And Crodsman reduces the smear of pessimism, he says (nevertheless, Iraq still possesses at least the crust of effective democracy, and has a history of national trends and eras of real unity. It also still enjoys relatively high levels of education and development in the region), adding that (ethnic and sectarian divisions) The profound in Iraq are at the same time associated with the politicians looking for their interests, and the factions that left Iraq paralyzed by patronage and the high levels of corruption that will push the government to a point similar to kleptocratic, that is, the rule of thieves. These levels can make Iraq more vulnerable to the pressures Allergic from countries such as Iran, as well as popular mass demonstrations growing, and anger among the factions and within) according to his opinion.
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