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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    Analysis on Division of Iraq and the Kurdistan region to Iran

    Rocky
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    • Post n°1

    Analysis on Division of Iraq and the Kurdistan region to Iran Empty Analysis on Division of Iraq and the Kurdistan region to Iran

    Post by Rocky Tue 08 Jul 2014, 6:53 am

    Analysis on Division of Iraq and the Kurdistan region to Iran



    Tuesday, 08 July 2014 08: 15
    Twilight news station reported the (CNN) that Iraq is living in a difficult situation, as the Government lost control over large areas of the country, internal violence is increasing day by day, and sleep, this description does not apply to 2014 but for 2006, which helped the u.s. Senate Attorney time and now Vice President, Joseph Biden, to submit a proposal to divide Iraq into three parts, the Kurdish and Shiite and Sunni.

    altThe Biden welisli Gelb writer in the New York Times to take Bosnia a modern model "to divide the country into sectarian cantons, thus allowing Muslims, Croats and Serbs to obtain separate armies."

    The equation thought it could lead to a similar outcome in Iraq, as the proposal focused on the Kurds, Sunnis and Shiites are the responsibility of the local laws, and indentation issues management and homeland security, the Central Government can assume responsibility for border security, foreign relations, and the oil sector. "

    The US Senate plan Biden/Gelb in 2007, but the Bush Administration ignored, and after seven years it seems that dividing Iraq is an option the most improbable, because the Organization "daash, you may tighten its grip on most of the areas north and West of Iraq, including Mosul, Kurdish leaders pressed forward for a unilateral declaration of independence of Kurdistan.

    Says Ramzy Mardini, an expert on Iraq with the Atlantic Council, also obtained in the analysis of "Twilight" news that basic equation as follows that "could provoke Shia, daash and exaggerate in their reaction and people pursue all year, so the more of him will back daash, a situation such as the crypt Medawar, each circle is formed that can reinforce sectarian divisions."

    For this reason, a separate Commissioners opportunities have evaporated, noting that "Biden Mardini was seen to Iraq from the lens of the former Yugoslavia, but borders cannot be drawn in ink on paper," adding that "this Division must be outside the context of sectarian war."

    He said that "Iraq has been a State subjected to authoritarian rule, it would be naive to think that he can turn to the State with a federal and democratic regime in day and night, and not just because of what lies in the history of Iraq and its composition, but also because of the nature of the federal system itself, which is adarias complex formation".

    Among the many obstacles facing any attempt to negotiate, ability of Sunni areas to fund itself economically without getting a share of the oil sectors in other regions, regions are the only ones that are not part of the Lake of oil which Iraq floats.

    Iraq also has also a natural border and frequent, particularly in Baghdad and Diyala province, where different societies are glued, so the year will satisfy the Kurds to govern the city with mixed such as Kirkuk.

    Mardini said for a decade, had not been able to reach the concept of legislation to share oil and regulate its own policies. "

    He said, "How do you convince Shia Iraq shared their rations with the year in the country? How can a year to agree on the boundaries between the three sections? All this will require mfwadat and almutasa areas of agreement, and we all know how difficult it is to achieve that the promise made during the last decade. "

    Also, redrawing the map of Iraq during the conflict or not, can affect the depth of neighbouring countries such as Turkey, Iran and Syria, which have Kurdish minorities among their communities, they can worry about the emergence of a Kurdish State rich in oil.

    It is likely to include the Kurdish part of Iraq to Iran, thus opening the way for Iran to exploit the oil Iraq.

    Mardini said that "us interest in Iraq was reasoned to its causes," he said, "without the for Sunnis and Shiites as part of Iraqi society, there is a lot of what can be done to offset the Iranian influence on the local oil policies in the country."

    On the other hand, a year on their territory independent, after getting rid of the discrimination faced by the country's Shiite, Hookah can is the possibility of members of the community in the hands of the hardliners, the year will need a reason to go to jihadist groups such as "daash" that did not feel the presence of enemies in Baghdad, will be able to communicate with the Sunni tribes in Syria, where the same tribes live on both sides of the border the two cores.

    The collapse of Iraq could allow for migration and violence similar to what the birth of India and Pakistan, and it is real, but the current situation has forced thousands of people to migrate from their homes and killed hundreds of others.

    There are historians who can be begadlwa in nature that the State of Iraq, but the analogy is more like a colony that had Britain in India, we are now seeing the tertbat the situation.

    Historical overview

    At the beginning of the twentieth century, the tribes roamed the vast Arabic deserts, and the Arabic Division began in the Sykes-Picot agreement of 1916, with France control of Syria and Lebanon, and Britain to Palestine and Iraq, and in 1919 League of Nations supported the French and British administrations to what was called the Ottoman State.

    And the Iraqi border painted in the Cairo Conference of 1921 and big thanks especially loinsten Churchill and t any Lawrence, aka the "Lawrence of Arabia", who was one of 40 British met Semiramis Palace on the banks of the River Nile, and had invented the concept of Iraq, and the named Faisal Bin Hussein King of appalled new.

    Faisal Al Hussein was a Sunni and the hashmite, i.e. not from Iraq originally, adopting policies to promote the interests of Sunnis and other minorities to constitute an adverse balance of minority Shiite and Shiite religious leaders produced a shred of Saddam Hussein used tools after half a century.

    And against the advice of several experts, the Iraq Mosul governorate which was dominated by the well under control by like his watering place to the confrontation line before Turkey and Russia, which later turned to the Soviet Union.

    The ghritrod Bill an adviser in Cairo meeting time, travel and many were linked to tribal elders, then reduced the Bill, and many others at the time, the Shiite clergy and understated the strength of British rule, said time for Jaffar, who became the military Chief Iraq young that "total independence is what we want that we will offer him in the end."

    And the military replied "Ma'am, that total independence is not something that can be awarded, but is taken", lyrics of life in Iraq today. "

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