An American institute talks about Al-Kazemi’s “three goals” from the Baghdad summit: zero enemies an

[size=52]An American institute talks about Al-Kazemi’s “three goals” from the Baghdad summit: zero enemies and containing Iran[/size]

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[size=45]The American “Carnegie Institution” for studies concluded; The Iraqi Prime Minister, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, has three main goals behind organizing the Baghdad Conference for Cooperation and Partnership: first, the implementation of the "zero enemies" policy, secondly, "containing Iran", and thirdly, enhancing his chances as a consensual candidate for prime minister after the October 2021 elections.[/size]
[size=45]unique pool[/size]
[size=45]And after the report of the American Institute, which was translated by Shafak News Agency, indicated; That the goal of the unique gathering of heads of state and representatives of Iraq's neighbors, in addition to showing support for Iraq in the face of political, security and economic challenges, is to acknowledge the efforts of the Al-Kazemi government in promoting regional dialogue.[/size]
[size=45]But for Al-Kazemi, the summit achieved three goals, according to "Carnegie".[/size]
[size=45]First, the summit was the culmination of his efforts to reposition Iraq at the intersection of regional relations - or, as Al-Kazemi prefers to describe it, as a bridge between the countries of the region.[/size]
[size=45]And “Carnegie” indicated that Al-Kazemi, since he led the intelligence service, has developed a wide network of relations with Middle Eastern leaders and senior officials, and has achieved great success in playing the role of an honest broker facilitating dialogue, especially between Iran and its regional opponents.[/size]
[size=45]The report explained; The policy of "zero enemies" was the approach that characterized Al-Kazemi's handling of regional relations.[/size]
[size=45]The institute considered that Al-Kazemi is not the first prime minister in Iraq to call for not aligning with any of the regional axes, but his reputation “as a moderate, pragmatic and non-sectarian person, less influenced by Iran than his predecessors, earned him greater credibility.”[/size]
[size=45]However, the regional policy implemented by Iraq was implemented in light of harsh realities, as it is a fragile state located between three regional rivals: Iran, Turkey and Saudi Arabia. By proactively seeking to ease the differences between these forces, Al-Kazemi believes that Iraq can create for itself a more positive regional role than just being an arena for conflict for its neighbors.[/size]
[size=45]American retreat[/size]
[size=45]After referring to the decline of the American role and the progress of Iran and Turkey to fill the vacuum created, Carnegie explained that the summit was an embodiment of this American decline in the region and the need for a new institutional structure that reflects the relations of the emerging regional power, in which there are two seats at the table for Iran and Turkey.[/size]
[size=45]The institute pointed out that this could be the beginning of the search for a new framework of concepts regionally that overcomes the previous divisions defined by terms such as sectarianism (Sunnis versus Shiites), ideology (Islamists versus secularists), or geostrategic (pro-Western versus anti-Western).[/size]
[size=45]As for Al-Kazemi’s second goal, it is to contain Iran, according to “Carnegie,” who explained that given Iran’s influence through its network of locally allied forces and paramilitary forces that are unparalleled by any other regional power, Al-Kazemi is looking for a way to curb this influence, but rather from without provoking the enmity of Tehran.[/size]
[size=45]The institute explained that "such hostility will not only destabilize Al-Kazemi's government, but may also dispel any hopes he may have to remain in his position after the upcoming parliamentary elections on October 10."[/size]
[size=45]Therefore, Al-Kazemi is trying to prove to the Iranians that it is his approach that will achieve real gains for Tehran and break its isolation, not the approach of their ideological and sectarian allies, and that Iran, by accepting the presence of a leadership in Baghdad that is not ideologically aligned with its “revolutionary” anti-American approach, can provide it with an effective channel linking it to the world And thus obtaining regional recognition of its role and interests.[/size]
[size=45]And “Carnegie” indicated that this is related to Al-Kazemi’s third goal of enhancing his chances of remaining in office after the elections, adding that Al-Kazemi is not running in the elections and he presents himself as a neutral player and that his primary interest is to ensure that free and fair elections take place, which is “a strategy to preserve on his chances of being a consensus candidate for the post of prime minister.”[/size]
[size=45]He pointed out that "in the absence of a major internal achievement for Al-Kazemi that can be branded politically and make him irreplaceable, he seeks to draw attention to his successes in foreign policy," noting also that the common wisdom in Iraq since 2005, that no one can He will be prime minister in Iraq, if the United States or Iran oppose his candidacy.[/size]
[size=45]balance of power[/size]
[size=45]Carnegie concluded his report by saying that the appointment of the next prime minister will certainly be affected by the regional context and the balance of power, and that the Baghdad summit showed that Al-Kazemi aspires to reshape the balance by safely removing his government’s agenda from Tehran’s, while also playing the role of facilitating Iran’s increasing integration into the regional system. nascent.[/size]
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