After the Iraqi parliament elections .. Who is the next president of the republic? (analysis)

[size=52]After the Iraqi parliament elections .. Who is the next president of the republic? (analysis)[/size]

An unannounced agreement on the sharing of positions between the PUK and the KDP: the first has held the presidency of the republic since 2005, and the second has held the presidency of the region and its government

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[size=45]- An unannounced agreement on the sharing of positions between the PUK and the KDP: the first holds the presidency of the republic since 2005, and the second holds the presidency of the region and head of his government
- Duraid Al-Nasser (political expert): leaders of the “PUK” refuse to renew Barham Salih (leader of the party) .. And the “Democratic” wants the presidency and will nominate Fouad Hussein, Hoshyar Zebari and Adnan Al-Mufti
- Abdul Salam Berwari (a leader in the Democratic Party): the forces that supported Barham Salih do not have the same weight in the last elections (he means the “Al-Fatah” alliance) .. and the issue is premature. As a result of Shiite disputes over the presidency and the form of the government
- Adnan Al-Sarraj (media center): The Kurds are waiting for the resolution of problems and alliances in Baghdad before the names of their candidates for the presidency are presented... I do not think the renewal of Barham Salih is likely in light of the divisions of the National Union and the rejection of the Democratic Party[/size]
[size=45]With the announcement of the final results of the early parliamentary elections in Iraq, questions are increasing about potential candidates to occupy senior positions in the state, especially the presidents, ministers and parliament.[/size]
[size=45]Since the United States toppled Saddam Hussein's regime in 2003, senior positions are distributed among the main components of the country according to a (unconstitutional) political custom, which is locally called "the muhassasa."[/size]
[size=45]According to this political custom, the Shiites hold the prime ministership, the Sunnis head the parliament, and the presidency of the republic goes to the Kurds.[/size]
[size=45]The President of the Republic is elected by a two-thirds majority of the members of the House of Representatives (Parliament - 329 deputies), and his term of office extends for four years.[/size]
[size=45]** Barham Salih's fortunes[/size]
[size=45]The competition for the position of President of the Republic is limited to the two ruling parties in the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq, namely the Kurdistan Democratic Party led by Massoud Barzani and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan led by Bafel Talabani.[/size]
[size=45]The current Iraqi president, Barham Salih, is one of the leaders of the "National Union", and one of the possible candidates to fill his position for a second term.[/size]
[size=45]Duraid Al-Nasser, a political analyst, told Anadolu Agency, "Barham Salih does not have any chance of renewing for a second term."[/size]
[size=45]He continued, "The new leaders of the National Union Party do not want the renewal of Barham Salih; Relations between the two parties have become unfriendly.”[/size]
[size=45]He believed that "the presidency of the republic will not come out of the hands of the Kurdistan Democratic Party, which is striving hard to win it in the next session."[/size]
[size=45]Regarding the potential candidates that the "Democratic" party will put forward to fill the position, Nasser said that "the party will nominate the current foreign ministers, Fouad Hussein, the former Hoshyar Zebari, and the former speaker of the Kurdistan Regional Parliament, Adnan Al-Mufti."[/size]
[size=45]The National Union has held the presidency of the republic since organizing the first multi-party elections in Iraq in 2005.[/size]
[size=45]The late party leader, Jalal Talabani, held the presidency of the country for two consecutive terms between 2005 and 2014, then the party leader, Fouad Masum (2014-2018), and then the current president, Barham Salih, since 2018.[/size]
[size=45]On the other hand, the Democratic Party occupies the two positions of the presidency of the Kurdistan region in the north of the country, and the prime minister in it, according to an undisclosed agreement between the two parties to share high positions.[/size]
[size=45]However, the Democratic Party is seeking this time to occupy the presidency of Iraq, driven by its obtaining more seats in the parliamentary elections held on October 10, in addition to a state of division experienced by its partner, the National Union.[/size]
[size=45]The Democratic Party won 31 seats, according to the final results, compared to 25 seats in the 2018 elections, while the National Union won 17 seats, the same number of seats it had in 2018.[/size]
[size=45]** Divisions of the National Union[/size]
[size=45]For months, the National Union has been suffering from severe internal divisions among its leaders, which led to the dismissal of the party's co-chairman, Lahore Janki, and then his dismissal earlier last November.[/size]
[size=45]According to the leader of the "Democratic Party" Abdul Salam Berwari, in an interview with Anadolu Agency, "The Iraqi political forces that supported the National Union candidate (Barham Salih) in the previous session do not have the same political weight in the recent elections."[/size]
[size=45]Berwari refers to the "Al-Fateh" alliance, a political umbrella for Shiite factions close to Iran, which lost many of its seats in the recent elections by obtaining 17 seats, after it came second in the 2018 elections with 48 seats.[/size]
[size=45]Meanwhile, the Sadrist Movement, affiliated with Shiite leader Muqtada al-Sadr, topped the results of the recent elections with 73 seats.[/size]
[size=45]Berwari added that "the nomination of any person by the Kurds is linked to reaching an agreement with the political forces in Baghdad."[/size]
[size=45]He considered that "this issue is premature in light of the continuing differences between the Shiite forces over the position of prime minister and the form of the next government."[/size]
[size=45]** Cabinet and form of government[/size]
[size=45]The Sadrist movement seeks to form a majority government, not a consensual one, for the first time since 2005. However, its efforts are faced with the rejection of other Shiite forces that lost many of their seats and reject the election results, claiming that they were rigged.[/size]
[size=45]Since mid-October, supporters of the losing forces have been demonstrating in the center of the capital, Baghdad, in a charged political atmosphere punctuated by an attempt to assassinate Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi, on November 7.[/size]
[size=45]A manual recount of votes in contested polling stations resulted in a change of only 5 seats.[/size]
[size=45]The head of the Media Center for Media Development (based in Baghdad), Adnan Al-Sarraj, said that "there is a delay from the Kurdistan Democratic Party regarding the disclosure of the names nominated for the post of the presidency."[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sarraj said that "the Kurds are waiting for the resolution of problems and alliances in Baghdad, before the names of the candidates are presented and the official negotiations begin regarding the positions of the presidency and the government in general."[/size]
[size=45]On the possibility of retaining Barham Salih, Al-Sarraj suggested, "Saleh's second term will not be renewed for many reasons, including the internal conflict in the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan."[/size]
[size=45]Also, "the Kurdistan Democratic Party has begun to pressure to obtain this position in the next session, and it does not support Saleh's assumption of the presidency for a second term," according to Al-Sarraj.[/size]
[size=45]Baghdad / Ibrahim Saleh /[/size]
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