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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    After the defeat of its allies in the Iraqi elections, Iran moves to contain the damage

    Rocky
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    After the defeat of its allies in the Iraqi elections, Iran moves to contain the damage Empty After the defeat of its allies in the Iraqi elections, Iran moves to contain the damage

    Post by Rocky Sun 26 Dec 2021, 8:51 am

    [size=39]After the defeat of its allies in the Iraqi elections, Iran moves to contain the damage

    Free / Special - Washington
    December 26, 2021
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    After more than two months of turmoil after the recent elections in Iraq, Iran has found itself the "biggest loser" in these elections, as it searches for a strategy to control the damage, according to what analysts told Al-Hurra.
    The Sadrist bloc, led by Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, topped the results of the Iraqi legislative elections that took place on the tenth of October, which were followed by accusations of fraud by factions loyal to Iran.
    The "Al-Fateh Alliance", the main representative of the popular crowd factions in Parliament, after its objection to the preliminary results, claiming fraud, won 17 seats after it held 48 seats in the outgoing parliament.
    The "State of Law" coalition led by former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki and allied with Al-Fateh won 33 seats.
    The voter turnout reached 44 percent, and the number of participating voters exceeded nine million and six hundred thousand voters.

    Revival of the Shiite political house



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    The Fatah alliance won 17 seats in parliament
    The Iraqi political analyst and head of the Center for Political Thinking, Ihsan Al-Shammari, said that "Iran has sensed danger since the October 2019 revolution, when there was a rejection of Iranian hegemony inside Iraq."
    He added, in statements to Al-Hurra website: "The nature of the recent elections and the seats obtained by Iran's allies demonstrate that Tehran was the biggest loser, which may mean that it even lost the Iraqi Shiite street that it was counting on," not to mention its loss of its ability to influence the political decision in the country. country.
    Al-Shammari pointed out that Iran realized "that its allies in Iraq have caused it to pay a heavy price in Iraq at the Shiite and political levels, and therefore we may witness a gradual change of leaders of its allies."
    He added that Iran may seek to control the damage that occurred by reviving the "Shiite political house, in order to prevent any clashes between allies and the various Shiite parties, and to freeze the differences between them."
    Al-Shammari stressed that Iran will strive to include Sunni leaders and leaders to ensure the continuation of its influence.
    He believes that the Iraqi street has lost confidence in the electoral process and political parties, and it is very frustrated, especially since it does not see a glimmer of hope to help people, and that the results will only serve the gains of political parties and groups.

    The dismantling of the guardianship system of Iran



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    The outgoing Iraqi parliament
    Writer and political analyst, Raad Hashem, confirmed in an interview with Al-Hurra website, "Iran's biggest loss in the recent elections, and that it has lost many of its active elements in the political process, which will limit its influence in Parliament."
    He added, "After the disintegration of Iran's loyalty system at the executive level, this matter will give the next prime minister a chance to enjoy real independence away from Iranian pressure."
    Hashem pointed out that some of the "militia factions" have weakened their influence in the joints of political life.
    He believes that "what happened will give greater independence to the Iraqi economy, and the sectors will not be involved in the Iranian economy."
    During the current period, Iran is seeking to win the affection of the political class and the groups that won the elections to ensure the running of its interests, according to Hashem.
    He stressed that the composition of any future government and the extent of its independence will determine whether it will work to build balanced relations with Iran or not, noting that he believes that "there will be no priority or priority for Iran in the future as it was in the past."
    He stated that the indications of low participation in the recent elections indicate that the Iraqi citizen is no longer able to continue with the quota system, at a time when the Iraqi voter is striving for real democracy.

    warning sign 

    An analysis published by the "National Interest" magazine, prepared by Hamid Reza Azizi, indicated that the low participation rates in Iraq should be seen as a warning sign about the future stability in the country.
    He added that the results of the recent Iraqi elections reveal that the Shiite factions close to Iran are the biggest losers, which means a blow to Iran's influence inside Iraq, which called on their supporters to take to the streets and protest and challenge the results.
    The analysis believes that Iran faces many challenges that require a "very careful" strategy, foremost of which is the victory of "Muqtada al-Sadr", whose bloc won the largest share of seats in the new parliament.
    Over the past two years, al-Sadr was able to present himself as an independent national figure, taking advantage of the growing wave of Iraqi nationalism and anti-Iran sentiment, as he did not hesitate to publicly criticize the Tehran-backed militias.
    Al-Sadr sought to assume the role of "the pivot of Shiite politics in Iraq", which was controlled by the former commander of the Quds Force, Qassem Soleimani, as some Shiite militias loyal to Iran witnessed some kind of disagreements, including within the Popular Mobilization Forces.

    Damage containment strategy 

    The [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] analysis suggests that Iran will follow a strategy for the coming period in an attempt to contain the damage that occurred after the parliamentary elections, whose constants will be based on “preventing the outbreak of armed conflict or large-scale violence involving its allies in Iraq, maintaining cohesion among Shiite groups, and preventing the formation of a majority government or the restructuring of the Iraqi state.
    He added that Tehran would seek to direct the creation of "a consensus government, not a majority government led by Muqtada al-Sadr."
    Tehran also opposes "the abolition of the quota system" even though it has been a demand from the Iraqi street for two years, and to maintain the prime ministership with a Shiite character, the speaker of parliament with a Sunni character, and a Kurdish president.

    Waiting for the Federal Court's decision

    Several pro-Iranian factions working within the "Coordination Framework Forces", including the "Al-Fateh Alliance", announced that they continue to "reject the current results and continue the lawsuit filed before the Federal Court to cancel the elections."
    On December 22, the Iraqi Federal Court postponed the settlement of a lawsuit filed by the "Al-Fateh" coalition, to annul the election results.
    The Federal Court must resolve complaints before it ratifies the final results of the elections so that the new parliament can convene. 
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    The Iraqi Federal Court postpones the decision on the appeal of the election results
    The Federal Court in Iraq decided, on Wednesday, to postpone the hearing of the appeal against the election results until next Sunday.
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    Although the Popular Mobilization factions did not lead the winning blocs in the elections, and the number of their fighters is estimated at 160,000 fighters, these formations remain an important player on the security and political level in the country.
    In the meantime, negotiations on forming the next government will continue, but they are moving in a complex spiral dominated by Shiite parties that eventually resort to a satisfactory agreement regardless of the number of seats occupied by each party.
    In November, the United Nations Special Envoy to Iraq, Jenin Plasschaert, defended the work of the Electoral Commission, saying that there were no indications of "systematic fraud."
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