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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    Experts answer: How long will the political blockage in Iraq last?

    rocky
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    Experts answer: How long will the political blockage in Iraq last? Empty Experts answer: How long will the political blockage in Iraq last?

    Post by rocky Thu 31 Mar 2022, 5:34 am


    [size=32][rtl]Experts answer: How long will the political blockage in Iraq last?[/rtl]

    March 31, 2022
    [/size]
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    [You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]A distributed photo of the Iraqi parliament in its first session on January 9, 2022
    © Office of the Iraqi Prime Minister/AFP -

    Baghdad (AFP) - Between a majority government and a consensus government, Iraq is facing a political complex that resulted in three failed attempts to elect a president, the last of which was a parliamentary session on Wednesday, and a continuation of the constitutional breach, six months after the early parliamentary elections, with no solution in sight.
    On Wednesday, the Iraqi parliament adjourned, "until further notice", its session, in which it was scheduled to elect a President of the Republic.
     
    Why has Parliament not yet elected a President of the Republic?
    The quorum was broken due to the continuing political disagreements.
    The origin of these differences is due to the announcement of the results of the early elections in October. At that time, the Sadrist movement, led by the Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr, won the largest number of seats.
    In Iraq, it is customary to share power on the principle of consensus, and for Shiite forces collectively to form the largest bloc in parliament that must choose a prime minister, but al-Sadr wants to break from that tradition.
    Since then, he has reiterated his insistence on forming a majority government and that he holds the largest bloc in a tripartite alliance called “Save the Homeland,” with the Kurdistan Democratic Party, and a bloc of Sunni parties, most notably a party led by Parliament Speaker Muhammad al-Halbousi, with about 155 deputies.
    As for the coordinating framework, which is an influential Shiite alliance that includes the “State of Law” bloc led by former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki and the Al-Fateh bloc, which includes factions loyal to Iran, it desires a consensual government among all Shiite forces, as usual.
    Until his demand is fulfilled, his more than 130 deputies are boycotting the presidential election sessions, depriving Wednesday's session of the two-thirds quorum and disrupting the political track.
     
    What are the prospects for resolving these disputes? –
    The third parliament session on Wednesday, and the political statements that followed, with Muqtada al-Sadr's affirmation of his unwillingness to "consensus", proved that a solution is still a long way off.
    Ihsan al-Shammari, a professor of political science at the University of Baghdad, explains to AFP that “the failure to set a date (for the next session to elect the president) by the parliament presidency indicates that there are no prospects for solutions related to the session of choosing a president of the republic, nor is there a convergence between the tripartite alliance (save a homeland). And between the Shiite coordination framework.”
    In a country where politics is actually based on the sharing of shares and the influence of weapons, and where differences are resolved behind the scenes rather than in the corridors of Parliament, the two main parties cling to their positions mean that the crisis will continue for many months as well.
    Representative Jwan Abdullah Omar of the Kurdistan Democratic Party said in an interview with the media that "negotiations are continuing ... but there are multiple differences between the political forces regarding the passing of the President of the Republic."
    Iraqi political analyst Hamza Haddad explains that "the political class is able to negotiate for many months, as the experiences of forming previous governments have proven to us, unless there is an external threat such as the Islamic State organization in 2014, to push political leaders to agree among themselves faster."
    He added, "They will continue for as long as possible to get what they want, even if that means exceeding constitutional deadlines, as is the case with the election of a president since February of this year."
     
    What about the constitution?
    The constitution stipulates that a president must be elected within 30 days of parliament holding its first session, in this case on January 9.
    The Iraqi legal expert, Ahmed Al-Sufi, explains to AFP that once “the date of February 9th was passed, we were faced with a constitutional violation.”
    He believes that as long as Parliament is still unable to reach consensus, this means that the constitutional violation continues.
    In this case, I can only hope for a political consensus.
    The Federal Court, the highest judicial authority in the country in this case, can only express one opinion, according to Al-Sufi, which is that “Parliament violated the constitution by not electing the President of the Republic within 30 days from the date of the first session, and the House of Representatives must elect within a short period the President of the Republic.” “.
    He added, "The Federal Court does not have any other authority" other than "to determine the constitutional violation."
    Legally, Parliament only has until April 6 to elect a president, following a decision of the Federal Court, the country's highest judicial authority.
    If this date is exceeded, there is nothing in the constitution that specifies how to deal with the issue, so the possibilities remain open if the concerned parties do not reach an agreement.
    The matter, then, is not in the hands of the law, but in the hands of the political class.
    In the event that the political stalemate continues, parliament may be resorted to and new early elections may be held. This needs to present “a third of the members of Parliament to present its dissolution before the House of Representatives, then the House itself votes by half + one, and the Parliament itself is dissolved.”
    However, Iraqi political analyst Hamza Haddad believes that “there is no political desire among the parties to do this, and as electoral participation in the past two elections showed, there is no great desire among Iraqis to go and vote as well.”
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