[size=52]The "State Administration" ship is awaiting the word of October... and the fate of the new coalition will be decided next week[/size]
[size=45]Baghdad / Tamim Al-Hassan
The coordinating framework that leaked on Sunday evening, news of the formation of what has become known as the "state administration coalition", decided to postpone the official announcement of the coalition until after the first of next October, or it may be forced to withdraw from it.[/size]
[size=45]The new coalition is supposed to include all the forces allied with the "framework" in addition to the Alliance of Sovereignty and the Kurdistan Democratic Party, provided that this coalition will manage the next transitional phase until elections are held.
It is possible, according to the data of what happened that night, to consider the coalition that is being talked about by the "frameworkers", and has not been officially announced yet, as a "test balloon."
The "framework" will decide whether or not to proceed with the new alliance and its clauses, part of which leaked, according to what will happen after the next 10/1.
Activists are mobilizing to large demonstrations in Baghdad on the third anniversary of the start of the October protests, which falls next Saturday.
And on Sunday evening, the office of Nuri al-Maliki, leader of the State of Law coalition, published a brief leaflet on "Twitter", in which he said that "the ship of the new coalition has sailed."
This came after the office of Hadi al-Amiri, the leader of the Al-Fateh Alliance, denied that a press conference was held at the latter's house to announce the new alliance.
The alliance had been talked about before Sunday, and it includes 6 parties: the Coordination Framework, the Azm Alliance, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan, Babylon, the Sovereignty Alliance, and the Kurdistan Democratic Party.
And behind the scenes of what happened on Sunday evening, a politician who was close to talking to Al-Mada revealed "Al-Amiri's hesitation in agreeing to announce the formation of the coalition for fear of angering Muqtada Al-Sadr, the leader of the Sadrist movement."
Al-Amiri's hesitation caused the latter to deny holding a press conference at his home in order to announce the alliance, which he called "the state administration."
The informed politician continues: "The events of the signing of the alliance were transferred to the house of Ammar al-Hakim, the leader of the Wisdom Movement, and after that al-Amiri joined the rest of the leaders."
According to the politician who attended Sunday night's events, al-Amiri still had lines of communication with al-Sadr, and joined al-Hakim's house when he received a response from the leader of the movement, who told him that "al-Sadr is not concerned with what is happening and al-Amiri is free in his decision."
So far, the leader of Al-Fateh has not issued any comment on what happened on Sunday evening, with the exception of the statement that was published that night from his office about the absence of a press conference to announce the coalition.
Al-Amiri's positions throughout the crisis, which is approaching a year, were close to the Sadrist movement, and it is the only one that al-Sadr welcomed on the condition that he leave the "framework."
Mukhtar Al-Moussawi, a former deputy in the Al-Fateh Alliance, refused to comment on Al-Amiri's positions, but told Al-Mada that the latter "will not participate in the government to be formed."
And his opinion of the new alliance, the former MP stressed that «there is no hundred alliances and meetings that will end with the formation of a government without the approval of the leader of the Sadrist movement».
So far, there has been no comment from al-Sadr about the new coalition, while Ghayeb al-Amiri, a former Sadrist MP, mocked the alliance.
Al-Amiri said in a tweet on Twitter on Sunday evening: "The framework remains a framework and it is impossible for it to become an engine."
Since what was known as the "forty-year armistice", which is believed to have been recently extended to the middle of next month, al-Sadr has been committed to not making political statements.
Those close to the Sadrist movement raise questions about what happened on Sunday night, and the reason for the lack of an official document for the coalition showing the names of the signatories, or holding a press conference.
Those close to al-Hanana, al-Sadr's stronghold, confirmed in an interview with Al-Mada that "the leader of the Sadrist movement certainly refused to announce this alliance and did not send any representative on it."
A close associate of the movement, a former deputy, indicates that there are unconfirmed reports of a contact between Khamis al-Khanjar, the leader of the Sovereignty Alliance, with al-Sadr on Sunday night.
The representative of the race does not know the exact details of the contact, but he pointed out that leaks indicated that al-Khanjar assured the leader of the Sadrist movement that "the demands of the Sadrist movement were present at the meeting that took place on Sunday evening."
The former MP asserts that "the tripartite alliance between sovereignty, the current and the Democratic Party still exists, and certainly the conditions of al-Sadr were put forward by the allies on Sunday night."
So far, no official statement has been issued by the Sovereignty or the Kurdistan Democratic Party on the new coalition.
Part of the agreement that took place on Sunday evening was leaked, as he confirmed that no negotiations took place with al-Sadr because the latter "has refused to negotiate."
The leaked negotiating papers carried demands to abolish the Accountability and Justice Commission and transfer the files to the judiciary, a demand that has been repeated since 2006.
The documents also indicated the existence of what they described as a “Sunni desire” to expel the army and the popular mobilization from the city centers, and confirmed that it was agreed to achieve this after “a budget was provided” and “centres that provided them with stability,” in reference to the mobilization and the army.
The documents of the new agreement, which have not been verified by an independent body, indicated that the election law would be amended, elections would be held a year after the amendment, and provincial council elections would be held before the legislative elections.
In addition to forming a government in accordance with the principle of consensus and electoral benefits, the politician familiar with the agreement asserts that it was “emphasized that Muhammad al-Sudani will remain.”
Amid these news, the latter's office announced what it said was the next government program, which included 23 axes, the most important of which are related to electricity, health, municipal services and combating corruption.
Parties in the coordination framework have recently hinted, most notably Qais al-Khazali (the leader of the Asaib Asaib), to the possibility of replacing al-Sudani as one of the solutions to understanding with al-Sadr, who still rejects any understandings with the "frameworkers".
Returning to the scenes on Sunday night, the politician close to the events said that "there are papers and signatures that will appear, and the press conference will be announced, but after 10/1."
The politician described what happened from the agreement as a "feeling of the pulse", as the framework will wait for what will happen after the third anniversary of the October protests and decide to proceed or make amendments to the agreement.
Pictures on social networking sites showed publications to mobilize the demonstrations next Saturday, which may develop into storming the Green Zone.
The "framework" also expects that Sadr's supporters will participate in the new movement, and the clashes in the Green Zone that took place at the end of last August may recur.
The leaked documents revealed about the meeting on Sunday night, stressing the issuance of a general amnesty and excluding those involved in terrorism, the abolition of the positions of the acting governor, and the unification of customs duties.
It was noticeable in the negotiating documents about holding a session of Parliament on September 27 (today), and the documents stated that Parliament Speaker Muhammad al-Halbousi "was enthusiastic about holding the session."
The framework's last attempt to hold a session last week ended with a small meeting in the "parliament cafeteria" between Al-Sudani and a limited number of deputies.[/size]
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