Expectations of major political changes in the first quarter of 2023

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[size=52]Expectations of major political changes in the first quarter of 2023[/size]

[size=45]Baghdad / Tamim Al-Hassan[/size]
[size=45]The coordination framework has been in a complex crisis for about two weeks, due to the continuation of internal disputes on the one hand, and fears of the disintegration of the State Administration Coalition. And the Sadrist movement - whose leader Muqtada al-Sadr still refuses to communicate with any political party - predicted that surprises would occur during the first quarter of next year.[/size]
[size=45]The conflict within the Shiite bloc, which controls more than half of the ministries, led to the threat of an important party to withdraw from the government.[/size]
[size=45]This comes at a time when the fifth anniversary of the victory over the terrorist gangs of “ISIS” is passing, while Parliament Speaker Muhammad al-Halbousi shocked the families of the missing persons during that period.[/size]
[size=45]Prime Minister Muhammad Shia’ al-Sudani said yesterday: “The tenth of December will remain an Iraqi symbol of courage and sacrifice with distinction, and thanks to the rational reference for its fatwa, which followed its zealous guidance.”[/size]
[size=45]And he added: “Glory to everyone who made this victory, and may the pure blood be blessed, which restored the pulse to Iraq and the Iraqis,” stressing that “the memory of the victory is an incentive to build Iraq and serve its people.”[/size]
[size=45]In conjunction with the anniversary, human rights organizations said that there are about 11,000 families who have filed complaints about the loss of their children in the last 8 years, most of them between 2017 and 2022.[/size]
[size=45]On the other hand, the Speaker of Parliament said in an interview with a local TV station: “We must tell people who they are (the disappeared), and change their name first to the murdered, not the absent: the murdered have passed away.”[/size]
[size=45]Al-Halbousi criticized what he considered: “their families (the disappeared) have been misled since 2014 until now.” He added, “To be bolder with the people who lost their families and children… the file should not be used for political slander… and giving their families hope for their return, as this is not true.”[/size]
[size=45]The file of the missing or disappeared is considered one of the most prominent files that were within the political agreement between the Sunni forces and the coordination framework for the formation of the Sudanese government.[/size]
[size=45]It seems, according to political sources who spoke to (Al-Mada), that the Speaker of Parliament: “has received non-positive signals from the framework regarding this file and other files that prompted him to threaten to withdraw from the government and the State Administration Coalition.”[/size]
[size=45]In the same meeting, the Speaker of Parliament considered the coming year 2023 a “crossroads,” and hinted at the possibility of a change in the political map.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Halbousi said: “If the political agreement is not achieved, there is no purpose in staying in the political process,” indicating that this decision may also be taken by some Kurdish and Shiite forces.[/size]
[size=45]And the Speaker of Parliament continued: “But we will not repeat the mistake of the Sadrist movement (referring to the withdrawal from Parliament) and leave our representation to other parties.”[/size]
[size=45]After the last statement and other words mentioned by al-Halbousi in the meeting about the inability of the coordination framework to “enter Jurf al-Sakhar” south of Baghdad, this sparked strong criticism within the “framework.”[/size]
[size=45]And the sources, who asked not to be identified, confirmed that "the speaker of parliament questioned the existence of a prior agreement with the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr (before the withdrawal of his deputies last June) by giving a deadline of up to 6 months before withdrawing from it."[/size]
[size=45]According to the leaks, there are difficulties in implementing the terms of the political agreement, especially in the Sunni part, such as withdrawing the crowd from the areas that were under the control of “ISIS”, and dissolving the Accountability and Justice Commission.[/size]
[size=45]In turn, a former Sadrist deputy suggested in an interview with (Al-Mada) that “the crisis will escalate at the beginning of next year, and the state administration coalition may be dissolved in next March, as a maximum.”[/size]
[size=45]Representative Al-Sadr, who asked not to be named, believes that "conflicts over important positions and the intersection of parties because of control over some ministries will accelerate the explosion inside and outside the framework." A few days ago, information leaked about the possibility of Nouri al-Maliki's withdrawal from the government due to the control of other parties on the decision within the coordination framework.[/size]
[size=45]According to what is being circulated, Oil Minister Hayan Abdul-Ghani of the State of Law objected to the sale of 3 plants belonging to the ministry.[/size]
[size=45]And the oil minister tried to prevent or retract that deal, but he failed, which caused al-Maliki's threat, according to his three ministers (oil, sports, and communications).[/size]
[size=45]The State of Law Office said, in response to these leaks: “We affirm the unity of the coordination framework, its cohesion, and its commitment to support the government, and the government is responsible before the framework as it is responsible before the State Administration Coalition.”[/size]
[size=45]Parliament had postponed last week's session, devoted to voting on part of the special grades, due to continuing differences. It seems that the differences in some joints have escalated to the judiciary, as the deputy head of the Military Industrialization complains about his boss because of the latter's clinging to the position.[/size]
[size=45]According to a document published on some news platforms, Ali Fakhri Abdel Hamzah, Vice President of the Commission, filed a complaint with the competent court because the defendant, Muhammad Sahib al-Darraji, refused to implement the decision of the Federal Supreme Court, which included the cancellation of Cabinet Resolution 133, according to which the defendant was appointed as head of the Military Industrialization Commission.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Darraji is close to Shibl al-Zaidi, leader of the Imam Ali Brigades - one of the Hashd factions - while there are leaks about the existence of struggles to control the body.[/size]
[size=45]Abdel-Hamza demanded that Al-Darraji be considered a violation of the law, in addition to impersonating the head of the Military Industrialization Authority and usurping the position by force and intimidation in order to continue carrying out his business, which caused severe damage to national security and damage to public money.[/size]
[size=45]Abdel-Hamza threatened to take legal action against him (Al-Daradji) and anyone who proves his involvement in not implementing the Federal Supreme Court’s decision, which is irrevocable and binding on all authorities, and which was publicly disclosed in Federal Case 198 on 11/13/2022.[/size]
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