Warning of a major war involving Iraq

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[size=52]Warning of a major war involving Iraq[/size]

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06-10-2024
The American magazine “Newsweek” warned of a larger and more dangerous conflict in the region, involving several countries, including Iraq, if the ceasefire in Gaza falters soon.[/size]
[size=45]In a report, the American magazine described Hezbollah in Lebanon as “Iran’s strongest ally in the Middle East, and the most armed,” noting that former Israeli officials warned that the current path toward war, fueled by intense cross-border clashes and fiery rhetoric, could lead to “It will lead the region to a completely unknown stage.”[/size]
[size=45]The American report quoted former Israeli official Eran Etzion, who served as Deputy Chairman of the Israeli National Security Council during the last war between Israel and Lebanon in 2006, as saying: “It is very difficult to see how victory in this war can be achieved quickly if it is won at all.” He added, “I think it will be a war that Israel will lose within the first 24 hours, simply because of the images that we will see of comprehensive destruction in very sensitive areas inside Israel at a level we have never seen before.”[/size]
[size=45]Northern Israel[/size]
[size=45]The report indicated that “the focus is increasing on the escalating battle in the north between the Israeli army and Hezbollah, which has been able to significantly improve its arsenal since the 2006 war,” adding that “Israeli army officials say that the party currently possesses about 200,000 missiles, in addition to shells.” Mortars, drones, surface-to-air missiles, anti-tank missiles, and precision missiles.”[/size]
[size=45]The American report also quoted the former head of the Arms Control Branch of the Israeli Army’s Strategic Planning Department, Shmuel Meir, as saying that Iran “built Hezbollah’s arsenal of long-range missiles for one strategic purpose, which is to serve as a frontal defense to deter Israel from attacking its nuclear facilities.” “, adding that this “explains the Iranian activity and the repeated visits of senior officials to Beirut, to ensure that Hezbollah is not wasting its arsenal of missiles as it did in the 2006 Lebanon War.”[/size]
[size=45]The report pointed out that “many of these weapons are being used in the ongoing confrontations, and the party even confirmed that it recently destroyed the first batteries of the Iron Dome system. The Israeli army also acknowledged that the recent strikes were carried out by drones loaded with explosives and rocket barrages that ignited massive fires.” In northern Israel, which has been largely evacuated.”[/size]
[size=45]According to Israeli officials, about 80,000 people have been displaced from communities in northern Israel since October 7, and at the same time, the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs estimated the number of people displaced from southern Lebanon at about 93,000 as a result of the war.[/size]
[size=45]The report described that what may be happening between Lebanon and Israel may lead to exceeding the current numbers of casualties in the ongoing war in Gaza due to the level of firepower and manpower that the two sides are likely to use, but according to Meir, it is “a war that neither party can win because of the balance.” Massive mutual destruction of population centres.”[/size]
[size=45]The report quoted Meir as saying, “A large-scale Israeli army attack and invasion of Lebanon, as some politicians are demanding, will lead to Hezbollah retaliating with large-scale missile attacks on Haifa and Tel Aviv.”[/size]
[size=45]The report continued, “During his visit to an Israeli army base near the recently damaged border city of Kiryat Shmona, Netanyahu pledged to restore security in the region, stressing, ‘We are ready to carry out very intensive work in the north.’”[/size]
[size=45]The American Newsweek report added: “While Netanyahu and other senior Israeli officials are now openly discussing the possibility of a new war with Hezbollah, the party has downplayed the importance of the Israeli rhetoric and declared its readiness to respond to any threats from Israel.[/size]
[size=45]The report quoted what it described as a Hezbollah spokesman as saying: “Since October 7, the Israelis have been threatening, but whoever has a loud voice cannot do anything,” adding that “they have not emerged from their quagmire in Gaza after 8 months with any accomplishment other than killing.” Civilians and innocent children,” noting that the party “is always prepared for anything, and will defend its citizens and land without any hesitation.”[/size]
[size=45]Doron Avital, the former commander of the elite unit in the Israeli army, “Sairat Matkal,” was also quoted as saying that the current security situation on the border is “a crazy situation,” adding that there will be a “price” that Israeli population centers such as Haifa will pay because of Hezbollah’s long-term capabilities.[/size]
[size=45]He also warned against the Israeli effort to destroy Lebanese civilian and military infrastructure, given the international setback that Israel has already felt throughout its campaign against Hamas.[/size]
[size=45]Avital continued: “I do not want to go to war in Lebanon without agreeing with the United States, which of course does not want that, and we must acknowledge the devastation we caused in Gaza. “It will be difficult for our allies to see this kind of destruction inflicted on Beirut.”[/size]
[size=45]Axis of resistance[/size]
[size=45]He believed that “American support will be crucial because even a limited operation could lead to a deterioration into a larger war, a conflict that could also lead to dragging in other factions of the “Axis of Resistance” allied with Iran, which has already claimed responsibility for almost daily operations in Iraq and Yemen against... Israel, recalling that Iran had already launched missiles and drones against Israel in April in response to the Israeli army’s assassination of senior Iranian military officials in an Iranian consular building in Syria.[/size]
[size=45]However, the report quoted Etzion, former deputy head of the Israeli National Security Council, as saying, “You can imagine a slide in the Israeli Cabinet that begins with the ongoing conflict in Gaza, jumps to a comprehensive war with Hezbollah, and then turns to direct Iranian intervention and expanded participation by militias.” The other ones are loyal to Iran in Syria and Iraq and the Houthis in Yemen,” adding that “the two big leaps in this very complex situation are Hezbollah and Iran.”[/size]
[size=45]Contain the conflict[/size]
[size=45]According to Etzion, “The possibility of further escalation increases with the entry of each stage, and once Hezbollah enters, the possibility of Iran’s entry also grows increasingly larger, and the degree of involvement of those other militias grows significantly.”[/size]
[size=45]The report mentioned the US President’s announcement about 10 days ago of the three-stage road map for a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas and an exchange of prisoners, where he said: “Once the ceasefire and hostage agreement are reached (in Gaza), this will open the possibility of achieving a greater degree of peace.” “Progress, including calm along Israel’s northern border with Lebanon.”[/size]
[size=45]The report pointed to ongoing efforts behind the scenes to avoid any possible uncontrollable escalation, as it quoted Meir, referring to reports that talk about “back channels of continuous communication between Iran and the United States through the Swiss embassy in Tehran and secret meetings in Amman.”[/size]
[size=45]According to the report, it became clear that the United States and Iran have a common goal, which is to contain and limit the war on the Lebanese border, to prevent escalation that leads to unintended and undesirable results.[/size]
[size=45]He concluded that Lebanese officials are also concerned about the potential costs of the conflict on their territory, which could have far-reaching consequences for the Middle East and could “drag the region into the abyss.”[/size]
[size=45]The American report concluded, quoting Lebanese officials, saying that a large-scale war, if it occurs, “will be unprecedented, have a broader geographical scope, and multi-party and multi-front.”[/size]
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