Home
The Jobs Number & Reality Check
Posted on October 3, 2015 by Martin Armstrong
The prevailing thinking to emerge from the job numbers alone are to confusing to say the least. They lead to the assumption that the U.S. economy has downshifted for the last three consecutive months. However, the Fed will not move into QE mode for that has robbed them of their power to even try to manipulate the economy in tune with Keynesian Economics. There is a lot more depth to the numbers than meets the eye.
The other side of the job numbers is the economic evolution underway. The introduction of technology is reducing jobs since basic jobs can be replaced with machines. We are seeing this trend everywhere. South Africa’s gold-mining companies are also now turning to machines to replace workers to reduce the cost of mining gold. This is a trend that is impacting the global economy. This is a wave of innovation which unsettles the economy and some jobs vanish as new types of jobs are created requiring different skill sets.
So the jobs number is nothing to get all excited over. You can see the stark contrast as household incomes are showing a sharp gain, which is reflected in car sales accelerating toward record levels. The jobs number by itself is not altogether a key indicator. The markets will collapse and rally based upon it, but that is trading noise.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized by Martin Armstrong. Bookmark the permalink.
Posted on October 3, 2015 by Martin Armstrong
The prevailing thinking to emerge from the job numbers alone are to confusing to say the least. They lead to the assumption that the U.S. economy has downshifted for the last three consecutive months. However, the Fed will not move into QE mode for that has robbed them of their power to even try to manipulate the economy in tune with Keynesian Economics. There is a lot more depth to the numbers than meets the eye.
The other side of the job numbers is the economic evolution underway. The introduction of technology is reducing jobs since basic jobs can be replaced with machines. We are seeing this trend everywhere. South Africa’s gold-mining companies are also now turning to machines to replace workers to reduce the cost of mining gold. This is a trend that is impacting the global economy. This is a wave of innovation which unsettles the economy and some jobs vanish as new types of jobs are created requiring different skill sets.
So the jobs number is nothing to get all excited over. You can see the stark contrast as household incomes are showing a sharp gain, which is reflected in car sales accelerating toward record levels. The jobs number by itself is not altogether a key indicator. The markets will collapse and rally based upon it, but that is trading noise.
This entry was posted in Uncategorized by Martin Armstrong. Bookmark the permalink.
» Parliament votes on two articles that include the exchange rate at 130 thousand dinars
» Postponing the session to complete the vote on the budget materials for several hours
» Prime Minister: Iraq is on the verge of a major reconstruction movement in all sectors
» Advisor to the Prime Minister explains the details of the first stages of the new Sadr City project
» The Chairman of the Parliamentary Finance Committee announces the settlement of differences and the
» Al-Rafidain announces the distribution of a new meal from the advances of retirees amounting to 25 m
» Al-Sudanese confirms the obligation of Kurdistan to export oil through SOMO.. What about Türkiye?
» Deputy: One trillion dinars to develop four health programs in this year's budget
» The Governor of the Central Bank meets the Vice President of JPMorgan Bank
» Parliament votes to adopt the value of a barrel of oil at $70 and the exchange rate of the dollar at
» An American bank expresses its willingness to support Iraqi banks with foreign trade financing opera
» A new postponement of the budget settlement session
» Dollar exchange rates in the local market
» Al-Alaq is looking with the head of the JP Morgan bank to support foreign trade financing
» A budget usurped by and from it, will it end the controversy of emptiness and fill the pockets of ci
» Alia Nassif attacks those who seek to restore the provincial councils: a failed experiment and a gat
» A deputy for Karbala blames the government and the leaders of the blocs for delaying the budget and
» The Finance Committee requests a 24-hour deadline: Kurdistan's dispute was confined between the "two
» The House of Representatives adjourned the session on the budget to one in the afternoon, Friday
» After labors and disagreements.. the House of Representatives holds its session to vote on the tripa
» Parliament adjourns after voting on articles of the draft budget
» Dollar exchange rates in the Iraqi governorates
» What do you know about the 6 articles voted on by the House of Representatives and the deleted artic
» Militia Man & Crew patron-only new video: "Two Sides of the Story"
» Judy, MilitiaMan and more....Thursday Morning 6-8-2023
» Al-Sudani to a delegation from the “GB Morgan” bank: We are continuing to reform the banking system
» The Association of Banks announces the creation of more than 10,000 job opportunities
» Deputy: Distributing the copy of the budget to the members of parliament when the session is held
» It is noteworthy that the suspended oil and gas law in Parliament since its first session, in 2005,
» Al-Sudani is discussing with an international banking delegation supporting the banking sector, the
» The start of the implementation ceremony of the (Iraqi-Gulf) electrical interconnection project betw
» Al-Sudani: The government seeks to stop money laundering by complying with international standards
» "Manipulation and speculation".. Economists attribute the dollar's rise in the parallel market to "n
» British report: The losses from stopping the region's oil exports through Türkiye are not estimated
» Masrour Barzani on the region's share of the budget: We made every effort to reach an agreement with
» An American institute dismantles the Chinese puzzle in Iraq: Beijing's investments are supported by
» The triple balancing act in front of the last three hours test: either to pass or face a legal probl
» Between "embarrassment and decisiveness"... the budget brings Parliament into a "war of hours" and t
» Barzani on Kurdistan's share of the budget: We will not accept any violation of our rights
» A member of Barzani's party: holding a session to pass the budget depends on this matter
» Al-Sudanese in front of a delegation from the American bank, JP Morgan, pledging comprehensive banki
» Final agreement to send the draft budget to the Finance Committee and to vote at 6 p.m
» The position of the Kurdish forces hours before the budget settlement session
» Baghdad Today conveys the latest developments in the voting session on the budget
» The "suspicious" reputation of black money is lowering real estate prices in one of the most expensi
» The Saudi Energy Minister announces the start of implementing the Gulf electrical interconnection wi
» Parliamentary source: The budget voting session may take place at dawn on Friday
» Deputy: A large turnout of members of Parliament and a comfortable majority to pass the budget
» Side meetings to agree on the final version of the budget
» Al-Halbousi chairs a meeting of the Finance Committee prior to the budget vote session
» The Ministry of Finance confirms that it is not concerned with making amendments to the budget law
» Parliamentarian: The budget has disappeared and the atmosphere does not bode well
» Postponing the parliament session to vote on the budget to this date
» 90% of it went abroad.. The Central Bank of Iraq sells more than 205 million dollars during today's
» The Ministry of Environment announces the launch of sustainable solutions to confront the climate cr
» Parliamentary Finance details the revenues of Kurdistan's oil exports within 365 days.. How was the
» An economist explains a mechanism to shorten registration on new cities
» Al-Sudani: The budget amendments are political, not technical, and this is about voting on them
» Almost Final Confirmation From The Framework About The Budget Pass Session.. Will We Witness A Vote?
» Parliament’s Finances Reveal The Fate Of Kurdistan’s Budget Amendments.. “The Agreement Has Been Ach
» Legal expert: Passing the budget without taking into account the decisions of the Federal Court will
» Al-Zajrawi: Transferring 6 trillion dinars to support the investment budget of the governorates and
» Barzani's advisor: The regional government is not a caretaker
» Move to reconsider granting investment licenses.. What is the fate of malls and residential complexe
» Dollar prices fell against the dinar in Baghdad and Erbil
» Central Iraqi sales decreased by 11% in today's auction
» Dollar exchange rates in the local markets
» Al-Abadi's coalition reveals the secrets of the agreement between the coordination framework and Bar
» US Ambassador Romanowski urges the Kurdistan Regional Administration to hold urgent elections
» Sunnis and Kurds announce their positions on the budget voting session
» Al-Alaq confirms that the Central Bank of Iraq is serious about supporting the small and medium ente
» Emir of Qatar in Baghdad soon
» Securities expect a decline in the price of the dollar after the approval of the budget
» Iraq and Switzerland are looking to build partnerships in the financial and economic sectors
» The Central Bank hints at the possibility of canceling some fines on banks
» Preventing the leveling of agricultural lands to widen the streets
» Iraq lays the first building block in building an advanced digital health system
» Parliamentary Energy: The next two years will witness the end of the electricity crisis
» Up to 150 million dinars.. Al-Rafidain launches construction loans for employees
» Chambers of Commerce identify three reasons behind the rise in the exchange rate of the dollar in th
» A statement from the Dawa Party regarding al-Maliki's connection to accounts that "offend the audito
» The framework ends a "long meeting" and heralds the approval of the most important project budget in
» Alekti resolves his position to attend the session to pass the budget
» Washington is hinting at an Iraqi role in the Pacific and Atlantic
» A parliamentary source reveals to (Baghdad Today) the reasons for postponing the budget session unti
» Al-Barti on today's session: Things are positive, and we are afraid of surprises in the last moments
» The Central Bank sells more than 200 million dollars with the decline of the Iraqi dinar in the mark
» Saudi Arabia expects to operate the electrical interconnection project with Iraq by the end of 2025
» In the document.. The Retirement Authority announces the completion of a study on the issue of incre
» New military operations for US forces in Iraq
» The Foreign Minister arrives in Riyadh to participate in the meeting of the international coalition
» Foreign Ministry: Iraq works to improve services, infrastructure, economy and fight corruption
» The House of Representatives postpones its session to eight o'clock this evening
» Briar Rashid: The House of Representatives has no choice but to vote on the draft budget law
» The tripartite budget project blown parliamentary disputes
» Postponement of the budget vote session
» Iraqi-Saudi meetings are "expected" to exchange security and intelligence information
» An Iraqi parliamentary delegation participates in the meetings of the Arab Parliament