Several playoff contenders could suffer key losses in Week 14 of the 2016 NFL season. Three first-place teams are underdogs on the upcoming schedule, and a few wild-card teams could have trouble winning against divisional opponents.
After underdogs got off to a strong start this season, favorites have performed much better in the second half. Favorites went 10-5 against the spread in Week 13, and Week 14 could produce a similar result.
Below are picks against the spread for every game in Week 14, as well as updated betting odds at Las Vegas and online sportsbooks. Betting lines and trends are courtesy of OddsShark.
Oakland Raiders (+3) at Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City has already won by two touchdowns in Oakland, and they’ve got a good chance to jump into first place in the AFC West. The Chiefs’ defense has been terrific at home, and they continue to win games against the league’s top offensive teams, having beaten the likes of New Orleans, Atlanta and San Diego. Kansas City’s offense has been playing well, and as good as Khalil Mack has been, the Raiders still give up a lot of points.
Prediction ATS: Kansas City
Denver Broncos (+1) at Tennessee Titans
Denver has the edge in this matchup between a top defense and a high-powered offense. The Titans are just 1-5 when scoring less than 27 points, and the Broncos have allowed 27 points or more just twice this season. Coming off a win in Week 13 could be bad news for Tennessee in Week 14, considering they’ve gone 1-9 in their last 10 games immediately following a victory.
Prediction ATS: Denver
San Diego Chargers (+1) at Carolina Panthers
Neither team has anything to play for, having lost several winnable games and knocking themselves out of playoff contention. Carolina has the slight edge at home, and they’ve shown the ability to put up a lot of points when facing bad defenses. The Panthers are averaging 34.4 points per game in their five games against teams that rank 22nd or worse in points allowed, and they might win a high-scoring affair against San Diego, who ranks 27th in that category.
Houston Texans (+6) at Indianapolis Colts
The Colts should have defeated the Texans in their first meeting, but they allowed Houston to overcome a 14-point deficit with less than three minutes remaining. Brock Osweiler might be the worst quarterback that’s started every game this year, and he won’t be able to mount another comeback against the league’s No.7 scoring team. Houston is 1-13 in their last 14 games in Indianapolis.
Prediction ATS: Indianapolis
Cincinnati Bengals (-6) at Cleveland Browns
Cleveland is probably going to end the season without a win, and they’ll have trouble keeping things close against the Bengals. Even though Cincinnati isn’t heading to the postseason, they’ve struggled largely against good teams. Facing non-playoff teams in recent weeks, the Bengals beat the Browns by 14 points and the Eagles by 18 points. Sunday should be more of the same.
Prediction ATS: Cincinnati
Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) at Buffalo Bills
The Steelers are back to looking like the Super Bowl contender that many NFL fans thought they were getting at the beginning of the season. With a healthy Ben Roethlisberger, Pittsburgh has one of the NFL’s best offenses, and it should be too much for a Buffalo defense that’s given up an average of 28.5 points in its last six games.
Prediction ATS: Pittsburgh
Arizona Cardinals (+1) at Miami Dolphins
The Cardinals have been terrible on the road in 2016, going 1-4 with their only victory coming against the one-win 49ers. Traveling across the country to face a potential playoff team will be a difficult task, and Miami’s 32-point loss in Baltimore in Week 13 was largely an aberration.
Prediction ATS: Miami
Chicago Bears (+8) at Detroit Lions
Before beating the Saints by 15 points last week, Detroit hadn’t been dominant in any of their victories. Having already lost to the Bears this season, the Lions might not be able to win Sunday’s contest so easily. Detroit has beaten the Jaguars, Rams and Eagles by a combined 11 points, and Chicago could even have a chance to win late in the fourth quarter of this game.
Prediction ATS: Chicago
Minnesota Vikings (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars
This should be a repeat of last week’s game in Jacksonville. Facing an elite defense in the Broncos, the Jaguars were unable to move the ball and lost by a touchdown because of turnovers. The Vikings might not be able to have much success on offense, but they’ve forced more turnovers than anyone in the NFC. Considering Blake Bortles has thrown 11 interceptions that have been returned for touchdowns in his short career, Minnesota could be in line to score a defensive touchdown on their way to a victory.
New Orleans Saints (+2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Bucs have been impressive during their four-game winning streak, but they could have a misstep against a team that has their number. New Orleans is 8-1 in their last nine games against Tampa Bay, and they’ll put up a lot of points against a team that’s struggled at home. The Bucs are 2-4 in Tampa Bay, allowing at least 27 points in all of those losses.
Prediction ATS: New Orleans
Washington Redskins (-1) at Philadelphia Eagles
The Redskins beat the Eagles by seven points when both teams were still in the playoff race, and Washington could win by even more now that Philadelphia has virtually no chance to make the postseason. The Redskins have won their last four games against the Eagles, and they’ve gone 7-2 against the spread in their last nine visits to Philadelphia.
Prediction ATS: Washington
New York Jets (+2.5) at San Francisco 49ers
As bad as the Jets have been, they’ve had their moments this season with wins against good teams like the Ravens and Bills. San Francisco hasn’t won since the season opener, and they might not be able to beat anyone besides the winless Browns.
Prediction ATS: New York
Seattle Seahawks (-2.5) at Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have won two straight games, but the problems that plagued them during their four-game winning streak have not been solved. After facing two mediocre teams, Green Bay could find itself back in the loss column when facing a top Super Bowl contender.
Prediction ATS: Seattle
Atlanta Falcons (-6) at Los Angeles Rams
The Rams have an overrated defense, having played poorly against top offensive teams. In three games against top-10 scoring teams, L.A. has allowed 35 points per game. Atlanta scores more points than anyone in the NFL, and rookie quarterback Jared Goff has yet to prove that he can keep the Rams in high-scoring affairs.
Prediction ATS: Atlanta
Dallas Cowboys (-3) at New York Giants
New York’s 8-4 record is a product of their weak schedule, and they’ll have trouble with the NFL’s best team on Sunday night. The Giants took advantage of facing a rookie quarterback in his debut when they beat the Cowboys in Week 1, but Dak Prescott has since emerged as an MVP candidate. With only one real weapon on offense, New York won’t be able to keep pace with a team that has the NFL’s No. 1 offensive line and the league’s top running back.
Prediction ATS: Dallas
Baltimore Ravens (+7) at New England Patriots
New England’s offense isn’t nearly as dangerous without Rob Gronkowski, and it could have one of its worst games this season when facing the NFL’s top-ranked defense. Baltimore’s defense keeps them in every game, including their one-point loss to the Raiders and a 10-point loss to the Cowboys that was closer than the score might indicate. The Ravens play the Patriots better than most, going 2-4 in their last six meetings with only one of their losses coming by more than four points.
Prediction ATS: Baltimore
Season Record: 98-89-5