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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Many Topics Including The Oldest Dinar Community. Copyright © 2006-2020


    Newspaper expects a great loss for the owners and surpassed Abadi and Amiri elections

    Rocky
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    • Post n°1

    Newspaper expects a great loss for the owners and surpassed Abadi and Amiri elections Empty Newspaper expects a great loss for the owners and surpassed Abadi and Amiri elections

    Post by Rocky Mon 07 May 2018, 2:43 am

    [ltr]Newspaper expects a great loss for the owners and surpassed Abadi and Amiri elections[/ltr]
    [ltr]Political[/ltr]
     Since 2018-05-07 at 08:49 (Baghdad time)
    [ltr][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/ltr]
    [ltr]Follow - Mawazine News[/ltr]
    [ltr]Al-Arab Al-Arabiya newspaper reported on Monday that observers are unanimous that the Iraqi parliamentary elections scheduled for Saturday, 12 May 2018, are surrounded by circumstances that have not existed during previous electoral trials since 2005.[/ltr]
    [ltr]These elections are the first after the military battle against the organization of Dahed, the first also after the waves of popular protest witnessed by Iraq, and highlighted the popular desire to change and reform and improve the living conditions away from the slogans of sectarian mobilization and nationalism, which relied mainly on the political forces that led Iraq over the past 15 years.[/ltr]
    [ltr]Despite the almost transparent implications of change, it remains a change in the scope of the existing system, making it a superficial change, such as the rise of new faces from the same forces and parties that ruled earlier, the scattering and reshaping of former alliances in a way that helps to market them in a new way.[/ltr]
    [ltr]The most significant change in these elections is the disintegration of large coalitions that operated with sectarian and nationalist motifs in favor of multiple lists within the community and the one nation. Five main and sub-lists will compete for the votes of voters in the Shiite areas of Iraq.[/ltr]
    [ltr]Because of the multiplicity of lists, observers go to expect a close victory, which means the disappearance of the idea of ​​the winner of the largest, which is entitled to form a government, according to the Iraqi constitution.[/ltr]
    [ltr]In the 2010 elections, Nuri al-Maliki, the leader of a coalition of state law, needed only 3 seats to beat Iyad Allawi's list under the parliament. Instead of the three, he won 40 seats when the Sadrists decided to support him for a second term. Maliki won 89 seats directly, more than 165 seats, which provided a comfortable majority, and after 4 years in 2014, the coalition retained the post of prime minister, when he won about 110 seats, although part of it turned on Maliki and decided to support Haider Abadi.[/ltr]
    [ltr]A coalition of state law led by former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, is likely to be the biggest losers in the 2018 elections[/ltr]
    [ltr]It seems that the coalition of state law, will be the biggest victims of the 2018 elections, as he is expected to lose the bulk of his seats, and in the past, Hadi al-Amiri and his Badr Organization, and Haidar Abadi, the current Prime Minister, and leader of the movement of Asaib Ahl al-Haq Qais al-Khazali, Law, but now they are divided into two lists competing Maliki's coalition.[/ltr]
    [ltr]In addition to these three lists, the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, supports an alliance of his followers allied with the Iraqi Communist Party and various civil and Sunni parties. Ammar al-Hakim, after splitting from the Islamic Supreme Council, decided to run on a single list.[/ltr]
    [ltr]Given the relative stability in the votes of the followers of Hakim and Sadr, Abadi and Amiri will rely on the rule of a coalition of state law to obtain the necessary votes to reach the next parliament.[/ltr]
    [ltr]And observers are likely to cause Abadi to inflict al-Maliki a major loss, the kidnapping of about 50 of its 110 seats, to take Amiri nearly forty of them, and thus, Maliki may descend from being the highest-ranking seats in Shiite circles during the elections in 2010 and 2014, to the third place, And perhaps the fourth, in the event of superiority of the alliance, "Sauron" backed by Sadr.[/ltr]
    [ltr]However, Maliki will remain influential in the political scene, even with the expectations that give him between 15 and 25 seats in the next parliament, because there is no Shiite winner by a large margin than others.[/ltr]
    [ltr]In the Sunni sector, the Iraqi List, which had been gathering most of the Sunni leaders, despite its secular leader Ayad Allawi with Shiite origins, split into three main parts. Salim al-Jubouri, who heads the current parliament and enjoys the support of the Islamic Party And the leader of the Dialogue Front, Saleh al-Mutlaq, remained under the umbrella of Allawi in the national list. The controversial businessman Khamis Al-Khanjar, who was a prominent supporter of Allawi in 2010, had a special list, Veteran politician Dhafer al-Ani, and the third Sunni list It was formed by the leader of the movement of the solution Jamal Karbouli, and gathered politicians from Anbar, Salahuddin and Nineveh.[/ltr]
    [ltr]It is estimated that about 60 Sunni deputies will arrive in the next parliament, based on the number of seats for the Sunni constituencies in the various governorates, including 20 for Allawi, as well as seats from the Shiite constituencies, which may reach 10, so that the total seats in the next parliament about 30 The remaining 40 seats were distributed equally on the dagger and carboli lists, according to the highest forecast.[/ltr]
    [ltr]In the Kurdish areas, the competing forces are competing, but the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), led by Massoud Barzani, will remain the largest Kurdish force, with more than 20 seats in Arbil and Dohuk. The third place is in Sulaymaniyah and Kirkuk, The National Union and the Barham Salih Justice Coalition.[/ltr]
    [ltr]Based on these expectations, it appears that forming alliances on sectarian and national bases under the next parliament will be unlikely due to the sharp differences between the rival forces within the community and the one national, a variable that is supposed to be positive, but it will complicate the process of forming the government because of the need for understandings Between several parties[/ltr]




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