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How will the new Iraqi government form?
By [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] one hour agoHead of the Iraqi Center for Strategic Studies Yahia Al-Kubaisi
Roudao - Erbil
The conciliatory step between the Washington and Tehran camps has swayed Adel Abdul Mahdi in his ascendancy, despite the fact that there are many thorny files that could pose many obstacles to his young government.
The war-affected areas with the organization of the "Islamic State", which is waiting for the reconstruction and reconstruction campaigns and the return of the remaining displaced, are among the most important challenges for the government of Abdul Mahdi.
The head of the Iraqi Center for Strategic Studies, Yahya al-Kubaisi, said that the government of Abdul-Mahdi in front of a difficult task, but not impossible to find solutions to the crises that have been going on in the country for several years, and especially the file of the return of displaced persons to their areas.
"Some of the Sunni provinces have been subjected to a campaign of demographic change," Kubaisi said in an interview with the RODAO news network. "Most of the population is still in camps for the displaced, which is a great challenge for Abdelmahdi to ensure that thousands return to their areas.
RUDAOUD: Will the Sunni Arabs continue to pay the price for the mistakes of their representatives in the political process?
Yahya al-Kubaisi: I think that the citizen is part of this problem because he contributed to the delivery of their representatives to their positions in the House of Representatives or the executive authority, so the public bears this problem. Yes, we have a crisis in the Sunni representation, which has not yet been resolved, and I think it will remain for many objective reasons. The most prominent is the abstention from the elections in the Sunni provinces, which contributed greatly to the repeated appearance of political figures.
RODAO: Does the Islamic Party bear the bulk of that responsibility?
Al-Kubaisi: I do not think that the Islamic Party was the sole or main representative in the political scene, but it was granted this status by the occupation when the Secretary-General of the Islamic Party was elected to the Governing Council and his presence in this position gave him the opportunity to devote the party. The elections in 2005, when the Accordance Front won 44 seats and then the proportion of the Islamic Party, including half of the number of seats, but with the 2010 elections changed the equation and was able to get the Islamic Party only 6 seats, and in the 2014 elections won eight seats, 2018 He got only 5 seats, so no heh He can say that the Islamic Party is the only representative of the Sunni Arabs in the political scene. Yes; there is a crisis in Sunni representation and the Islamic Party is part of that crisis from the London Conference and still exists until the moment.
RUDAOUD: And with the government of Adel Abdul Mahdi, do you think this crisis will remain?
Al-Kubaisi: In the end, we are dealing with the outcome of the elections and the results of the representatives in the parliament and will they present a different model from their predecessor? This is a bet and no guarantees that he will succeed.
RODAO: How do Sunni forces deal with the government in the context of the crisis of displaced people, detainees and devastated cities?
Al-Kubaisi: We are talking about a number of problems while the state failed to resolve these crises. I think that we will face the continuation of these crises after the Sunni deputies failed to pressure the parliament to bring justice to the displaced in terms of returning to their areas or paying compensation for their destroyed homes. They were not allowed to return to their areas due to the positions of some political forces rejecting the return of the displaced and thus occurred actually the process of demographic change of some areas; while some Sunni political forces failed to face the crisis, which is calculated on the file of reconstruction, And the lack of any vision of the government and parliament in the previous session, while relying on the Iraqi government and parliament in its current session.
RUDAO: Do you see the participation of the National Axis Alliance in the political process as one of the solutions to these crises?
Al-Kubaisi: It is difficult to talk about changes in the political scene, because the choice of allies always depends on the period leading up to the elections. After elections, things may differ and the winning forces are searched. Despite the cohesion of the national axis to the moment but there are a lot of internal intersections; and the question remains that the next stage will see a change is possible and different from the previous.
RUDAO: How do you see the National Axis Alliance with Kurdish forces?
Kubaisi: There was an attempt to produce a kind of strategic alliance between the National Axis Alliance and the Kurdistan Democratic Party. This consensus succeeded in passing the post of Speaker of the House of Representatives and his second deputy, but did not succeed in passing the Democratic Party candidate for the presidency. In fact, we can say that this consensus remains steadfast; it is hoped that it will be a kind of balance within the House of Representatives.
RUDAOUD: How will the Iraqi government and political forces deal with the many crises that plague the country? Do you rely on external solutions?
Kubaisi: The imbalance of power relations in Iraq will not provide an internal solution, and without the external actor it is difficult to find solutions to any of Iraq's problems. We suffer from real problems starting from the political system and there is a kind of monopoly of power in Iraq, and without finding the mechanism for the participation of all in political decision-making, Iraq will not see any stability.
RUDAOUD: Are you optimistic about the participation of all political forces in the next phase?
Kubaisi: Everyone will be eager to participate in the government, but the question is about the understanding of the political forces that Iraq suffers a lot of crises.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
The conciliatory step between the Washington and Tehran camps has swayed Adel Abdul Mahdi in his ascendancy, despite the fact that there are many thorny files that could pose many obstacles to his young government.
The war-affected areas with the organization of the "Islamic State", which is waiting for the reconstruction and reconstruction campaigns and the return of the remaining displaced, are among the most important challenges for the government of Abdul Mahdi.
The head of the Iraqi Center for Strategic Studies, Yahya al-Kubaisi, said that the government of Abdul-Mahdi in front of a difficult task, but not impossible to find solutions to the crises that have been going on in the country for several years, and especially the file of the return of displaced persons to their areas.
"Some of the Sunni provinces have been subjected to a campaign of demographic change," Kubaisi said in an interview with the RODAO news network. "Most of the population is still in camps for the displaced, which is a great challenge for Abdelmahdi to ensure that thousands return to their areas.
RUDAOUD: Will the Sunni Arabs continue to pay the price for the mistakes of their representatives in the political process?
Yahya al-Kubaisi: I think that the citizen is part of this problem because he contributed to the delivery of their representatives to their positions in the House of Representatives or the executive authority, so the public bears this problem. Yes, we have a crisis in the Sunni representation, which has not yet been resolved, and I think it will remain for many objective reasons. The most prominent is the abstention from the elections in the Sunni provinces, which contributed greatly to the repeated appearance of political figures.
RODAO: Does the Islamic Party bear the bulk of that responsibility?
Al-Kubaisi: I do not think that the Islamic Party was the sole or main representative in the political scene, but it was granted this status by the occupation when the Secretary-General of the Islamic Party was elected to the Governing Council and his presence in this position gave him the opportunity to devote the party. The elections in 2005, when the Accordance Front won 44 seats and then the proportion of the Islamic Party, including half of the number of seats, but with the 2010 elections changed the equation and was able to get the Islamic Party only 6 seats, and in the 2014 elections won eight seats, 2018 He got only 5 seats, so no heh He can say that the Islamic Party is the only representative of the Sunni Arabs in the political scene. Yes; there is a crisis in Sunni representation and the Islamic Party is part of that crisis from the London Conference and still exists until the moment.
RUDAOUD: And with the government of Adel Abdul Mahdi, do you think this crisis will remain?
Al-Kubaisi: In the end, we are dealing with the outcome of the elections and the results of the representatives in the parliament and will they present a different model from their predecessor? This is a bet and no guarantees that he will succeed.
RODAO: How do Sunni forces deal with the government in the context of the crisis of displaced people, detainees and devastated cities?
Al-Kubaisi: We are talking about a number of problems while the state failed to resolve these crises. I think that we will face the continuation of these crises after the Sunni deputies failed to pressure the parliament to bring justice to the displaced in terms of returning to their areas or paying compensation for their destroyed homes. They were not allowed to return to their areas due to the positions of some political forces rejecting the return of the displaced and thus occurred actually the process of demographic change of some areas; while some Sunni political forces failed to face the crisis, which is calculated on the file of reconstruction, And the lack of any vision of the government and parliament in the previous session, while relying on the Iraqi government and parliament in its current session.
RUDAO: Do you see the participation of the National Axis Alliance in the political process as one of the solutions to these crises?
Al-Kubaisi: It is difficult to talk about changes in the political scene, because the choice of allies always depends on the period leading up to the elections. After elections, things may differ and the winning forces are searched. Despite the cohesion of the national axis to the moment but there are a lot of internal intersections; and the question remains that the next stage will see a change is possible and different from the previous.
RUDAO: How do you see the National Axis Alliance with Kurdish forces?
Kubaisi: There was an attempt to produce a kind of strategic alliance between the National Axis Alliance and the Kurdistan Democratic Party. This consensus succeeded in passing the post of Speaker of the House of Representatives and his second deputy, but did not succeed in passing the Democratic Party candidate for the presidency. In fact, we can say that this consensus remains steadfast; it is hoped that it will be a kind of balance within the House of Representatives.
RUDAOUD: How will the Iraqi government and political forces deal with the many crises that plague the country? Do you rely on external solutions?
Kubaisi: The imbalance of power relations in Iraq will not provide an internal solution, and without the external actor it is difficult to find solutions to any of Iraq's problems. We suffer from real problems starting from the political system and there is a kind of monopoly of power in Iraq, and without finding the mechanism for the participation of all in political decision-making, Iraq will not see any stability.
RUDAOUD: Are you optimistic about the participation of all political forces in the next phase?
Kubaisi: Everyone will be eager to participate in the government, but the question is about the understanding of the political forces that Iraq suffers a lot of crises.
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