Daily Star: Obama's plan in Iraq, and is surrounded by a mysterious Iranian Bmhaazir
Coup situation suffered by the Islamic State in Mosul Dam has raised exaggerated expectations about the ability to defeat this group. Will remain an Islamic state has caused a big headache even if it is not available yet comprehensive strategy to defeat. Military intervention of the Obama administration has done so much in the defense of the Kurdish areas.
Some claim that Washington did not send its planes only when exposed to the threat of Erbil. This is partly true, as the address of the Islamic state in the north had a precedence for Iraqis in Baghdad and Basra, as for Kurdistan. As was the Iraqi special forces involved in the restoration of the Mosul Dam as it was re-arming of the Peshmerga by the West.
not the real question is why the United States entered the battle, but where to place the campaign to defeat the Islamic State?
until now there are only signs of Random what intend administration to do, where President Obama hesitate in determining the specifics of a permanent campaign for fear that it turns the American public, who does not want a new war in the Middle East. It seems that the killing of American journalist James Foley was designed to exploit this mood.
in the political side, the United States managed to help in the output of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki from office.In this regard, the administration has found an ally in Iran, which was forced - despite its intention to keep al-Maliki in power - to reject his third term when he rejected a number of Shiite leaders, led by Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani.
Washington hopes will constitute Haider Abadi, a government that includes Sunnis and able to counter-attack against the Islamic state. In parallel, the United States is seeking to make an arrangement between Baghdad and the Sunni tribes, can be construed to military decision making regional governments in the Sunni forces there and connects the agenda of the central government.
it's a good plan, but must be wary of Iranian discontent. In recent weeks saw Tehran several things that are not interested in Iraq; such as the return of the American army, which could complicate the picture even though it does not constitute a major threat to the dominance of Iran today; and arming the west of the Kurds; and arming Sunni anti-Islamic state, which could undermine the authority of the central government, which is dominated by Shiites .
has also seen the past few days signs of confirmation of Shiites who have been forced Iran to comply with their desire to take out al-Maliki, despite the good services provided by Iran, which today suffers from a dilemma.
if misrepresented efforts Abadi to unite Sunnis and Shiites against the Islamic state, this could boost the jihadist group that threaten the vital interests of Iran in Iraq and Syria, and if it were in line with the wishes of the United States, it could at least influence in Iraq with the secession of the Sunnis and the Kurds gradually from Baghdad, and their vision of America as a mediator with the basic capital.
that American interest in the short-term and frequency Obama to play a deeper role in the internal politics Iraq is in Iran's favor, as is always the case. Even the military plan for America against the Islamic state looks mysterious, where Obama implicitly hinted that the campaign may take some time but did not specify the conditions for termination. Instead, the administration resorted to logic is reasonable, saying that American military intervention aimed above all to protect the safety of Americans in Iraq. However, it is worrisome that Americans swallow such nonsense while overlook the real risks posed by the Islamic state. In this regard, it could come killed Foley counterproductive. Apart from paying Americans to oppose military intervention, it is possible that makes them Athacdon about the president in a fighter of the Islamic state.
most importantly, this is why the United States do about the presence of the Islamic state in Syria?
still the subject away from the table yet, but the truth is that any effort to expel the Islamic State of Iraq risked deportation to Syria, the problem investigated by this group significant gains. The regime of President Bashar al-Assad delighted filmed himself an enemy of terrorism, as this helps him to survive politically. It is not unlikely to be a lion in the near term as part of an anti-terrorism alliance de facto as it was planned for three years after facilitating the emergence of the danger that fighting him now. With this, if the Iraqi army collapsed suddenly, as happened, there are no guarantees that it does not happen for the Syrian army, which also ruptured as a result of years of fighting. Assad's confidence may be misleading.
Alkhaúrh that Obama's policy toward Syria has helped the Islamic state, where the president has promised to provide military assistance "moderates" to fight Islamic state as fight the Syrian regime. But whenever it happened quickly - if it happened at all - it will be next spring.
until that time will not remain moderate, where they will overcome extremist groups, led by the Islamic state.This shows why the possibility of neutralizing the American military plan centered on Iraq because of the absence of Syrian element.
ashamed and American administrations of clashes multi-faceted. Today, the focus is on Iraq alone, but that this approach is risky, especially since the administration has failed to identify its goals there except to protect Americans. Obama may spoil everything if he fails in the face of the complexity of the situation in Iraq and Syria correctly.
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Coup situation suffered by the Islamic State in Mosul Dam has raised exaggerated expectations about the ability to defeat this group. Will remain an Islamic state has caused a big headache even if it is not available yet comprehensive strategy to defeat. Military intervention of the Obama administration has done so much in the defense of the Kurdish areas.
Some claim that Washington did not send its planes only when exposed to the threat of Erbil. This is partly true, as the address of the Islamic state in the north had a precedence for Iraqis in Baghdad and Basra, as for Kurdistan. As was the Iraqi special forces involved in the restoration of the Mosul Dam as it was re-arming of the Peshmerga by the West.
not the real question is why the United States entered the battle, but where to place the campaign to defeat the Islamic State?
until now there are only signs of Random what intend administration to do, where President Obama hesitate in determining the specifics of a permanent campaign for fear that it turns the American public, who does not want a new war in the Middle East. It seems that the killing of American journalist James Foley was designed to exploit this mood.
in the political side, the United States managed to help in the output of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki from office.In this regard, the administration has found an ally in Iran, which was forced - despite its intention to keep al-Maliki in power - to reject his third term when he rejected a number of Shiite leaders, led by Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani.
Washington hopes will constitute Haider Abadi, a government that includes Sunnis and able to counter-attack against the Islamic state. In parallel, the United States is seeking to make an arrangement between Baghdad and the Sunni tribes, can be construed to military decision making regional governments in the Sunni forces there and connects the agenda of the central government.
it's a good plan, but must be wary of Iranian discontent. In recent weeks saw Tehran several things that are not interested in Iraq; such as the return of the American army, which could complicate the picture even though it does not constitute a major threat to the dominance of Iran today; and arming the west of the Kurds; and arming Sunni anti-Islamic state, which could undermine the authority of the central government, which is dominated by Shiites .
has also seen the past few days signs of confirmation of Shiites who have been forced Iran to comply with their desire to take out al-Maliki, despite the good services provided by Iran, which today suffers from a dilemma.
if misrepresented efforts Abadi to unite Sunnis and Shiites against the Islamic state, this could boost the jihadist group that threaten the vital interests of Iran in Iraq and Syria, and if it were in line with the wishes of the United States, it could at least influence in Iraq with the secession of the Sunnis and the Kurds gradually from Baghdad, and their vision of America as a mediator with the basic capital.
that American interest in the short-term and frequency Obama to play a deeper role in the internal politics Iraq is in Iran's favor, as is always the case. Even the military plan for America against the Islamic state looks mysterious, where Obama implicitly hinted that the campaign may take some time but did not specify the conditions for termination. Instead, the administration resorted to logic is reasonable, saying that American military intervention aimed above all to protect the safety of Americans in Iraq. However, it is worrisome that Americans swallow such nonsense while overlook the real risks posed by the Islamic state. In this regard, it could come killed Foley counterproductive. Apart from paying Americans to oppose military intervention, it is possible that makes them Athacdon about the president in a fighter of the Islamic state.
most importantly, this is why the United States do about the presence of the Islamic state in Syria?
still the subject away from the table yet, but the truth is that any effort to expel the Islamic State of Iraq risked deportation to Syria, the problem investigated by this group significant gains. The regime of President Bashar al-Assad delighted filmed himself an enemy of terrorism, as this helps him to survive politically. It is not unlikely to be a lion in the near term as part of an anti-terrorism alliance de facto as it was planned for three years after facilitating the emergence of the danger that fighting him now. With this, if the Iraqi army collapsed suddenly, as happened, there are no guarantees that it does not happen for the Syrian army, which also ruptured as a result of years of fighting. Assad's confidence may be misleading.
Alkhaúrh that Obama's policy toward Syria has helped the Islamic state, where the president has promised to provide military assistance "moderates" to fight Islamic state as fight the Syrian regime. But whenever it happened quickly - if it happened at all - it will be next spring.
until that time will not remain moderate, where they will overcome extremist groups, led by the Islamic state.This shows why the possibility of neutralizing the American military plan centered on Iraq because of the absence of Syrian element.
ashamed and American administrations of clashes multi-faceted. Today, the focus is on Iraq alone, but that this approach is risky, especially since the administration has failed to identify its goals there except to protect Americans. Obama may spoil everything if he fails in the face of the complexity of the situation in Iraq and Syria correctly.
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