Including a specter threatening salaries.. Iraq is on the verge of sliding to face three dangers

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[size=52]Including a specter threatening salaries.. Iraq is on the verge of sliding to face three dangers[/size]

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01-21-2024
Iraq faces the risk of being drawn into the ongoing conflict in the Middle East region, driven by the continuation of the war in Gaza and the regional conflict, which puts the country in the circle of danger in its three security, military and economic dimensions.[/size]
[size=45]This is what the Special Representative of the Secretary-General of the United Nations in Iraq, Jeanine Hennis-Plasschaert, warned of yesterday, Saturday, when she said, “The Middle East is going through a critical stage, as the raging conflict in Gaza and armed actions elsewhere threaten to erupt into a major confrontation.” Iraq is at risk of being further drawn into this conflict.”[/size]
[size=45]The UN representative added in a statement, “Despite the government’s efforts to prevent the escalation of tensions, the continuing attacks - which are launched from inside and outside Iraq’s borders - would undermine the stability achieved after hard efforts in the country and the achievements it has achieved in recent years.” .[/size]
[size=45]She stressed that “Iraq’s stability and security are at the front and center of all our work,” calling on all parties in Iraq to “exercise the utmost levels of self-restraint.”[/size]
[size=45]Three-dimensional danger[/size]
[size=45]In this context, the strategic expert, Ahmed Al-Sharifi, says, “Iraq is in danger at the military, security, and economic levels, and the issue of Iraq being drawn into conflict in regional balances is a strategic mistake, and the political decision-maker should not identify with such decisions that are consistent with the conflict of the axes in the region.” “.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sharifi adds, “Especially the axis that follows (Iran - Russia - China), because this means that capabilities and energies will be mobilized against the United States, which is constitutionally described as a strategic ally.”[/size]
[size=45]He explains, “This double standard may affect the political decision-maker and the country faces a challenge at a time when the situation at the security and military levels is still fragile, and Iraq’s capabilities and capabilities are very limited.”[/size]
[size=45]Regarding the economic dimension, he explains that “the country is still under the pressure of a rentier economy that depends on maritime transport chains, and if actions occur that may lead to the obstruction of the export of oil through the sea views and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz or the Bab al-Mandab Strait, Iraq will suffer not from a crisis, but rather an economic setback that may not last.” Through it, he can even secure salaries for state employees and retirees, and thus the country will enter into a major dilemma.”[/size]
[size=45]He points out that “the political decision-maker improvises decisions and adopts options in which he may bet on time or procrastination, out of a desire for the conflict to be resolved regionally, but it is a long-term conflict, and the evidence of that is what happened in Gaza and until now the data still indicate that the war will continue for a longer period.” “.[/size]
[size=45]Al-Sharifi concluded by saying, “The regional conflict will be a long-term conflict, and that Iraq being drawn into this conflict will place the country in the circle of danger in its three security, military, and economic dimensions.”[/size]
[size=45]“Exaggerated” and “not her business”[/size]
[size=45]On the other hand, observers believe that the latest United Nations report went into security details “that are not within its scope of competence,” and that the talk that Iraq is in danger is an “exaggeration” of what is actually happening.[/size]
[size=45]In this aspect, the security expert, Fadel Abu Ragheef, states that “the United Nations reports in this regard I do not believe to be accurate, as the sensors this time were not civilian sensors with regard to civil society organizations or others, but rather they delved into security details that may not be within their jurisdiction.” .[/size]
[size=45]Abu Ragheef confirmed in an interview that “the security situation in Iraq is under control, amid a decrease in crime and organized crime, and the absence or lack of terrorist operations.”[/size]
[size=45]He added, “Yes, there may be political blockages here and there, political tension, and looming crises, but they do not rise to the level of danger, and this is not the first time that statements have been made in reports issued by the United Nations regarding the seriousness of the situation in Iraq.”[/size]
[size=45]He added, “The field security, tactical, and intelligence services have their hands on the handle of readiness, and the only evidence of that is the decline of terrorist operations, whether in the form of bombs or suicide bombers.”[/size]
[size=45]For his part, the political analyst, Sarmad Al-Bayati, says, “The United Nations spoke about the danger circle around the attacks that are occurring on the international coalition forces and America, and the responses carried out by the Central Command or the American forces in general, which cause a kind of anxiety within the Iraqi street.” This is all related to what is happening in Gaza.”[/size]
[size=45]During his speech, Al-Bayati believes that “the issue of the danger circle was exaggerated, as it targeted American advisors present inside Iraqi bases, and there will be no clear contact between the two parties.”[/size]
[size=45]It is noteworthy that Iraqi armed factions announce almost daily the targeting of American bases in Iraq and the region, in response to the continued Israeli bombing of the Gaza Strip since the seventh of last October. The factions say that the Israeli attacks on the Gaza Strip are carried out with direct American support.[/size]
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