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What does it mean for al-Sadr to close his doors in the face of negotiations to form a government?
February 05 2022
Iraq faces a constitutional vacuum (Facebook)
Ultra Iraq - Editorial Team
The [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] of the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, to boycott the parliament session scheduled for tomorrow, Monday, which is devoted to voting on the new President of the Republic, as well as freezing negotiations with the political blocs regarding the formation of the government, opened the door wide to what stands behind this decision, especially since the steps, including the vote on the President of the Republic In front of specific constitutional times.
There is a strict prohibition by the leaders of the Sadrist movement on the representatives of the Sadrist bloc from declaring anything regarding the last directive
A number of Sadrist bloc deputies refused to clarify the details of the latest decision, and Ultra Iraq tried to communicate with more than 5 deputies, but they declined to make any statement about the decision, while confirming the existence of directives to "media silence about the course of the political situation."
However, the bloc’s deputy, Muhannad al-Khazali, said in a brief statement to “Ultra Iraq,” that “the directive issued by the leader of the Sadrist bloc, Muqtada al-Sadr, is understandable to everyone, and there is no comment after it,” stressing that “there is a strict ban on the bloc’s deputies from declaring any information about the directive.” ".
The writer and political analyst, Saman Noah, attributes the recent decision to the fact that the Sadrist movement was expecting the disintegration of the "coordinating framework" and the inclusion of small forces from it, but this did not happen. He says that "the Sadrist movement found itself in an embarrassing situation in front of the Shiite public because it represents more than 70 deputies."
The failure of the Sadrist movement to polarize part of the coordinating framework - and Noah's words - means that the majority that al-Sadr owns is fragile and can be broken in any controversial files, noting that "Al-Sadr needs 30-40 deputies from other Shiite forces," while noting that "the Sadrist movement and the blocs Shiites all have reservations about Hoshyar Zebari and accepting him as a candidate for the presidency, especially since the Sadrist bloc was the one who drove his dismissal in 2016. [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
Noah believes that "Al-Sadr's support for the Democratic candidate represents a great embarrassment to him in this file, pointing out that" the issue of interpreting the presidential election session and the appearance of the blocking third in Parliament prompted Al-Sadr to disrupt the political game by stopping his bloc's representatives from negotiations and the election session for the President of the Republic, which will make all other parties She returns to go towards him and force them on his terms to return to the political process, enter the session and come to an understanding about forming a government."
With this last decision, Al-Sadr closed its doors, according to Noah, who asserts that "everyone will return to knocking on the doors of his headquarters after he had tried earlier to knock on the doors of the framework forces, but no one responded to his demands."
Noah believes that "disrupting the constitutional timings is normal for the political class's lack of interest in them."
Al-Sadr's decision to freeze negotiations and boycott the vote on the post of President of the Republic came one day after he was directed not to vote for the Kurdistan Democratic Party's candidate for the presidency if he "did not meet the conditions."
MP Mishaan al-Jubouri suggested the absence of the Sovereignty Alliance and the Kurdistan Democratic Party blocs from the presidential election session.
The withdrawal of the "Sadr bloc" from the negotiations to form the government and not participating in the election of the president of the republic, is not new in terms of action, as there is a disabled third in Parliament that some political parties are preparing for it, according to political and academic analyst Ghaleb al-Daamy.
And "Al-Sadr's sudden decision shows the existence of wide, large and enormous obstacles with the partners in the tripartite alliance," according to Al-Dami, who shows that "there are clear pressures on Al-Sadr's partners from Iran, Turkey, and the Gulf to form the form of the next government, in addition to unilateral pressures on the Kurds and Sunnis to go with Al-Sadr and others." You don't want to go with him."
Al-Daami says that "pressures on the Kurds and Sunnis want them to participate with al-Sadr without giving him the power of the coalition leadership and unilaterally forming the government, as well as the possibility of partnering with some forces of the coordination framework, pointing out that" al-Sadr's move to stop negotiations confirms his efforts to force everyone to submit to him again and come to an understanding with him. Rather than being in the position to seek understanding with them.”
And MP Mishaan al-Jubouri is likely, the absence of the blocs of "sovereignty" and the Kurdistan Democratic Party from the session of electing the President of the Republic, following the decision of the Sadrist movement.
Al-Jubouri said in his blog, monitored by "Ultra Iraq", "After the sudden decision of its bloc not to participate in the presidential election session, it is likely that the Sovereignty and Kurdistan Democratic blocs will not attend the session, and thus the quorum will not be achieved for it, and we will enter the unprecedented constitutional vacuum stage."