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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    newspaper expects an Iranian military strike on Israel and defines the role of Iraq and "the right

    Rocky
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    • Post n°1

    newspaper expects an Iranian military strike on Israel and defines the role of Iraq and "the right Empty newspaper expects an Iranian military strike on Israel and defines the role of Iraq and "the right

    Post by Rocky Wed 28 Feb 2018, 3:02 am

    [size=32]
    newspaper expects an Iranian military strike on Israel and defines the role of Iraq and "the right time"[/size]
    newspaper expects an Iranian military strike on Israel and defines the role of Iraq and "the right IRAN-ARMY

     Twilight News    

     2 hours ago



    The Israeli newspaper Haaretz reported on Tuesday that an armed clash between Iran or one of its "Shiite" proxies in the Middle East and Tel Aviv was due to Israel's continuing provocations, but this strike will be a surprise. Iran will choose the appropriate time for this escalation. The newspaper sees it soon.
    "The last confrontation between Israel and Iran on the northern front was predictable, and we can assume that neither side wanted that clash," said Ephraim Kam, a researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies. "With Tehran sending large Iranian and Shiite combat forces to Syria, The time when Hezbollah was armed with sophisticated weapons, and with Israel's determination to stop the danger, the clash was almost inevitable.
    The Israeli writer added that the consensus among Israeli leaders is that Iran poses the most serious threat to Israel. This perception is based on a number of elements: Hezbollah, its massive missile system, Iran's large and improved missile system, and Tehran's policy of briefing Israel on Shiite militants, The anti-Israel front in Syria and Lebanon.
    "If Iran becomes a nuclear state at some point, this threat will increase to an unprecedented level, but the balance of power is more complex. The main tool used by the Israeli army in Syria is the air force, and Iran has no response; The air is based on planes dating back 30 and 40 years and obviously can not keep up with its Israeli rival.
    In addition, Iran must occupy its forces hundreds of kilometers from its borders without any real defenses when exposed to Israeli attacks, provocations by Sunni groups in Syria, arms convoys to Hezbollah and arms factories exposed to attacks.
    According to the article, the United States poses a threat to Iran. Trump has classified Iran as a first-rate threat to the United States and its allies because of its use of terrorism, interference in other countries, the construction of a massive missile system and, above all, its attempt to produce nuclear weapons.
    The administration has not yet taken any practical steps to stop the threat, and it is not clear whether it will, but Iran is not sure it will not, and what Tehran wants is to engage in confrontation with the United States. At the same time, Washington's announcement to keep it a military force in northern Syria indefinitely in order to stop Iranian influence should worry Tehran, according to the Israeli newspaper.
    In the opinion of the Israeli writer, although Russia - the most influential actors in Syria - stands by Iran and recognizes its rights to keep troops in Syria, there are differences of opinion and the opposition of interests and suspicions between Tehran and Moscow. As a result, Iran fears that Russia will not insist on maintaining the Assad regime if a comprehensive agreement is reached in Syria and has been promised that it can continue to use its air and naval bases there.
    If Assad is toppled under any agreement, Iran's influence in Syria will suffer a painful blow. Iran has yet to respond with fire to attacks on caravans and arms factories in Syria.
    Even when Iran defied Israel at the end of Saddam, it did so by droning, not by opening fire. Since early 2015, Hezbollah has also refrained from responding to what might be seen as Israeli provocations. This reluctance stems from an apparent response to Israel's military superiority in the north, the article said.
    "The Iranians are also more likely to give the latter a chance to attack Iran's nuclear weapons sites. Moreover, Iran does not seem to be seeking a confrontation because its first priority is to stabilize the Assad regime and exploit its position in Syria to strengthen its influence in Iraq and Lebanon. Any involvement with Israel may hinder these objectives.
    According to the Israeli newspaper, the ultimate regional goal of Iran is to establish itself in Syria and its neighbors in the long term. Indeed, it has paid a heavy price for blood and money, and there is no reason to assume that it will give up. At the same time, Israel must prevent Iran from keeping its forces and Shiite militias - including Hezbollah - in Syria in the long term. This major conflict may lead to a new confrontation, and there is no evidence so far of a rational, honest party among the major powers to ease that conflict of interest.
    The bottom line is that Iran is trying to avoid confrontation with Israel, but it will be very difficult to remain silent for a long time if Israel strikes Iranian targets. Therefore, we must bear in mind that at some point Iran will take military action to deter Israel. Iran will want to surprise Israel with regard to timing, weapons and means. And for this purpose will prefer to activate Hezbollah and other Shiite militias so as not to get involved themselves, according to Haaretz.
    Iran may issue orders to Hezbollah using its missile system, despite the risks involved for it and its agents. Iran will most likely try to take advantage of the opportunity when Israel is preoccupied with another crisis; the most likely case is a conflict with Hamas in Gaza. Of course, there is also the possibility of a mistake in assessment that would involve Iran in a conflict with Israel.






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