The new captain .. Will Abdul Mahdi succeed in overcoming the challenges and achieve the hopes of the Iraqi people?
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Adel Abdul Mahdi , the new prime minister, faces a series of internal and external challenges, including reform of the economic, political and security systems, services and the return of hope for the Iraqi people and foreign relations with Iran, America, the Arab and European region
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Will he be able to give hope to the people and restore the lost dignity to him?
Major challenges, internal pressures and external interventions are greater.
Observers for the " Baghdad Post " that the people waiting for Abdul MahdiThe reform of the infrastructure and the improvement of the services sector, including the provision of potable water and electricity, health, education and social security, job creation and reform of the political system, And to address the geographical change taking place in the areas of Nineveh Plain and Kirkuk.
According to the sources, there is a strong challenge to the prime minister is to restore the prestige of the state and the military after the decline of its role because of the broad influence of the popular popular sectarian and its leaders allied to Iran in the political and security decisions.
The political wings of several popular factions received seats in the May 2018 elections. Most of these factions owe the "legitimate" allegiance of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and are organizationally linked to the Quds Force, which trains, funds and armes more than 40 factions of the 71 factions form a popular crowd. As the Iraqi constitution does not allow Iraq to be used as a springboard for any cross-border operations, Abdul Mahdi will face the challenge of re-establishing popular factions fighting on Syrian soil alongside the regime's forces as commander-in-chief of the armed forces.
Any government that seeks to disarm armed groups faces the dilemma of intellectual affiliation and dual loyalties between national loyalty to the state and other loyalties to religious groups such as the Iraqi religious authorities or the Supreme Leader's reference to Khamenei.
Observers believe that the new prime minister faces a number of challenges. The basic structure of the state and the conditions for the selection of ministerial portfolios, according to the political mix, lack the solid ground on which to face these challenges and overcome them over the next four years if Abdul Mahdi has the ability to continue and does not submit his resignation.
As the Iraqi constitution does not allow Iraq to be used as a launching pad for any cross-border operations, Abdul Mahdi will face the challenge of re-establishing popular factions fighting on Syrian soil alongside the Syrian regime. He is the commander-in-chief of the Iraqi armed forces.
Another important priority of the new government is to address daily problems and economic crises and to hold genuine national reconciliation among the components of Iraqi society to avoid entering IraqIn a state of security chaos. The success of the new prime minister depends on his ability to establish security and stability and end the environment that attracts the growth of radical groups in western and northwestern Iraq through an efficient program to restore confidence between the federal government and the Sunni community. During the process of restoring the cities of the terrorist.
One of the priorities of the new government to fight corruption, which reached levels, according to the reports of Transparency International, to assume that IraqIn 2004, the 129th place out of 145 countries. In 2010, it came in 175th place out of 178 countries, and in 2017 it scored 169 out of 180. This, in addition to reducing the monopoly on the country's resources and wealth, And the ongoing crises in the joints of the state, and work to build a healthy economy and the commitment of a valid approach to restore what was sabotaged, and not rely on the shadow economy, which resulted in the bad distribution of wealth and income, and corruption that generated unemployment, so that the role of the private sector in the national production declined.
The sources said that drawing up the relationship between the Kurdistan government and Baghdad is one of the most complex and complex challenges facing Abdul Mahdi , and resolving disputes over the disputed areas, especially the city of Kirkuk between Arabs, Kurds and Turkmens.
At the inter-regional international level, the US sanctions on Iran, which will take effect on November 4, are at the head of the most important challenges that will force Abdul Mahdi to balance his need for bilateral support from both the United States and Iran, and how to reconcile the position of Sanctions between rejection and commitment, as stated by his predecessor Haider Abadi. Which is considered by the popular mobilization factions is not binding on the new government, or ignored, putting Iraq under the threat of US punitive measures on companies and countries that do not comply with those sanctions.
According to observers, Iraq is trying to obtain an exception from the United States of America in the application of sanctions on Iran, as happened with Jordan when he got that exception after the second Gulf War.
According to this information, the Trump administration will not accept this if the Iraqi government is in formation will be close to Tehran, Trump administration and its allies such as the United Kingdom and European countries are not satisfied with the way under which the formation of the Iraqi government, especially that the ministries of sovereign share of Tehran's allies.
Formerly the formation of the Iraqi government in the post-2003, is balanced between Tehran and Washington, but it differed with this government, General Qasim Soleimani wandering in Baghdad and Erbil in order to form an Iraqi government of an Iranian character, in addition to its support to the popular crowd, Also corrupt some of the Iraqi political class, both Sunni and Shiite, and support one party in the Kurdistan region of Iraq , the Kurdistan Democratic Party.
If an Iraqi government is formed of an Iranian character, and therefore will not abide by the second package of US sanctions on Iran, which will enter into force on November 4, this means that the Iraqi government has taken a very dangerous step against the United States and its allies from Western countries . In this case, the Iraqi government, which preferred its relations with Tehran to other countries, is more like North Korea's relationship with China, which has imposed global isolation on its nuclear program, which has ended. Let this infection spread to the Middle East. This Iraqi-Iranian alignment has a very serious impact on Iraq. Can the Iraqi government bear the consequences of this position?
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