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A third dialogue between Baghdad and Washington .. Iran's allies are awaiting, and "weapons" are on top of the points
March 19, 2021
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A third dialogue between Baghdad and Washington .. Iran's allies are awaiting, and "weapons" are on top of the points
March 19, 2021
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The Iranians are fighting to get US forces out of Iraq (Facebook)
The political forces, which have military wings close to Iran, are waiting for the completion of the strategic dialogue between Iraq and the United States of America to discuss several files, the most prominent of which is the removal of American forces from Iraqi lands after a series of attacks [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] Iran’s arms have carried out, which are part of the responses to previous attacks by the American side. It resulted in heavy losses among the factions, the [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] was the killing of the deputy head of the Popular Mobilization Authority, Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, and the commander of the Iranian Quds Force, Qassem Soleimani, in an airstrike at the gate of Baghdad Airport in January 2020.
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Researchers believe that the main points that will be raised in the next dialogue are the presence of militias and fugitive weapons
The strategic dialogue came for the first time via closed-circuit television between representatives of the two countries on June 11, 2020, and came up with data that were not decisive for the conflict in Iraq, and did not reflect any calculations regarding the two parties, and the goals previously drawn by follow-up parties, as it was emphasized to continue Washington reduced the number of its forces in light of the remarkable progress on getting rid of the threat of "ISIS", with the United States not seeking to build permanent military bases, as well as Iraqi pledges to protect diplomatic missions and preserve American interests in accordance with international law, in addition to the discussion that resulted in the inclusion of economic files, and demands The popular movement in Iraq to implement the government's reform program.
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As for the second round, it was the visit of Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi, who headed a high-level delegation to Washington just before the end of the term of US President Donald Trump, and Baghdad recognized a clear and frank position during the session that took place on the necessity of the American presence in Iraq, but about the upcoming dialogue that will bring the two sides together, he says Political researcher Basil Al-Kazemi said, “Baghdad can be victorious and reap the fruits of the strategic dialogue with Washington if it moves away from the external dictates and pressures of the armed factions because these parties do not work in the interest of Iraq, but rather for Iran in particular, indicating that the success of the anticipated third round of dialogue stops. On the sitting of people representing Iraq without loyalties and partisanship, while explaining that "the American administration is not a charitable organization that will implement what Iraq wants. Rather, it may grant concessions in exchange for other matters, which it seeks according to common interests."
Al-Kazemi added to "Ultra Iraq", that "the factions will put many obstacles and there will be targeting within the circle of near time to place Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi in an embarrassing position prior to the dialogue, pointing out that" the existence of parties, especially the Islamic ones, do not harmonize with their policies with Al-Kazemi, with his presence at a distance from All countries, while even the authority supports the need for Iraq to stand in a position of neutrality, and calls for the prestige of the state and the preservation of the country's sovereignty. Therefore, even the authority’s discourse is inconsistent with the objectives of the armed factions.
He pointed to "key points that will be raised in the next dialogue, namely the presence of militias and uncontrolled weapons, and those behind them and the need to put a radical end to these parties, pointing to" some political blocs seeking to sabotage discussions, because Tehran wants Iraq to continue as an international war arena to settle scores, while he indicated that "Iran deals through two channels; the first is that it is a country that moves its armed arms in Iraq, and also through political blocs and MPs who put pressure on the government and achieve its interests. The second channel is dealing with the state system through targeting and terrorist acts against opponents directly, such as targeting American missions and interests. ".
However, the Prime Minister, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, repeatedly stresses the reduction of the number of foreign forces, statements that come similar to the demands of the political forces close to Tehran, as he recently confirmed during his visit to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs the success of his government in "developing active diplomacy during the current period, after activating the strategic dialogue with the states." United, moving towards a focus on economic, diplomatic and cultural cooperation, as well as succeeding in reducing the number of foreign forces by 60 percent. "
Hani Suleiman, director of the Arab Center for Research and Studies in Egypt, believes that "the importance of the third round of dialogue between Iraq and the United States is very large and articulated, especially its arrival in the first weeks of US President Joe Biden's rule, and it represents a sensitive and transitional stage in the American vision towards Iraq," explaining "Iraq is the most important American station in the Middle East, and it has always been the back garden of Iranian conflicts, and what is happening now is an extension of the polar conflict between Tehran and Washington on Iraqi lands, which will make several balances present in the next dialogue trying to play on the Biden administration with the passage of the government Al-Kazemi is in a difficult situation facing the Iranian factions. "
In an interview with Ultra Iraq, Suleiman asserts that “the American diplomacy stated by Secretary of State Anthony Blinken, and the steps for re-withdrawing the list of UN sanctions on Iran that President Trump previously presented represent very flat and flexible steps for the Iranian side, in conjunction with the agreement of the three. He was the most famous between the IAEA and Tehran about the nuclear reactor and uranium enrichment, as he gave it a strong priority and position, therefore, the new round of dialogues between Baghdad and Washington will be different and clarify the American vision, as to whether Biden was determined not to leave the arena to Iran by withdrawing his forces from Iraq, and leaving him An arena for the armed factions, or will it have a new and strict strategy based on confronting Iranian influence. "
Suleiman believes that "the idea of Iraqi independence should be present with the Al-Kazemi government or any other government that carries the national decision to move Iraq away from the theory of dualities and polarizations that have greatly gained its opportunity to effectively establish its institutions and sovereignty, away from narrow calculations and the interests of other countries." It is quickly, but gradually, by abandoning the affiliation to the international poles and preferring the Iraqi interest first, indicating that "the Iraqi file at this time comes within American priorities, especially after the failure of the peace agreement with the Taliban and the decline of Washington's influence, especially after the confusing steps taken by the former American president." Donald Trump, as well as the tense relations between the Americans and the Russians. "
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Political analyst Ahmed Al-Sarraji considers that the factions welcome the Iraqi-American rapprochement and stand behind Al-Kazemi for the success of the dialogue with Washington, as it represents some gains for it.
For his part, a professor of media at Ahl al-Bayt University, Ghaleb al-Daami, says, "The next dialogue will continue, which is part of a series that will have a long time. Iraq is under great Iranian pressure, and this situation is not hidden. Rather, it is said through official statements, starting with the guide." The supreme leader of the Iranian revolution, up to the youngest official in Iran, that they are fighting to remove the American forces in Iraq, pointing out that "Iran will pressure with the presence of the Biden government and the emergence of other lobbies in the world that entered the line of conflict, and also because of an Iranian conviction that the Biden administration can take bold steps such as What it has done towards the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia recently by bringing charges against it with humanitarian crimes, headed by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman regarding the case of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, and also has removed some of the names of the Houthi leaders from the lists of terrorism, indicating that "this indicates flexibility that Iran sees on the American side. For understanding. "
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Al-Dami pointed out to "Ultra Iraq", that "the United States today began to use the so-called soft powers to attract Europe, China and North Korea to pressure Iran, in addition to nearby regional parties that have begun to emerge as anti-Iran parties such as Turkey, which held reconciliation with Egypt, Saudi Arabia and the Emirates to organize military plans." And to benefit from the experience of manufacturing weapons, and all of that to prepare for battle fronts between the most prominent Shiite party in the region, Iran, and the countries mentioned above as a severely sectarian war, one of which is Iraqi territory, and there are great indications for that.
Al-Daami added, "The more the United States moves away from the Iraqi scene, it will prepare for a bigger bloody scene in the region between the new Ottoman Empire and its Iranian counterpart, and the two dream of returning their historical victories and conquests, pointing out that" the political activities in Iraq clearly represent Iran's desires. It deviates from its vision of events and uses it to pressure the exit of the Americans, which will never happen, and not even the Iraqi government is able to do that, because many Shiite parties, and some Kurds, do not want the United States and its forces to leave Iraq because of what it represents for them.
The recent US attacks on February 25, 2021 on the headquarters of the armed factions loyal to Iran on the border strip between Iraq and Syria, sparked multiple reactions, especially after 22 militants were killed as a result of the bombing, most notably the statements of the Secretary of Asaib Ahl al-Haq, Qais Khazali, in a tweet on Twitter, saying "This despicable act shows that the new US administration, its aggressive policy and its continuation with these deliberate abuses clearly serve the Zionist project at the expense of the Iraqis and the blood of their children," at a time when the US Defense Department spokesman John Kirby described this bombing operation as "defensive" Sites used by Hezbollah, noting that "the strikes were permitted in response to the recent attacks on the American crew and the coalition forces in Iraq."
In the context, political analyst Ahmed Al-Sarraji considered, "The United States of America is an important player in the Iraqi political scene, and it is naive to overlook this role and its impact on all situations in Iraq. The initiative of the US State Department and President Joe Biden to make contacts with the Iraqi Foreign Minister and Prime Minister indicates that There is an understanding by Washington of what Baghdad wants because it tried to remind the existence of a forthcoming third round of strategic dialogue between the two countries, according to the official statements from the two parties to discuss the thorny files between the two countries, indicating that “this upcoming dialogue will have a hidden role in defining the features of the next Iraqi government after the elections. Early ".
Al-Sarraji said to Ultra Iraq, "The Iraqi factions welcome this Iraqi-American rapprochement and stand behind Al-Kazemi for the success of the dialogue with Washington, as it represents its gains that may arise through discussions, while noting that" there are some obstacles such as American interests with its allies. And perhaps the Kurdish side, represented by Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein, will have a role in the negotiations because the Kurdistan region has many conditions and desires that have not gone as they wish. In Iraq, on the one hand, there is the Turkish intervention, the desire of the Gulf to open up, and Iran's view of Iraq as its share, all of which represent a fog in the Iraqi situation, in addition to the popular protests.
And about what is going on in Baghdad about the talks, Abbas Al-Ambouri, an advisor for external relations in the House of Representatives, said, "The Iraqi Foreign Minister, Fuad Hussein, did not speak in the last parliamentary meeting about an agreed program so far with Washington about the strategic meeting or the files that will be raised in it." , Referring to "Ultra Iraq" to "the fact that the idea of the dialogue that took place the first time through the closed circuit television and the second during the visit of Prime Minister Mustafa Al-Kazemi to Washington may differ the third time, and it may be in the presence of a high-level American delegation to Baghdad, and maybe vice versa by going An Iraqi delegation added, "But until now, there is nothing clear or agreed upon, and Baghdad is awaiting joint coordination on the matter."
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