What is behind the US-Iranian calm on Iraqi soil?

Shafak News / Iraq has been witnessing for weeks a decrease in tension on its lands between its American and Iranian allies, with the stopping of missile attacks and revenge attacks, but experts warn that this calm to re-line the two camps in preparation for a new round of confrontations.
When two American and British soldiers were killed by a missile attack in mid-March, the US Department of Defense envisioned a potentially more devastating US response to Iraqi armed factions.
"Even if there is no missile launch, the Iranians will regroup," said Philip Smith of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
He added that "the American forces at the present time take the threats very seriously."
And the US Department of Defense began last month to develop a comprehensive plan aimed at striking more than 100 sites simultaneously against Iraqi armed factions, especially the "Hezbollah Brigades", the faction Washington accuses of launching the deadliest attack against Western soldiers in years in Iraq. "The Americans have told us that they will simultaneously strike 122 targets in Iraq if more of their citizens are killed," a senior Iraqi official told AFP at the end of March.
The Hezbollah Brigades faction operates in Iraq under the umbrella of the PMF, which has been integrated into government forces, and operates with an Iranian agenda outside the country.
But hitting those many goals in a country that continues to accuse Washington of violating its sovereignty, and its representatives voted to end the American military presence in the country, may have dire consequences, according to what even the American leader of the international coalition against ISIS, led by the United States, says.
General Pat White expressed his fear that matters would spin out of control, when he expressed in a telegram to the US Central Command in March "concerns" that the targeted groups would respond and expose thousands of coalition forces to a "serious" risk, according to a US military official familiar with White's memo. .
Diplomats from two countries members of the International Alliance confirmed that other members of the Alliance had expressed fears that the US attacks would backfire.
However, with the outbreak of the "Covid-19" pandemic, the alliance shape had already changed. 2,500 military trainers of various nationalities within the international coalition left, without a return, while the remaining soldiers, the majority of whom are Americans, gathered in a limited number of bases, including two now protected by the Patriot air defense missile system that Washington recently deployed.
"The coalition, as we know it, is no longer standing," one of the diplomats said on Monday. But despite the soldiers' departure, Tehran loyalists were sending contradictory messages. The "Hezbollah Brigades" pledged that "there will be no killing of these forces if their withdrawal continues with the title of leaving Iraq completely."
Soon after, however, the PMF leader accused the United States of being "not serious" and of working "for redeployment for tactical reasons, in order to protect its soldiers."
Meanwhile, new, mysterious actors have emerged that diplomats, experts and officers see as mere fictitious groups of Iranian supporters in Iraq. A group calling itself the "Revolutionary League," has adopted rocket attacks, and published photos taken by plane flying to sensitive sites at the US embassy in Baghdad, and Ein al-Assad base in the west of the country, despite the flight ban. Another faction calling itself "the factions of the Islamic Resistance Iraq - the fist of guidance" called for the assassination of the American and British ambassadors in the event that they did not leave the country.
Smith pointed out that the Iranians “can ignite the fuse once the conditions are more favorable to them” after the harsh blow to Washington’s assassination of General Qassem Soleimani, the architect of Iranian strategy in the Middle East.
The United States, whose ties to Baghdad have fallen to their lowest levels since the assassination, will send a delegation to Iraq in June to renegotiate military and economic ties between the two countries.
Meanwhile, Iraq may witness the birth of a new government, after five months of vacancy, with the assignment of intelligence chief Mustafa Al-Kazemi, known for his negotiating skills, from Washington to Tehran, via Riyadh and Beirut.