Experts: America may take military action in Iraq, and its repercussions will be very dangerous

by **Rocky** Sun 18 Apr 2021, 1:52 pm

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Experts: America may take military action in Iraq, and its repercussions will be very dangerous

by Rocky Sun 18 Apr 2021, 1:52 pm

[size=36]Experts: America may take military action in Iraq, and its repercussions will be very dangerous[/size]

Political| 08:59 - 04/18/2021

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Baghdad - Mawazine News

Experts in the field of security believe that the military response by Washington alone or through the international coalition against "ISIS" present on Iraqi lands has become very possible during the coming period, while others warned of the consequences of taking this step on Iraq.

Last Wednesday, the United States of America called on the Iraqi government to protect its diplomatic missions in the country, threatening that it might have to protect itself by itself.
The US Consul in Erbil, Robert Waller, said, "If Iraq does not protect us, we will have to protect ourselves in our own way."
Repetition in attacks and an improvement in the method
After months of armed groups in Iraq using the pattern of missiles in their attacks, the country witnessed, in a precedent which is the first of its kind, a new pattern of using a drone carrying high explosive materials in the attack on Erbil airport last week, according to the Ministry of Interior in The Kurdistan region of Iraq, which security expert Ahmed Sharifi considered a turning point in the crisis in the country.
Sharifi says, according to "Sputnik": "This process constitutes a turning point in the crisis in Iraq, when the drone is used, meaning that whoever was tampering with the use of Katyushas and missiles on land now has the ability to impose his will within a system of control and air control," pointing out that " This aircraft needs launch and follow-up rules and a command and control system, meaning that it has moved from ground operations to air operations. This is a very big challenge to the country's sovereignty. In addition, the bases can secure a guarantor belt, and this belt secures it from direct and indirect fire. "
He added, "Now the threat has become land and air, and this is a very important equation that we need to find solutions to, because if the national will fails, there will automatically be international interference."
An American military response is very likely
Al-Sharifi believes that "all the data now indicate from the field that the federal government has been granted an opportunity from the international will, specifically under the supervision of the United States, to use its national resources to silence this field tampering with missiles or even promotional and inflammatory media discourse," indicating that "when it realizes International will that there is a deficit at the level of national capacity to silence these forces, and that the party influencers and parties are stronger than the institutions. They will resort to internationalization, meaning that options are open to the international will to take deterrent measures.
He continued: "These measures may begin with political steps and end with military action, and the military possibility is possible, but in my estimation is very likely, because the United States has a mandate from the United Nations and the Security Council in two rights, the first right as a strategic ally of Iraq and the second right that it is charged with confronting terrorism, and every targeting of it is classified. Terrorism under international law, and therefore the right to respond is guaranteed to the United States. Therefore, in my estimation, after the Erbil airport strike, there will be military operations that may differ on the timing, that is, they may be close or somewhat far away, but there will be military operations in recognition that targeting airports is an integral part of a breach of security and peace. International. "
The response may be airdrops,
and Sharifi expects that the US military response will be through airdrops to carry out arrest or pursuit missions.
He says: "About two or three months ago, the activity of the 60 American pilots between Iraq and Kuwait, who were flying Chinooks to excuse the Special Forces, was limited to 33 to 55 fighters, with a total of 60 aircraft."
And he adds: "This means that it provided an important and effective field combat capability. The possibility that there will be incoming air strikes and that there will be airdrops for arrest or pursuit operations are also incoming because the United States always tends to be operations through airborne and airborne forces are the airborne forces to avoid For the condition of the ground operation if it moved by land, therefore all expectations indicate that there will be military operations. "
Who is responsible for armed attacks?
For his part, political analyst Fadel Abu Ragheef, according to the agency, believes that the common opinion is that groups loyal to Iran are behind the recent attack on Erbil airport.
Abu Ragheef said: "Frankly, I do not go with this opinion for several considerations first, because there are very strong commercial, political and economic relations between Iran and Erbil, and I do not think this is correct and I see that the matter goes further than that."
He adds: "Nineveh and Erbil are a very strong regional battleground. There is the Kurdistan Workers Party and there is the Qasd [the Syrian Democratic Forces]. There are groups that do not like the American presence and do not want it, and there are groups affected by the interference of the Peshmerga, and there are groups affected by the interference of the Iraqi army." A total of contradictions in an area that does not exceed 80 square kilometers. "
Abu Ragheef continues, saying: "I do not think that what is happening is the result of an Iranian-American conflict, because, as I said, the Iranians are in the best image of their relations with the Kurdistan region of Iraq."
The American military response will enter the country into a phase of violence
Abu Ragheef warns that the country will enter a phase of "violence and blood" if Washington takes military action against armed groups in Iraq. He says, "If the Americans do this, they will worsen the situation more than it is, and they will enter the country into a phase of violence that the Iraqis have nothing to do with, and this will enter the country into waves of violence and blood."
He continues: "These groups are part of Iraqi society and therefore I think that they have lines of communication through the political leaderships, and I think yes there is a continuation, as evidenced by the truce that took place four months ago, and certainly this truce did not happen out of a vacuum. Certainly there is an understanding and communication that led to this The armistice. '' Ended 29 / A43