[size=30]Analysis: The Kurds are the 'worst enemy' of themselves in Iraq and have lost their financial independence
[ltr]2023.06.18 - 11:23[/ltr]
[/size]
[ltr]2023.06.18 - 11:23[/ltr]
[/size]
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Baghdad - people
An analysis published by The Washington Institute stated that internal Kurdish divisions eventually helped the Shiite and Sunni factions weaken the financial independence of the Kurdistan region, and this effectively led to the subjugation of the regional government to federal authority, and ushered in a new era of relations between Erbil and Baghdad.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
The analysis followed by "NAS" on Sunday (June 18, 2023) indicated that in recent years the state of the historical struggle for power between the two ruling parties in Kurdistan has worsened, and the efforts made by Western diplomats, which aimed at encouraging the two parties to restore the functional relationship, only led to Temporary lull.
Here is the text of the analysis:
The Kurds were once referred to as the kingmakers, as one of the pillars of stability and the strongest force in the fight against the Islamic State. Now, they are paralyzed by fierce partisanship, tribal politics, and internal divisions.
After months of bargaining and bickering, Iraq's parliament approved a controversial three-year budget on June 12. The 2023 budget provides a record $153 billion to fund Iraq's growing public sector, development projects, and infrastructure. Although disagreements between Kurds and Arabs over the KRG's rights and budgetary obligations derailed parliament sessions for a few days, internal Kurdish divisions eventually helped the Shiite and Sunni factions weaken the KRG's financial autonomy. This effectively brought the Kurdistan Regional Government under federal authority and ushered in a new era in relations between Erbil and Baghdad.
The Kurdish role in post-2003 Iraq
Since 2003, the Kurdistan Region has gained a significant degree of autonomy and political influence within the country. In fact, the Kurds were active participants in the new political landscape in Iraq from the beginning, as they were heavily involved in drafting the new constitution and ultimately shaping Iraq's political system. They have held important positions in the federal government, and have participated in the negotiations for the establishment of various governments and their formations over the years. The symbolic position of the presidency in Iraq is reserved for the Kurds, according to customs.
On the military front, the Kurdish Peshmerga forces played an effective role in the 2003 US-led invasion of Iraq. With the advent of the Islamic State in 2014, the Peshmerga forces in effect gained territory and economic resources by extending their control over the oil-rich Kirkuk province, after the Iraqi federal forces abandoned their positions. The Peshmerga effectively expelled the Islamic State from Kirkuk, and later participated in attacks to drive the extremist group back. It was hailed as a fighting force on behalf of the world.
In addition to dealing with these political and military problems, the KRG has actively developed its economy over the past several years, attracting international capital and forming business alliances. It has significantly expanded its hydrocarbon sector, exporting 450,000 barrels of oil per day until March 2023. As a result, the Kurdish-controlled areas have been the most prosperous part of the country. Despite recent economic setbacks and the KRG's inability to pay civil servant salaries—in addition to the wealth disparity underlying the region's economic development—Kurdistan's poverty rate remains one of the lowest in all of Iraq.
Latent Kurdish divisions
The KRG appears to have all the characteristics of a sovereign state except for any formal international recognition. It even attempted to gain full sovereignty in 2017 by holding a controversial referendum on independence. However, this referendum led to great geographical, political and economic losses, and to the exacerbation of internal divisions hidden behind the apparent successes achieved by the Kurdistan Regional Government.
Politically, the historic struggle for power between the two ruling parties - the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan - has worsened in recent years. Efforts by Western diplomats, including US Assistant Secretary of State for Near Eastern Affairs Barbara A. Leaf, which aimed to encourage the two parties to restore the functional relationship, only a temporary calm. Once the Western guidance stops, the two parties will have a much sharper rift after each deal. This reality reveals a harsh truth, which is that internal Kurdish peace depends on firm and continuous foreign rebuke.
The irony is that the Kurds are adept at bringing together competing foreign powers, but terrible at dealing with their internal differences. For example, the president of the Kurdistan region, Nechirvan Barzani, is credited with mediating the phone call that took place between then-UAE Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed and Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, which led to the normalization of diplomatic relations between the two countries. Although Barzani deserves credit for courting the Kurdish parties and going the extra mile to try to bridge the political gaps within Kurdistan, his initiatives have been hampered by a complete lack of trust stemming from the deeply individualistic nature of politics. This tribal politics is so bad that each party is hell-bent on bringing the other down, regardless of the consequences for Kurdistan.
As a result, internal divisions undermined Kurdistan's autonomy vis-a-vis the federal government. These inter-party disputes weakened the Kurdish collective bargaining power and hindered the Kurds' ability to present a united front in negotiations with the federal government. Internal divisions also led to a lack of coherence in decision-making, making it impossible for the autonomous region to be effective in defending its autonomy and asserting its needs within the budget. The Shiite parties in the Coordination Framework used such divisions to gain more control and influence over the region's financial resources, particularly in the newly approved Iraqi budget law.
The acquiescence of the Kurdish authority did not stop at the loss of the entire oil sector in Kurdistan. Every dollar Erbil receives is subject to strict federal scrutiny, and the authority of the president of the Kurdistan region over how the money is spent falls under the jurisdiction of the Iraqi federal government and the Federal Office of Supreme Audit. In response to the KDP's financial marginalization, the PUK faction in Baghdad worked hard to make the Iraqi prime minister an arbiter in the event of any intra-Kurdish struggle over funding. It remains to be seen whether the prime minister will use his legal right to interfere in internal Kurdish affairs.
The failure of the Kurdish parties to rise to the occasion has diverted focus and resources from governance and development, jeopardizing the region's ability to build strong institutions and to govern itself effectively. This failure has also undermined the KRG's credibility and standing at the national, regional, and international levels. Even during the budget debate, which was crucial to the region's own economic viability, the Kurdish parties failed to articulate a well-balanced policy. Her best strategy was a self-destructive overreaction. As a result, the Kurdistan region is weaker than ever, and its future is uncertain.
Moreover, the KRG institutions have lost their legitimacy not only in the eyes of the people, but also from a legal perspective, especially after the Iraqi Supreme Court ruled that extending the parliament's mandate in the Kurdistan region is unconstitutional. Hence, the Kurdistan Region now needs to hold elections to restore its public and legal legitimacy, which would help reset all political tensions and conflicts between Kurdish political parties.
While these new elections cannot guarantee national unity, they can provide a good opportunity to boost confidence, encourage dialogue, and increase citizen participation. It can also help promote a sense of unity and common purpose, provided it is fair and clean. For this to happen, a political settlement must be reached in Kurdistan through a new political agreement backed by the KRG's foreign sponsors. Yet reaching this settlement will require more US and European diplomatic engagement than ever before, despite their diplomatic fatigue. In the event of a Western diplomatic vacuum, China and other Western adversaries could seek to fill the gap. Hence, Washington should not allow Beijing to score another diplomatic win in the Middle East.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
Today at 3:18 pm by Rocky
» utube MM&C 4/26/24 Iraqi Dinar - US Treasury Exchange Rates- Focus - Banking Partnerships - Rate C
Today at 3:17 pm by Rocky
» Parliamentary efforts to transform Iraq into a global market for transferring Internet capacities
Today at 3:07 pm by Rocky
» A parliamentary committee that enriches the political forces: Stop plundering Iraq’s wealth and work
Today at 2:56 pm by Rocky
» Politician: Salem Al-Issawi is the most likely to assume the presidency of Parliament
Today at 2:55 pm by Rocky
» The price of the dollar is close to 145 thousand dinars؛ how much is $100 worth of transactions؟
Today at 12:57 pm by wciappetta
» Al-Sudani: The world today is witnessing crises whose impact has been reflected in the global econo
Today at 10:50 am by Rocky
» The Federal Court responds to an inquiry by Al-Sudani regarding the powers of the provincial council
Today at 10:40 am by Rocky
» Among them are the Iraqis... a list of the most sought-after immigrants to America
Today at 10:38 am by Rocky
» An expert talks about the "biggest barrier" and the positives of merging Iraqi and Arab banks
Today at 10:29 am by Rocky
» The House of Representatives adjourns its session
Today at 10:24 am by Rocky
» Parliamentary demands to expedite the legislation of the Eid al-Ghadir holiday law (documents)
Today at 10:23 am by Rocky
» Parliament adds the paragraph “Electing the Speaker of the House of Representatives” to its agenda
Today at 10:21 am by Rocky
» Alsumaria publishes the text of the law against prostitution and homosexuality
Today at 10:20 am by Rocky
» A parliamentarian reveals the reason for the failure of the Speaker of Parliament to pass during tod
Today at 10:19 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani: The government has launched many strategies and initiatives that will improve the reality
Today at 9:42 am by Rocky
» International Business: Iraq has made progress in supporting businesses through investment and priva
Today at 9:33 am by Rocky
» Association of Banks: Iraq is witnessing great development in the transition to electronic governmen
Today at 9:25 am by Rocky
» The House of Representatives votes to add an item to its agenda (election of the Speaker of the Hous
Today at 9:22 am by Rocky
» Parliamentary integrity: Combating corruption requires parliamentary legislation
Today at 9:15 am by Rocky
» Al-Karaawi: America is trying to restrict Iraq
Today at 9:13 am by Rocky
» The State of Law coalition moves to form the local government in Diyala
Today at 9:12 am by Rocky
» The Sudanese and his battle against corruption.. Where is the fault with the government or with the
Today at 9:11 am by Rocky
» Prime Minister's Advisor: We will see the dollar fall on the black market soon
Today at 9:09 am by Rocky
» The Sunni blocs are resolute. The presidency of the Council is ours, away from Al-Halbousi
Today at 9:08 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani discusses with a workers’ organization his government’s steps in this field
Today at 8:58 am by Rocky
» Parliament holds its session in the presence of 170 deputies
Today at 8:57 am by Rocky
» In the presence of Nechirvan Barzani and Al-Sudani... the State Administration Coalition holds an “i
Today at 8:55 am by Rocky
» The UAE company ADNOC resorts to Iraqi oil. Find out the reasons
Today at 8:53 am by Rocky
» The Iraqi Parliament votes to add an item to elect a president to its agenda
Today at 8:52 am by Rocky
» The Federal Court responds to an inquiry by Al-Sudani regarding the powers of the provincial council
Today at 8:51 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani: It is necessary to attract women to work as a productive energy that cannot be disrupted
Today at 8:47 am by Rocky
» Zebari regarding targeting the Kormor field: a systematic attack on the economy of Kurdistan
Today at 8:46 am by Rocky
» Saudi Arabia tops, and this is Iraq's rank... a list of major suppliers of crude oil to South Korea
Today at 8:45 am by Rocky
» With a value of 125 million dollars.. Iraq is at the forefront of countries importing Iranian textil
Today at 8:44 am by Rocky
» More than a billion dollars in sales from the Iraqi Central Bank within a week
Today at 8:43 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani stresses the need for the expertise of the International Labor Organization to legislate a
Today at 8:29 am by Rocky
» Including the return of 21 wanted persons.. The Iraq Money Recovery Fund counts its achievements in
Today at 8:27 am by Rocky
» The path to development is the criterion between true patriotism and political clowning.
Today at 8:25 am by Rocky
» The file of the Presidency of Parliament is on the state administration table... this evening
Today at 8:22 am by Rocky
» Director General of the International Labor Organization: Many challenges in the world of work and t
Today at 8:20 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani: The world is witnessing crises that reflect negatively on the Arab and international peop
Today at 8:11 am by Rocky
» Prime Minister: Our government has provided great support for the success of the activities, program
Today at 8:08 am by Rocky
» Al-Asadi: Iraq places the social protection file among its priorities
Today at 8:07 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani: Iraq is one of the first countries in the region to join the International Labor Organiza
Today at 8:05 am by Rocky
» In the presence of Al-Sudani and Barzani, the State Administration Coalition holds an “important” me
Today at 8:03 am by Rocky
» Appreciating the presence of Al-Sudani... Director General of the Arab Labor Organization: Here from
Today at 6:29 am by Rocky
» Prime Minister: Our government has provided great support for the success of the activities, program
Today at 6:28 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani: The world is witnessing crises that reflect negatively on the Arab and international peop
Today at 6:24 am by Rocky
» The Parliamentary Development Institute organizes a workshop on the political role of the representa
Today at 6:22 am by Rocky
» With Arab and international participation. Tomorrow will be the start of the Fourth Baghdad Internat
Today at 6:21 am by Rocky
» OPEC Secretary General: The end of oil is not on the horizon
Today at 6:19 am by Rocky
» Closing a number of unlicensed offices and companies south of Baghdad
Today at 6:16 am by Rocky
» Repercussions of the bombing...intensive government movements to resume work in the “Kormor” field
Today at 6:15 am by Rocky
» In the presence of Al-Sudani...the opening of the Arab Labor Conference in its 50th session in Baghd
Today at 6:14 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani: We are working on drawing future visions regarding the “green and digital” economic secto
Today at 6:13 am by Rocky
» Barzani after the Kormor attack: We are ready to coordinate with Baghdad to put an end to these atta
Today at 6:10 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani directs the formation of an investigative committee into the circumstances of the Kormo fi
Today at 6:08 am by Rocky
» Bismayah is confused about the new electronic portal.. What about the landlord and the subcontracts?
Today at 6:07 am by Rocky
» Kurdistan Government: Loss of 2,500 megawatts of electricity due to targeting the Kormor field
Today at 6:06 am by Rocky
» Crisis in Kurdistan: 12-hour daily power outage and complaints of “confusion”
Today at 6:05 am by Rocky
» The Supreme Anti-Corruption Commission demands Nineveh for the contracts concluded by “Najm Al-Jubou
Today at 6:04 am by Rocky
» Al-Khanjar, Al-Samarrai, and Abu Mazen are hosted by Shaalan Al-Karim to discuss accelerating the se
Today at 6:03 am by Rocky
» Iraq asks the countries of the world to respond to its requests to extradite wanted persons: We have
Today at 6:02 am by Rocky
» “It is coming soon.” The Sudanese advisor sets the date for the referral of the Baghdad metro and th
Today at 6:01 am by Rocky
» Al-Mubarqa: Iraq reserves its full right to respond to the Australian behavior
Today at 6:00 am by Rocky
» Dollar exchange rates on Iraqi stock exchanges... recorded a decline, and this is the list
Today at 5:58 am by Rocky
» Mr. Al-Sadr supports the position of American university students
Today at 5:56 am by Rocky
» Iraqis are ranked 7th in the Arab world on the list of those most seeking immigration to America. He
Today at 5:55 am by Rocky
» Soon.. 3 new hospitals will open in Baghdad
Today at 5:52 am by Rocky
» Sponsored by Al-Sudani...the opening of the Arab Labor Conference in its fiftieth session in Baghdad
Today at 5:51 am by Rocky
» Al-Shammari chairs a meeting at the controlling headquarters to review the results of the security o
Today at 5:49 am by Rocky
» Arab Labor Organization: We commend Iraq's interest in the Arab Labor Conference
Today at 5:48 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani: The development road project will provide many job opportunities
Today at 5:47 am by Rocky
» Sudanese advisor criticizes Kuwaiti analyzes regarding the development road project
Yesterday at 3:21 pm by Rocky
» Al-Mandalawi stresses the need to strengthen economic and trade cooperation between Iraq and Poland
Yesterday at 3:04 pm by Rocky
» Power maneuvers: America provides defensive weapons to Kurdistan in exchange for withholding from Ba
Yesterday at 11:26 am by Rocky
» Kuwait is drilling an oil well near Umm Qasr, towards Iraqi territory
Yesterday at 11:24 am by Rocky
» In the document... the first Iraqi ministry identifies the obstacles to changing the new official wo
Yesterday at 11:22 am by Rocky
» Italian Institute: Iraq is stuck in its own crises, including Baghdad’s efforts to undermine the “au
Yesterday at 11:21 am by Rocky
» The head of the Integrity Commission announces the holding of an international Interpol conference i
Yesterday at 11:18 am by Rocky
» Planning: Iraqi companies are not efficient in conducting the population census
Yesterday at 11:14 am by Rocky
» MM&C 4/25/24 National Bank of Iraq goes live with Temenos core banking and payments
Yesterday at 9:06 am by Rocky
» A banking official indicates a "danger" to Iraq by depriving more than half of its banks of dollars
Yesterday at 8:55 am by Rocky
» With the participation of the Association of Private Banks, investment opportunities are on the tabl
Yesterday at 8:45 am by Rocky
» Within a month... an Iranian border crossing recorded a noticeable increase in exports of goods to I
Yesterday at 8:44 am by Rocky
» The Association of Private Banks appreciates the efforts of the government and the Central Bank to c
Yesterday at 8:43 am by Rocky
» Al-Maliki's coalition presents a third candidate for the position of governor of Diyala
Yesterday at 7:57 am by Rocky
» Arab gathering: The Kirkuk problem is getting complicated and the Sudanese must intervene
Yesterday at 7:56 am by Rocky
» Next week.. a Kurdish delegation will visit Baghdad to meet with the Minister of Finance
Yesterday at 7:54 am by Rocky
» Under the pretext of salaries... Al-Party refrains from handing over port revenues to Baghdad
Yesterday at 7:53 am by Rocky
» Association of Banks: For the first time, we are witnessing a clear targeting of depriving half of t
Yesterday at 7:51 am by Rocky
» Parliament does not know the reason for the delay in sending the 2024 budget schedules: Voting takes
Yesterday at 7:49 am by Rocky
» Applicants for the 2024 Hajj are demanding that the Central Bank secure the dollar for them through
Yesterday at 6:09 am by Rocky
» Governmental and private banks will showcase their services tomorrow during Financial Inclusion Week
Yesterday at 6:08 am by Rocky
» Iraq's oil exports rise despite OPEC+ cuts
Yesterday at 6:06 am by Rocky
» A study explodes a "surprise"... Iraq is among the countries that export oil to "Israel": How is the
Yesterday at 6:04 am by Rocky
» Al-Araji emphasizes working to strengthen national identity
Yesterday at 6:02 am by Rocky
» Al-Sudani visits Saudi Arabia to participate in the World Economic Forum in Riyadh
Yesterday at 6:01 am by Rocky