Will the Cold War between Saudi Arabia and Iran turn into a confrontation?
Baghdad - Journal News
The Financial Times published a report by Middle East correspondent Erika Solomon, saying that a single shot fired by Saudi Arabia against its regional rival Iran could turn the Cold War into a hot one.
The report points to the sudden resignation of Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri on Saturday, which Riyadh is believed to have forced him to do, feeling frustrated that he gave Hezbollah a cover by engaging him in the government.
The writer states that hours after Hariri's resignation, a ballistic missile was fired at Riyadh from Yemen, where Iran supports the Huthi rebels, noting that on the same day he asked Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas to come to Riyadh amid speculation that Saudi Arabia may not have been satisfied with Reconciliation with the Hamas movement backed by Iran.
"For years, Riyadh has watched for regional influence, while Iran has become more powerful. The series of Syrian regime victories has given Iran power, while the Saudi-backed opposition has faded, and in an effort to regain influence in the region, Its diplomatic efforts, establishing relations with Iraqi Shiite leaders, where Iran has a strong influence on them, as well as visiting the areas of Syrian Kurds; in an effort to limit the impact of Iran.
The report adds that what happened this week shows that the Saudi Crown Prince "strong" Prince Mohammed bin Salman and his allies in the United Arab Emirates adopt a more aggressive approach.
"All these efforts are linked to attempts to restructure the geopolitics and economic geography of the region," Solomon said of the senior adviser at Gulf State Anlateka, a US-based consulting firm, Theodore Karasik. "The Saudi-Saudi program has been attending him for years, That Iran has a Shiite pliers around them, and they must pay it strongly, and this is part of a project that includes Syria, Libya, Yemen and Palestine. "
Diplomats in the region say the developments are dangerous, destabilizing, and could lead to a new round of agency wars in the region, fearing a new wave of refugees and an increased reconstruction bill, fearing that instead of the United States By limiting the actions of Saudi Arabia, the administration of US President Donald Trump encourages them.
"Saudi Arabia is not alone in its ambiguous behavior, but also the United States," the report quoted a Western diplomat based in Beirut as saying. "What I fear is what kind of green light is given to Mohammed bin Salman? And how far will he go? "
The fears of the US government on Wednesday that it stands with Saudi Arabia and the allies in the Gulf against what it called the blatant violation of international law, the regional observers believe that Iran is dealing with Saudi movements seriously, and the missile that nearly hit the capital Riyadh is a "clear message They are serious, "Karasik said.
Iranian President Hassan Rowhani said in remarks on Wednesday that Saudi Arabia was wrong to believe that Iran was not a friend of Iran, but that it was mentioned by Iranian force and that bigger forces could not harm Iran, adding that Saudi Arabia was expected to increase pressure on Iran In Lebanon, where there are several theories on how to create new forces to provoke a war between Hezbollah and Israel, which fought a devastating war in 2006.
The report quoted a colleague at the Institute for Israeli Security Studies, Yoel Guzanski, as saying that a confrontation between Israel and Hezbollah was excluded, but expressed concern about Saudi Arabia's destabilizing role in bringing the war closer. "If this happens, we will return Lebanon to the Stone Age," he says.
Solomon notes that Riyadh fears that the Huthis will turn into a force like Hezbollah on its southern border, fulfilling its prophecy that was behind the war in 2015.
According to the newspaper, after three years of killing about 10 thousand people, while the lines of fighting were frozen, the Houthis can launch ballistic missiles over a thousand miles, noting that Saudi Arabia accuses Hezbollah of providing expertise and technology to the Yemeni community, such as the missile intercepted near the airport Riyadh.
"The war in Yemen was meant to show Saudi Arabia's ability to confront Iran's role in the region, and what happened was the opposite, as the Iranian role expanded and the Houthis stood up," the report quoted Peter Salzbury, a London-based researcher at Chatham House as saying.
"Such an assessment would explain the position of the regional allies of Saudi Arabia, such as Egypt, whose president Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said he was not planning any action against Hezbollah," the FT said in a statement.
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