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Experts warn: still to «lobbying» supporters in Syria and Iraq
24/1/2018 12:00 am [rtl]Vivian Salama and Courtney Cube / Translation: Anis al - Saffar Iraqi government declared victory on the organization «Daesh», while US President «Donald Trump» boasted about his role in the collapse of the «Caliphate State». President Trump said in a televised interview last October: "Today's duel has announced its capitulation. They are abandoning everything and giving up their hands or surrendering. This is a scene no one has ever seen before. " But experts, both inside and outside the US government, are warning of the danger that the remnants of a "dude" could pose, as proved by the recent suicide bombing in Baghdad. In the collapse of the caliphate, the number of active fighters in Syria and Iraq may have fallen to less than 3,000, but there is a possibility of more supporters and supporters remaining in the scene. Hassan Hassan, one of the authors of the book «Da'a, from within the army of terror», estimates that there are today about 7,000 of these supporters. "Their work is now almost completely limited to terrorist organizations and rebel movements," says Hassan, a senior fellow at the Institute for Middle East Policy. "There are still a lot of them still in Syria's Bou Kamal and Deir al-Zour, mostly Iraqis who have fled across the border." Hisham al-Hashemi, an adviser to the Iraqi government in the battle against Da'ash, told NBC News: "The number of active fighters in the field has fallen to 1,000 or 1,500, but the actual number of supporters in Iraq and Syria is perhaps Approximately 10,000 people. A total of 45,000 fighters had been deployed in the region at the peak of their operations, but coalition-backed forces had recovered almost the entire area controlled by the organization in Syria and Iraq, which has been close to Ohio since the beginning of the aerial bombardment campaign In Iraq and Syria in 2014. The largest strongholds of the terrorist group, namely the Iraqi city of Mosul and the Syrian capital city of Raqqa, which is the actual capital, fell in July and November of last year, respectively, by the forces of the two countries. Trump points to his leadership as a key factor in defeating "warring" fighters on battlefields. "I changed the rules of engagement completely, changed our army completely, changed the army's position and thus achieved a brilliant achievement," he said in his interview. Not only "lost" the land, but also deprived of the ability to access financial resources such as oil and gas and cash balances, which exceeded in 2014 by one billion dollars. Da'ash has also been raising about $ 30 million a month in Iraq in 2015 from tax collection, extortion and extortion, according to estimates by the Iraqi and US governments. Trump had vowed to end what he called "the current strategy of building nations and changing regimes" because it proved to fail, he said. Talking about the pillars of his strategy in Afghanistan last summer, Trump said: "The United States will no longer be interested in building nations, but rather focusing its efforts on" killing terrorists. " But recent history has taught the United States hard lessons about withdrawing from conflicts before the right moment comes. Former President George W. Bush, for example, had struck an agreement with the Iraqi government calling for the withdrawal of US troops by December 2011. Then President Obama followed the deadline in the belief that the Iraqis should learn to stand alone while the United States to address the problems Its internal economy and other pressing demands within and outside the United States, which was called "building the nation from within." "The difference is huge between defeating a military advocate on the battlefield and cutting off its empire as a terrorist organization," said Daniel Glaser, assistant secretary of state for terrorism funding in the administration of former president Barack Obama. In December, Defense Secretary Jim Matisse said: "We have told you that the Caliphate will come to an end, and now it is going to take over, while we sit in our place in late 2017. We broke the back of this organization." However, he added, adding that the war was not yet over, and stressed that work must continue to prevent Aw The emergence of what he called «Daesh 2» noting that the group may try to return to its roots modest terrorist attempt again to exploit sectarian divisions in Iraq and Syria. On Friday, the Pentagon announced a national defense strategy that states that terrorism "is still a continuing state despite the breakdown of a succession that calls for its material existence." A day before, Foreign Secretary Rex Tilerson said in his talk about Syria's broader Trump strategy: Hasty from Syria will give the terrorist group the opportunity to return again, as he put it. "The United States will keep its military presence in Syria in a precarious position," Tillerson said. "We can not make the same mistakes that were made in 2011 when we left Iraq prematurely. That allowed al-Qaeda in Iraq to regain its activity and take off our product. Calling. The recent bombing in one of Baghdad's busiest public squares shook the city's growing sense of reassurance, and although the Da'ash could no longer reap millions of dollars of oil and cash, it was back to raising funds from philanthropic activity and donations from rich donors. US estimates of what remains of the terrorist group's strength come close to what foreign experts believe. According to the United States, the latest estimates of the number of active "Da'ash" fighters range from 1,000 to 3,000, a figure that is rapidly declining. Against the backdrop of those numbers, US officials say they estimate the numbers of outfitters outside the battlefields in Iraq and Syria at between 6,000 and 8,000. This corresponds to the figure given by Hassan, but less than al-Hashemi's estimate of 10,000, including the so-called individual wolves. Glaser says that the "dumper" has turned into a new danger. Now they do not have a safe haven, which means that it is difficult for them to plan catastrophic attacks, but their threat remains, despite this, a more dispersed and unpredictable danger. " About the agency «NBC News»[/rtl] [rtl][You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] [/rtl] |
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