The specter of “Abdul Mahdi’s fall” haunts the formation of the new government

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[size=52]The specter of “Abdul Mahdi’s fall” haunts the formation of the new government[/size]

[size=45]Baghdad / Tamim Al-Hassan[/size]
[size=45]The specter of the fall of the Adel Abdul-Mahdi government two years ago dominates most of the discussions that are taking place behind the scenes between the political forces to get out of the current crisis.[/size]
[size=45]Most of the views of the political currents are that the broad partnership project, a term recently adopted by the "coordinating framework" group instead of "consensual", will lead us to a clash with the people.[/size]
[size=45]It seems that the state of "political contraction" that began with the recent early elections has reached the most complex episodes, and everyone has stopped presenting initiatives and proposals, or even "tweets."[/size]
[size=45]The number of initiatives from forces inside and outside the crisis and from independents reached 13, while other initiatives are awaiting on the way.[/size]
[size=45]The progress of forming the government stopped at the knot of choosing the president of the republic, and the emergence of what became known as the “blocking third,” according to the famous interpretation of the Federal Court on the quorum of the “president” election.[/size]
[size=45]According to the deliberations between the political forces, everyone is at a "crossroads" over the form of the next government, and the fear of provoking the street again.[/size]
[size=45]Sources familiar with those deliberations spoke to (Al-Mada) that "the most common reasons that divide the views of political forces between forming a consensus government or a majority is what happened in the October demonstrations."[/size]
[size=45]These sources indicate that supporters of the "political majority" project, which is defended by the leader of the Sadrist movement, Muqtada al-Sadr, believe that it is "the project closest to the demands of the street."[/size]
[size=45]And she adds: "The last group believes that what the coordination framework proposes is out of history, and no one will venture to repeat the experience of the Abdul-Mahdi government."[/size]
[size=45]The fear of provoking the street, as happened in 2019, and then the fall of the government, is what pushes the political forces to the “Sadr project,” as the sources say.[/size]
[size=45]The sources stress that "none of the allies of the current leader wants to form a government that does not last more than 6 months, if it is in the same way as the formation of previous governments."[/size]
[size=45]The leader of the current had admitted in mid-May that he was unable to form a government because of the "blocking third", so he decided to go to the opposition for a period of no less than a month.[/size]
[size=45]According to what he understood from al-Sadr's recent tweet, he will remain in the opposition's framework if his rival, the "coordinating framework", is able to form a government.[/size]
[size=45]But the other side has so far not made a single step towards forming a new government, and is relying on foreign initiatives, and the expiry of the last "30 days" deadline.[/size]
[size=45]According to the "Coordination Committee" circles, the latter is sure that any new change in the political crisis scene will not occur until after mid-June at least.[/size]
[size=45]"Most likely, a new government will not be formed without an agreement between the Sadrists and the coordinating framework," said Rasoul Abu Hasna, a former deputy from the Dawa Party.[/size]
[size=45]Abu Hasna has little hope that Sadr will go to the opposition completely, adding: "In that case, the government may be formed from the framework and the rest of the political forces."[/size]
[size=45]Recently, the Coordination Council has softened its demand for a “consensual” government due to the street’s rejection of that term, which reminds of previous governments. Instead, it has started using the word “extended government,” a term used by the leader of the Wisdom Movement, Ammar al-Hakim.[/size]
[size=45]A wing of the "frameworkers" thinks that the term "expanded government" will be a way out of the crisis, which is an intermediate situation between the "consensus and majority" governments, as it will avoid the Sadrist movement the embarrassment of including other Shiite forces in the majority government it calls for without prejudice to the origin of the project.[/size]
[size=45]The coordination framework is on the cusp of launching a new initiative, which, according to some leaks, may satisfy the Sadrists, but with conditions that seem difficult to achieve.[/size]
[size=45]The Sadrists stipulate, according to what is being leaked, that in the event of accepting the formation of an interim government that paves the way for new elections, it must be a “political majority government that excludes Nuri al-Maliki, the former prime minister, and Qais al-Khazali, the leader of Asa’ib Ahl al-Haq.”[/size]
[size=45]And part of these conditions, especially those related to the "prohibited" by the leader of the movement, may return matters to square one, as the "Coordination Committee" refused more than once to give up al-Maliki or one of the formations of the Shiite bloc.[/size]
[size=45]It is believed, according to what is circulating behind the scenes, that Tehran, at the impulse of al-Maliki, is the one who stands every time against any attempts to "splinter" within the bloc.[/size]
[size=45]And recently, some wings within the coordination framework of (Al-Mada) revealed that there are proposals that have not yet reached the initiative stage, in forming a “interim government headed by Mustafa Al-Kazemi that will arrange elections within a year” in a final solution to the crisis from the point of view of the “frameworkers.”[/size]
[size=45]The maturity of these proposals is related to recent developments between the two Kurdish parties, the Democratic Party and the Patriotic Union, where there are leaks that Massoud Barzani, the leader of the Democratic Party, may present a new initiative.[/size]
[size=45]The "coordinating party" prefers to wait until the issuance of a final form of the negotiations taking place between the two parties and the developments of what will happen, before it initiates the presentation of the last paper.[/size]
[size=45]So far, the two parties have formed committees to negotiate to solve the problems between the two parties, while the recent negotiations did not address the crisis of forming a government so far.[/size]
[size=45]In this context, Arafat Karam, one of the advisors to the leader of the Democratic Party, confirmed that the latter has tried, since the beginning of the crisis, to communicate with all the winning and non-winning political forces.[/size]
[size=45]Karam said, according to Kurdish media: "The problem is not the issue of assigning the presidency of the republic to the Kurdistan Democratic Party candidate, but the problem for the other party begins after the election of the president of the republic."[/size]
[size=45]Karam, a former deputy, explained that “the coordination framework sees that the Sadrist movement, as a Shiite party, constitutes a minority in the Alliance to Save a Nation, and believes that this poses a danger to the Shiite component, and if we examine their statements, we find that they stress that the doctrine is in danger, and that the rights of the component in Dangerous, that is why they want to form the largest bloc.[/size]
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