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An Israeli study: Saudi support for the secession of Kurdistan strengthened Iran's position in the r

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rocky
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An Israeli study: Saudi support for the secession of Kurdistan strengthened Iran's position in the r

Post by rocky on Thu 12 Oct 2017, 1:57 am

An Israeli study: Saudi support for the secession of Kurdistan strengthened Iran's position in the region
  Wednesday, 11 October 2017 at 18:57 PM (Views 1918)
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]An Israeli study: Saudi support for the secession of Kurdistan strengthened Iran's position in the region


Baghdad / Sky Press

A new study prepared and published by the Begin-Sadat Center for Strategic Research shows that Iran now publicly threatens to dismantle Saudi Arabia in support of Kurdish independence and secession from Iraq. This escalation of tensions has implications not only for these countries but also for the region and the world at large. Israel must remember that the Middle East is becoming increasingly volatile, and the United States must sharpen its resolve to contain Iran, she said.
The Iran-Saudi conflict over sovereignty in the Middle East is not new. In the early 1980s, in Tripoli, Lebanon, the Saudis supported Sunni militia forces in their struggle with the Alawites to control Lebanon's most important city in the north. Since then, Hezbollah, the first and most important Iranian militia in the Arabic-speaking Arab world, has sent fighters into the city to support the Alawite minority with agents of the Assad regime, which had allied with Iran at the time. This was the longest, most durable and flexible strategic relationship between Two countries in the Middle East.
Since then, the study has shown that the conflict between them has widened. Iran, which last year had the upper hand in the war against the Saudis in Syria, now threatens to split the Saudi state itself. Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah warned that if it continued to support the Iraqi Kurds trapped after their independence, he would dismantle the Saudi state. 
"It is difficult for anyone in the Middle East to ask Nasrallah to clarify the exact nature of this threat," he said, pointing out that the Shiites lived in the Al-Ahsa region of Saudi Arabia before the region became the center of Saudi oil discoveries and production. The more oil was discovered and produced In the region, the marginalization of the Shiite minority in Sunni Saudi Arabia has intensified.
This dynamism was preceded by the Iranian revolution, but increased with Iran's revolutionary foreign policy to weaken Arab states. One of its main objectives was Saudi Arabia, the richest Arab state and Egypt, the most populous and supposedly the strongest. 
The study found that it is not surprising that Nasrallah chose Ashura celebrations to deliver this threat to Saudi Arabia, explaining that in the past two decades the Ashura anniversary has been plagued by large-scale suicide attacks by Sunni extremist groups in the holy Shiite cities of Iraq. Iran, the Iraqi government, and many Shiites are convinced that Saudi financial support was crucial in launching these attacks and subsequent massacres as individuals crushed crowds as they tried to flee the scene.
Based on the above, the study stressed that Iran's position is clear: if Saudi Arabia participated in the division of Shiite-dominated Iraq by supporting the Kurds, Iran would divide the kingdom, and this threat appears to show that Iran is the supreme hand in its dispute with the Kingdom , But the latter will not stand idly by, but will defend Iraq, not only for itself.
According to the study, Iran is in a stronger position because, at least on the Kurdish issue, it has a strong Sunni ally in Turkey. For Saudis, playing with the Kurdish card comes at the cost of dividing the Sunni camp. It also explained that the Turks are angry with the Kurdish movement, and that the Egyptian elite, which defend regional sovereignty because of the internal Coptic problem in Egypt (which attracted international intervention), is cold if not hostile to Kurdish independence. This leaves Saudi Arabia in the face of unilateralism against Iran. . The kingdom may have money, but Iran also has money, and has many guns and men to shoot them, in the Middle East, guns are usually the referee, as she put it.
The study concluded that the new stakes in the Saudi-Iranian conflict have wide implications. For the United States, this should mean greater determination to contain Iran if not punishable. As for decision-makers in Tel Aviv, they should understand that the Middle East Has become more volatile, dangerous, unpredictable, and therefore have to be careful, this includes dealing very carefully with the Palestinian cause, the study confirmed.





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