An American report on Washington’s seriousness in withdrawing from Iraq: Biden does not want to lose

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[size=52]An American report on Washington’s seriousness in withdrawing from Iraq: Biden does not want to lose the elections[/size]

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03-16-2024
The American magazine “National Interest” asked whether the United States was serious about the idea of ​​leaving Iraq, after Baghdad called for the withdrawal of American forces and in light of the heated regional conditions, and whether the American military presence would finally reach its end, indicating that President Joe Biden wants to avoid facing what former President Jimmy Carter faced in the Tehran hostage issue, which caused him to lose the election.[/size]
[size=45]The translated American report indicated that much has been written recently about what the United States intends to do after the clash of interests between it and Iraq, at a time when the popularity of the United States in the region is witnessing its lowest level while it continues to provide Israel with military support in its war against the Hamas movement in the Gaza Strip, which... It causes a lot of anger in most parts of the world.[/size]
[size=45]After the report mentioned the attacks launched by factions on American forces in Iraq and Syria and the Hezbollah attacks in Lebanon against Israel, the report said that the administration of President Joe Biden had no choice but to be serious in responding to the factions that attacked its forces, especially after the attack on the American base in Jordan, noting that it is an election year in the United States, and the foreign policy of the Biden administration may be an “Achilles’ heel” for him. However, the report said that Washington does not want a large-scale war with Iran.[/size]
[size=45]However, the report pointed out that Iraqi Prime Minister Muhammad Shia al-Sudani called for a “quick and orderly exit through negotiation” for the US-led coalition forces from Iraq because he fears that the continuation of their current situation in Iraq will lead to destabilization, due to American support for the Israeli attack on Gaza. Although the report said that the Iraqi state has the legal right to ask any foreign force to leave, if it chooses to do so, it stressed that Al-Sudani did not set a final date for ending this presence, and it is not clear if and when he will do so.[/size]
[size=45]However, the report said that it is unreasonable to say that Washington will withdraw at such a time after its forces were exposed to fire and suffered casualties, especially in light of the continuing war in Gaza, as Israel and other American partners will feel that they have become more vulnerable to danger.[/size]
[size=45]The report indicated that Iranian leaders can take advantage of an American withdrawal to present a stronger image of themselves to their supporters.[/size]
[size=45]The report pointed out that Iran, in any case, considers its long-term goal to be to expel the United States from the region.[/size]
[size=45]The report quoted Joshua Landis, a researcher and professor of Middle East affairs at the University of Oklahoma, saying, “The Biden administration will try to remain in Iraq while making minor amendments to its agreement with the government,” adding that Biden will not want to withdraw, and certainly not before the elections in November. Next second.[/size]
[size=45]The American report stated that the 81-year-old President of the United States is struggling to maintain acceptable popularity, as it now reaches less than 40%, adding that if Biden makes any moves that show his clear retreat towards Iran, he may find himself facing a similar scenario. What happened with former President Jimmy Carter in November 1979 when Iranian students stormed the American embassy in Tehran, where they held 52 Americans hostage for 444 days.[/size]
[size=45]The report indicated that this incident cost Carter the presidency the following year against his Republican rival, Ronald Reagan, who showed a contradictory image to Carter, as a strong and determined candidate during the election campaign.[/size]
[size=45]The report continued that it is almost certain that Biden's political opponent is Donald Trump, who will portray the current president similarly to Carter, meaning that he is the weakest candidate.[/size]
[size=45]The report added that Trump, in return, could remind the American people that he ordered the assassination of Iranian military commander Qassem Soleimani in Iraq in January 2020.[/size]
[size=45]Regarding Tehran’s reaction to the United States’ withdrawal from Iraq, the report quoted Landis as saying, “Iran will consider the United States’ withdrawal from Iraq as a major victory,” noting that since the beginning of the Gaza war, Iran has focused all its efforts on removing the United States from Iraq. Meanwhile, Iranian-backed attacks on American bases prompted Washington to assassinate prominent Iraqi leaders, in addition to imposing sanctions that targeted the Iranians.[/size]
[size=45]The report concluded by ruling out that additional sanctions would curb or deter Iran's behavior, considering that they would be nothing more than a means to annoy the Iranians, and would not have any practical repercussions. The report concluded by saying that the most clear results will come from the nature of Biden’s move to either maintain the presence of American forces, withdraw them, or reduce their size from Iraq and elsewhere in the Middle East, while Tehran watches and sees whether time is on its side.[/size]
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