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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    Europe and the agreement between American pressure and Iranian intransigence

    Rocky
    Rocky
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    Europe and the agreement between American pressure and Iranian intransigence Empty Europe and the agreement between American pressure and Iranian intransigence

    Post by Rocky Fri 12 Jul 2019, 3:08 am


    [size=32]Europe and the agreement between American pressure and Iranian intransigence


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    Iran is exerting a policy of pressure in line with the policy of extreme pressure pursued by the administration of US President Donald Trump. Tramb's position on Iran's nuclear deal Although it is due to his desire to achieve a final agreement on expanded terms with Iran, there is another reason to consider the agreement as bad. When Obama signed the agreement was aimed at ending international isolation from Iran, Its relationship with neighboring States, and a cold state of peace between them.
    However, what happened was that the agreement pushed Iran into more provocative policies. The agreement strengthened Iran's military capacity to support its allies. In accordance with Security Council resolution 2231 (2015), which provides for the termination of the provisions of the previous Security Council resolutions, Up to five years.
    In his 2017 testimony, the CIA director also pointed out that Iran was continuing to develop a range of new military capabilities to monitor and target the United States and allied military assets in the region, including drones, advanced naval mines, submarines and advanced turbines, cruise missiles and anti-ship ground .
    Iran is trying to review military power through the IRGC naval forces operating in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz. The US Navy has recorded about 14 cases of what it described as "unsafe or unprofessional" interactions with Iranian forces in 2017, Recorded 36 such incidents in 2016 and 22 in 2015. These reports indicate that the agreement did not push Iran to pacify the region as much as it made clear that it did not change its behavior. These were the justifications of President Trump.
    Hence, Iran has recently adopted a policy of maximum pressure in exchange for both European countries and the United States. Despite its meeting with the signatories of the agreement in Vienna a few days ago, the declaration by the European side of the activation of the INSTEX mechanism and the possibility of the accession of the other EU countries to it. Iran is satisfied with the results, and explained that they are not enough, and gave the European countries two months, that is, until September, to find a way to compensate for the losses sustained. At the same time, Iran announces its rejection of any American calls to negotiate before lifting economic sanctions.
    Iran aims to pressure the European parties to divide and tense the relations between the European parties signed the agreement and the United States, as the policy of maximum pressure adopted by the management of Trump is the one that pushed the current tensions in the Middle East, but added to this goal that Iran wants from Behind this is the exercise of European pressure on the United States, so as to ease sanctions, and ensure oil within the European mechanism.
    The mistake of the Iranian bet on Russia and China 
    What happened was the transfer of tension to the square of Iranian-British relations, following the British Navy's seizure of an Iranian oil tanker at Gibraltar, which was said to have been destined for Syria. In an Iranian reaction, President Hassan Rowhani and some leaders of Iran's Revolutionary Guard threatened that British action would not go unanswered. Yesterday, US and British reports of Iranian boats trying to intercept the passage of a British tanker in the Gulf of Hormuz.
    Certainly, Iran has tried to seize the British tanker to pressure Britain to release the other Iranian, as well as deepen further reviews of the power exercised to prove its influence in the Gulf. The two recent incidents are signaling a shift in the tension between Iran and the European parties, not the other way around, as was Iran's aim.
    Therefore, Iran, which adheres to the agreement and does not want to eliminate it, wants its policy to highlight its ability to create tension on more than one side, and that it has the cards to strengthen its position so that it can get the maximum it can win in any future negotiations with United State. Thus, one possible scenario is that Iran's intransigence will lead to a continued reduction of its obligations to the agreement after it announced enrichment by 4.5%, prompting the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to register those Iranian breaches and report on what might lead to its departure.
    However, one of the other scenarios is the negotiation between Iran and the United States, especially that the European parties if they are serious in taking a position on Iran could have activated the dispute settlement mechanism provided by agreement, and the US administration, despite the expansion of sanctions on Iran and impose sanctions on its agents in the region, Such as the Lebanese parliamentarians affiliated with Hezbollah, the United States has announced for some time the possibility of sanctions against Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Jawad Zarif before imposing sanctions, and therefore the declaration is a kind of warning and not to harm some of the Iranian figures This is not a US desire to continue to escalate against Iran indicators.
    Therefore, whatever the problems of tensions between Iran and the West and the United States, there must be some kind of pressure that refutes Iran's papers that it will employ in any negotiations. The Arab and Gulf roles should be activated, and pressure should be exerted on Iran in areas of influence such as Iraq. Any agreement must include Arab interests, otherwise the regional isolation that can be imposed by those countries can reduce the effect of lifting international isolation from them.



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