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[size=52]Will the American targeting of militias result in a decline in Iranian influence on the Iraqi political scene?[/size]
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Iraq is engulfed by a new and massive wave of crises, somewhat similar to the ones that rocked it during the control of ISIS over large areas of the country in mid-2014, and with the escalation of events, especially after the United States targeted a number of pro-Iranian militia sites supported by Iran, it seems clear that politicians Those who oppose Tehran may get rid of some Iranian influence on the political scene, which has worsened since the announcement of the victory over ISIS and the implementation of the popular crowd factions in the country.
In a recent step, indicating the possibility of American forces directing harsh strikes at militias, led by the Hezbollah Brigades, Washington deployed a Patriot missile system in the silk bases in Erbil, and appointed Assad in Anbar. Meanwhile, two other batteries are waiting at one of the bases in Kuwait in order to transfer them to Iraq in the coming days.
In this regard, the professor of political science at the University of Jehan - Erbil Muhannad al-Janabi inferred the liberation of some political forces from the overwhelming Iranian influence on the scene by nominating Adnan al-Zarfi for the post of prime minister, who is one of the most prominent politicians opposed to Iranian influence in Iraq.
Al-Janabi says that "deterring influence on the political scene depends on the results of the American-Iranian escalation," adding that it is likely that "the United States will have an advantage after Iran lost many of its cards, especially General Qassem Soleimani."
Al-Janabi believes that the Iranian axis, in turn, seeks to possess new pressure cards, including "the frequent targeting of American bases, as stopping it will give it a card to sit at the negotiating table in order to stop the decline of its influence in Iraq."
On the other hand, political analyst Ghanem Al-Abed believes that "the only moment that Iran will sit and negotiate will be when it senses that the war will be inside they set it, but as long as it remains outside the borders, it will fight until the last drop of blood from the Iraqis loyal to it." But he goes on to support Iranian attempts to harvest new pressure cards, saying he "does not rule out a clash between militias and ISIS, as happened previously."
And Al-Abed adds that “the American Foreign Policy magazine pointed out explicitly two years ago that the militias that existed in Khanaqin worked on a method of pardon in exchange for loyalty, as they embraced 40 people from ISIS, including two leaders, and joined them to the popular crowd in exchange for loyalty, and this loyalty will be costly to fight the Americans, It is not excluded that you have worked on this method in a number of other provinces to include more of them.
For his part, veteran political researcher Rahman al-Jabouri believes that the confrontation between the United States and the pro-Iranian militias harms Iraq more than the benefit it might bring, given what he described as "walking the path of nation building."
Al-Jubouri said in a statement that "reforming the political system and running the state needs a peaceful environment in which to move", stressing that "Iran suffocates, and its supporters in Iraq lose the popular incubators on which they have relied for a long time."
Al-Jubouri says, "The state's discourse and the return of its prestige are in marked progress at the grassroots level. As for the return to the language of marches and Katyusha, they will hinder progress and silence the voices in support of this."
And on how to reform the political system in light of the domination of Iranian influence on the political scene, Jubouri confirms that "the system can be slowly reformed by the popular mood through organized and popular action and pressure for elections characterized by a higher degree of integrity."
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[size=52]Will the American targeting of militias result in a decline in Iranian influence on the Iraqi political scene?[/size]
[size=45][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Iraq is engulfed by a new and massive wave of crises, somewhat similar to the ones that rocked it during the control of ISIS over large areas of the country in mid-2014, and with the escalation of events, especially after the United States targeted a number of pro-Iranian militia sites supported by Iran, it seems clear that politicians Those who oppose Tehran may get rid of some Iranian influence on the political scene, which has worsened since the announcement of the victory over ISIS and the implementation of the popular crowd factions in the country.
In a recent step, indicating the possibility of American forces directing harsh strikes at militias, led by the Hezbollah Brigades, Washington deployed a Patriot missile system in the silk bases in Erbil, and appointed Assad in Anbar. Meanwhile, two other batteries are waiting at one of the bases in Kuwait in order to transfer them to Iraq in the coming days.
In this regard, the professor of political science at the University of Jehan - Erbil Muhannad al-Janabi inferred the liberation of some political forces from the overwhelming Iranian influence on the scene by nominating Adnan al-Zarfi for the post of prime minister, who is one of the most prominent politicians opposed to Iranian influence in Iraq.
Al-Janabi says that "deterring influence on the political scene depends on the results of the American-Iranian escalation," adding that it is likely that "the United States will have an advantage after Iran lost many of its cards, especially General Qassem Soleimani."
Al-Janabi believes that the Iranian axis, in turn, seeks to possess new pressure cards, including "the frequent targeting of American bases, as stopping it will give it a card to sit at the negotiating table in order to stop the decline of its influence in Iraq."
On the other hand, political analyst Ghanem Al-Abed believes that "the only moment that Iran will sit and negotiate will be when it senses that the war will be inside they set it, but as long as it remains outside the borders, it will fight until the last drop of blood from the Iraqis loyal to it." But he goes on to support Iranian attempts to harvest new pressure cards, saying he "does not rule out a clash between militias and ISIS, as happened previously."
And Al-Abed adds that “the American Foreign Policy magazine pointed out explicitly two years ago that the militias that existed in Khanaqin worked on a method of pardon in exchange for loyalty, as they embraced 40 people from ISIS, including two leaders, and joined them to the popular crowd in exchange for loyalty, and this loyalty will be costly to fight the Americans, It is not excluded that you have worked on this method in a number of other provinces to include more of them.
For his part, veteran political researcher Rahman al-Jabouri believes that the confrontation between the United States and the pro-Iranian militias harms Iraq more than the benefit it might bring, given what he described as "walking the path of nation building."
Al-Jubouri said in a statement that "reforming the political system and running the state needs a peaceful environment in which to move", stressing that "Iran suffocates, and its supporters in Iraq lose the popular incubators on which they have relied for a long time."
Al-Jubouri says, "The state's discourse and the return of its prestige are in marked progress at the grassroots level. As for the return to the language of marches and Katyusha, they will hinder progress and silence the voices in support of this."
And on how to reform the political system in light of the domination of Iranian influence on the political scene, Jubouri confirms that "the system can be slowly reformed by the popular mood through organized and popular action and pressure for elections characterized by a higher degree of integrity."
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