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[size=35][size=35]An American institute draws scenarios for the political crisis in Iraq: This is how change takes place[/size][/size]
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2022-08-06 | 02:40
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The analysis stated that there is a lot of speculation about al-Sadr's motives, including: Was he frustrated by the prolonged political stalemate, and was he preparing to retire from politics? Or did he abandon the political system and plans to confront the political class from the outside?
He also asked: "Was Al-Sadr's life threatened by Iran because he aimed to exclude its allies from being part of the government?
Al-Sadr's opponents thought that they had succeeded in thwarting him to the point of withdrawing from the political process and soon replaced his deputies, most of whom are members of their own deputies, according to the author's analysis. He
added that the coordinating framework and others believed that the path to forming the government had been paved, especially that the leader of the State of Law coalition, Nuri al-Maliki, was looking forward to setting himself up for a third term in the prime ministership or choosing a prime minister from his close circle.
He pointed out that al-Sadr's withdrawal from Parliament placed the current prime minister[url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/1267304981/%D9%85%D8%B5%D8%B7%D9%81%D9%89 %D8%A7%D9%84%D9%83%D8%A7%D8%B8%D9%85%D9%8A/ar/]Mustafa Al-Kazemi[/url]His government and Sadr's political and parliamentary partners are in a very difficult position. He added that Sadr's opponents believe that Russia's war on Ukraine has changed many things, and that the United States and Europe need oil
Many of his opponents also believed that al-Sadr had lost a large number of his constituents, frustrated by his inability to form a government.
On the other hand, the analysis indicated that many will not support any attempt to overthrow the regime and ignite a civil war among the Shiites, and neither will the Iraqi Shiite religious establishment in Najaf nor the international community support such a step.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.].
With the production capacity of the Gulf countries reaching the maximum, Iraq can compensate and produce more. Therefore, al-Sadr's opponents believed that[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]Europe will accept a government formed by the coordination framework, in the hope that it will prioritize oil production over reform and other governance issues. Role
It is clear that this turn of events has already shown that much of the thinking of Sadr's opponents did not work, according to the analysis, which indicated that his call for Friday prayers in the scorching summer heat in Baghdad with tens of thousands of people responding, showed that Sadr's support remains strong.
He also indicated that the seizure of the parliament building and other facilities in the Green Zone in the past few days, and inviting other political parties, clan leaders and the Iraqi people to join what he called a "spontaneous peaceful revolution", clearly indicate that al-Sadr is keen to achieve his declared political goals to change the political system and fight corruption.
He asserted that his opponents now believed that he was truly headed toward the ultimate goal of placing political, economic, religious and social power above everyone else.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
analysis said; There are conflicting ideas about[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]About the role of the United States, including that the prevailing thinking is that no prime minister will be appointed, or he can succeed if the United States and Iran do not agree to him.
At the same time, many political actors believe that the role and influence of the United States has been greatly diminished in[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.].
On the other hand, the analysis pointed out that despite the tense relations between al-Sadr and the United States in the past, some believe that[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]Al-Sadr preferred the formation of a government in order to strengthen[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]against Iran and its allies.
He also added that the [url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/45068/%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%88%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%AA %D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%AF%D8%A9 %D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A3%D9%85%D8%B1%D9%8A%D9%83%D9%8A%D8%A9/ar/]United States[/url] has an interest in a democratic, stable, and sovereign Iraq, and thus can work with its allies across the Iraqi political spectrum along with its European allies and the United Nations, to encourage and support dialogue among the various actors to prevent violence, break the political deadlock, and enable effective governance.
Where is Iraq heading?
The analysis stated that despite the many changes in Iraq, the main problem remains, which is an imbalance of power, unwillingness to accept the other, and limited efforts to implement what has already been agreed upon.
He added that the political class is separated from the suffering of the public and behaves indifferently, while [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.], Turkey and other countries enjoy the influence of a strong competitor in Iraq, and the current crisis gives a greater opportunity to expand this influence, adding that internal problems provide space for others to exercise their influence.
According to the analysis, Iraq's problems can be solved or mitigated if the Iraqis work better with each other, as he saw that Iraq remains important to the stability of the region and the national security interests of regional and global powers.
He went on to say; The country possesses many elements needed for positive change, but still lacks a catalyst to harness these elements
. He added that there are efforts to break the current political crisis, but the deep political impasse in Iraq will not be moved any time soon.
He concluded by saying: "Real change can happen if the political process becomes more expressive of the will of Iraqis, more than 60 percent of whom did not vote in the 2021 elections, and did not agree with the political class."
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Policy
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2022-08-06 | 02:40
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
10,915 views
The analysis stated that there is a lot of speculation about al-Sadr's motives, including: Was he frustrated by the prolonged political stalemate, and was he preparing to retire from politics? Or did he abandon the political system and plans to confront the political class from the outside?
He also asked: "Was Al-Sadr's life threatened by Iran because he aimed to exclude its allies from being part of the government?
Al-Sadr's opponents thought that they had succeeded in thwarting him to the point of withdrawing from the political process and soon replaced his deputies, most of whom are members of their own deputies, according to the author's analysis. He
added that the coordinating framework and others believed that the path to forming the government had been paved, especially that the leader of the State of Law coalition, Nuri al-Maliki, was looking forward to setting himself up for a third term in the prime ministership or choosing a prime minister from his close circle.
He pointed out that al-Sadr's withdrawal from Parliament placed the current prime minister[url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/1267304981/%D9%85%D8%B5%D8%B7%D9%81%D9%89 %D8%A7%D9%84%D9%83%D8%A7%D8%B8%D9%85%D9%8A/ar/]Mustafa Al-Kazemi[/url]His government and Sadr's political and parliamentary partners are in a very difficult position. He added that Sadr's opponents believe that Russia's war on Ukraine has changed many things, and that the United States and Europe need oil
Many of his opponents also believed that al-Sadr had lost a large number of his constituents, frustrated by his inability to form a government.
On the other hand, the analysis indicated that many will not support any attempt to overthrow the regime and ignite a civil war among the Shiites, and neither will the Iraqi Shiite religious establishment in Najaf nor the international community support such a step.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.].
With the production capacity of the Gulf countries reaching the maximum, Iraq can compensate and produce more. Therefore, al-Sadr's opponents believed that[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]Europe will accept a government formed by the coordination framework, in the hope that it will prioritize oil production over reform and other governance issues. Role
It is clear that this turn of events has already shown that much of the thinking of Sadr's opponents did not work, according to the analysis, which indicated that his call for Friday prayers in the scorching summer heat in Baghdad with tens of thousands of people responding, showed that Sadr's support remains strong.
He also indicated that the seizure of the parliament building and other facilities in the Green Zone in the past few days, and inviting other political parties, clan leaders and the Iraqi people to join what he called a "spontaneous peaceful revolution", clearly indicate that al-Sadr is keen to achieve his declared political goals to change the political system and fight corruption.
He asserted that his opponents now believed that he was truly headed toward the ultimate goal of placing political, economic, religious and social power above everyone else.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
analysis said; There are conflicting ideas about[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]About the role of the United States, including that the prevailing thinking is that no prime minister will be appointed, or he can succeed if the United States and Iran do not agree to him.
At the same time, many political actors believe that the role and influence of the United States has been greatly diminished in[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.].
On the other hand, the analysis pointed out that despite the tense relations between al-Sadr and the United States in the past, some believe that[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]Al-Sadr preferred the formation of a government in order to strengthen[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]against Iran and its allies.
He also added that the [url=https://www.alsumaria.tv/Entity/45068/%D8%A7%D9%84%D9%88%D9%84%D8%A7%D9%8A%D8%A7%D8%AA %D8%A7%D9%84%D9%85%D8%AA%D8%AD%D8%AF%D8%A9 %D8%A7%D9%84%D8%A3%D9%85%D8%B1%D9%8A%D9%83%D9%8A%D8%A9/ar/]United States[/url] has an interest in a democratic, stable, and sovereign Iraq, and thus can work with its allies across the Iraqi political spectrum along with its European allies and the United Nations, to encourage and support dialogue among the various actors to prevent violence, break the political deadlock, and enable effective governance.
Where is Iraq heading?
The analysis stated that despite the many changes in Iraq, the main problem remains, which is an imbalance of power, unwillingness to accept the other, and limited efforts to implement what has already been agreed upon.
He added that the political class is separated from the suffering of the public and behaves indifferently, while [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.], Turkey and other countries enjoy the influence of a strong competitor in Iraq, and the current crisis gives a greater opportunity to expand this influence, adding that internal problems provide space for others to exercise their influence.
According to the analysis, Iraq's problems can be solved or mitigated if the Iraqis work better with each other, as he saw that Iraq remains important to the stability of the region and the national security interests of regional and global powers.
He went on to say; The country possesses many elements needed for positive change, but still lacks a catalyst to harness these elements
. He added that there are efforts to break the current political crisis, but the deep political impasse in Iraq will not be moved any time soon.
He concluded by saying: "Real change can happen if the political process becomes more expressive of the will of Iraqis, more than 60 percent of whom did not vote in the 2021 elections, and did not agree with the political class."
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
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