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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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    An American researcher draws scenarios for the post-Barzani era in Kurdistan

    Rocky
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    • Post n°1

    An American researcher draws scenarios for the post-Barzani era in Kurdistan Empty An American researcher draws scenarios for the post-Barzani era in Kurdistan

    Post by Rocky Fri 03 Mar 2023, 5:04 am

    [size=30]An American researcher draws scenarios for the post-Barzani era in Kurdistan
    [ltr]2023.03.03 - 11:39[/ltr]
    [/size]
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    Baghdad - Nas  
    The "1945" website published an analysis by the controversial American researcher, known for his criticism and anti-Kurdish positions, "Michael Rubin" for the post-death of Kurdish leader Massoud Barzani in Kurdistan.  
      
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    Rubin, who works under the Enterprise (AEI), mentioned in his analysis, which was followed by "NAS" (March 3, 2023), that Masoud Barzani, the leader of the Kurdistan Democratic Party and former president of the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, is 76 years old, the same age as his father when he died of cancer and that Barzani He is the spiritual father of Iraqi Kurdistan for more than three decades.  
      
    Rubin stated that the post-Barzani stage is characterized by generational conflict, as Barzani's eldest son (and Prime Minister) Masrour Barzani works to marginalize his father's nephew (the president of the region) Nechirvan Barzani. Rubin expects that the political life of Nechirvan Barzani will end in the future, and he gave an example of what happened between Muhammad bin Salman and his cousin Muhammad bin Nayef in Saudi Arabia.  
      
    He added: While diplomats acknowledge Masrour's actions against his cousin and Nechirvan's son Idris, there is less discussion about the possibility of fighting between Masoud's five sons: Masrour, Mansour, Meksi, Wesi, and Mulla Mustafa (Babu). Respect for their father has always prevented disagreements between brothers (and their children) from breaking out into the open.  
      
    Rubin predicted that the next step in Masrour's efforts would be to consolidate control, adding: Just as Masoud Barzani confirmed decades ago that he would sit alone at the top of Barzani's hierarchy, Masrour would also turn against his brothers. If prestige were politics alone, this might not be a problem. However, Masrur is the eldest and Kurdistan is a de facto monarchy where the eldest son is the heir apparent. But the decline in resources means that Masrour may infringe on the interests of his brothers.  
      
    One of Masroor's brothers, Moxie, is likely to stand aside because he is less interested in politics or money and poses no threat to his siblings. The other two brothers, Mansour and Mulla Mustafa, each have business interests upon which Masrour can act in the short term.  
      
    Michael Rubin warned: What Western diplomats should expect is that some fratricidal battles will be bloody, such as guerrilla warfare. The target may not be the brothers themselves, but members of their surroundings or their business interests, explosions, arson, drive-by shootings or disappearances. Iran and Turkey will gleefully throw petrol on the fire.  
      
    The American researcher pointed out that over the past eighteen months, the PUK family witnessed something similar as brothers and cousins ​​jockeyed to seek dominance, and Iran and Turkey chose their proxies. The difference is that there are more Barzani brothers fighting for them.  
      
    Rubin concluded: Transitions can be messy in democracies; But it can be more difficult in dictatorships. It is never too late for the United States to support a more genuine democracy in Iraqi Kurdistan because the stability of dictatorships is an illusion.  
      
    Michael Rubin is a contributing editor at 1945 and a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI). He also co-authored and edited several books related to the Middle East, Kurdish studies, and Shiite politics. He is known for his tendency to oppose and oppose the rulers of the Kurdistan region of Iraq, and he criticized them repeatedly on several occasions and research papers. Kurdish writers and politicians responded to him as being far-right and uninfluential in America and working for “parties.” immersed and ineffective.  
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