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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Welcome to the Neno's Place!

Neno's Place Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality


Neno

I can be reached by phone or text 8am-7pm cst 972-768-9772 or, once joining the board I can be reached by a (PM) Private Message.

Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

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Established in 2006 as a Community of Reality

Many Topics Including The Oldest Dinar Community. Copyright © 2006-2020


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    The Exchange Rate of Foreign Currency in Economic Feasibility Studies

    Neno
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    Post by Neno Wed 27 Mar 2013, 2:26 pm

    First topic message reminder :

    Shared with me today from another member and we would like to read all comments and thoughts. TY ~Neno

    The Exchange Rate of Foreign Currency in Economic Feasibility Studies


    Below
    are the central controls related to the exchange rate of the foreign
    currency to convert the project inputs and outputs from foreign currency
    to its equivalent in the local currency, and that is by calculating the
    net discounted present value standard and the internal return on
    investments in economic analysis that governs investment projects that
    costs excess one million dinars.




    Estimate the shadow price of foreign currency:



    1. It
    is necessary to put central controls to amend the official exchange
    rate * to reflect the shadow price of the foreign currency
    , and that is considered one of the necessary requirements to implement the
    net discounted present value standard and the internal return rate on
    investment in the economic calculation stated in the instructions,
    paragraph nine.



    The
    central controls for adjusting market prices distinguished a group of
    outputs and inputs traded internationally, where the projects production
    or usage of them is reflected on the abundance of foreign currency in
    the economy and thus project outputs or inputs used of such are
    considered purely foreign currency outputs or inputs.








    * What is meant by exchange rate: the number of units of foreign currency, expressed in dollar per one dinar.

    In particular the following outputs and inputs of foreign currency were distinguished:




    · Export-outputs.

    · Outputs marketed locally that substitute imports.

    · Imported inputs.

    · Inputs produced locally that usually go to exports.

    · Foreign labor.


    According
    to the pricing rules the value of the output and input (traded) is
    calculated using export prices (FOB) and import prices (CIF), according
    to what is listed in the pricing rules.



    In
    other words the pricing rules calculate what the project produces from
    foreign currency (quantity of exports multiplied by the export price
    (FOB) in foreign currency or the quantity of
    substitute
    imports multiplied by the import price (CIF) in foreign currency, as
    well as what the project uses from foreign currency and imported inputs
    multiplied by the import price (CIF) in foreign currency .... etc.).


    In
    a later step, project outputs and inputs must be converted from the
    foreign currency to its equivalent in local currency (dinars) by using a
    specific exchange rate for the foreign currency.





    2. Justifications for exchange-rate adjustment:
    there are a number of important and powerful arguments which support
    the view that the official exchange rate reduces the real value of
    foreign currency for purposes of calculating the economic
    national profitability for investment projects and hence for the
    purposes of investment planning. It is demonstrated in this context to
    call for assessing the dinar for less than (3.208) dollar (official
    exchange rate) when assessing project outputs and inputs of traded goods
    of exports,
    substitute imports and imports... etc.



    The justifications to call for the use of an exchange rate that is lower than the official exchange rate are:



    · The
    use of an exchange rate that is lower than the official rate is the
    appropriate action at the investment planning level to translate the
    country’s economic strategy aiming at stimulating central investments in
    the sectors that encourage the development of non-oil exports, as well
    as sectors that encourage the expansion of domestic production base in
    order to reduce imports and compensate it with local
    commodities.
    This helps to reduce reliance on foreign exchange earnings from crude
    oil exports and increases the share of non-oil sectors in the local
    production.




    · The
    application of the amended exchange rate on project imported inputs
    will assist in directing investments away from aggregated sectors
    dependent on imported inputs and the preference of those sectors that
    rely on locally produced inputs.




    · The
    use of the amended exchange rate helps to correct the balance in favor
    of the traded goods sectors compared to non-traded goods.




    · The
    real exchange rate has declined rapidly since the early seventies,
    through rapid rise of the level of prices and local costs which led by
    the steadiness of the official exchange rate to change in prices and
    actual local rate costs that gave an advantage for imported goods at the
    expense of locally produced goods, meaning that it led to deterioration
    of the competitiveness of alternative replacement goods and export
    commodities.




    · This
    action shows that the official exchange rate overestimates the value of
    the dinar, compared to the foreign currency and from the promoting
    goods substituting imports and export commodities point of view of.




    And in support to this view is the state’s utilization and in a broad approach to the customs
    and quantitative protection policies especially for consumer goods, as
    well as export subsidies that exports have through an amended export
    exchange rate.






    3. Estimate
    the amended exchange rate of the Iraqi dinar to be used in technical
    and economical feasibility studies and for (1.134) dollar per dinar
    . This price should be approved for 3 years until re-appreciation by the competent authorities.

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    Post by duck2000 Wed 27 Mar 2013, 5:13 pm

    yes this article came out about three years ago it was a computer program that came up with those figuers if i remember correctly and has no bering on the offical rate forth coming !!
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    Post by country70girl Wed 27 Mar 2013, 5:19 pm

    Thanks Neno. And I like what duck2000
    said has no bering on the offical rate forth coming !!
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    Post by Neno Wed 27 Mar 2013, 5:23 pm

    duck2000 wrote:yes this article came out about three years ago it was a computer program that came up with those figuers if i remember correctly and has no bering on the offical rate forth coming !!
    Y'all here that, "On The Official Rate"... ;)
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    Post by Neno Wed 27 Mar 2013, 5:25 pm

    country70girl wrote:Thanks Neno. And I like what duck2000
    I just want everyone to remember this, that they do play with figures for a Official Rate (I have always called it the Real Rate) to come..... ;)
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    Post by Screwball Wed 27 Mar 2013, 5:26 pm

    Jetsa wrote:I can do better than "I've seen this before". This is from a meeting in London from 3 or so years ago. At the time, we assumed that rate was for the implementation of the projects between big oil companies and Iraq because the meeting was titlted something like "Business in Iraq". The $1.34 (or whatever that rate was in the post), we assumed at the time, was the rate that the businesses would use to conduct business in Iraq until the real rate was revealed because at this time, Iraq was promoting businesses to come into Iraq, as in Iraq is now open for business. Someone had even posted the link for an invitation to the event if you desired to go.



    Old stuff but good stuff. Maybe reposted but I would have no idea why an official reposting of it would occur.

    I will add to this to say I dont remember much but I do remember this and I also remember something on the MOF website! so I think this rate was in play three years ago and they could possibly move to the big rate of 3+! either way we are winners!
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    Post by Screwball Wed 27 Mar 2013, 5:27 pm

    agree with duck! yes I know doesnt happen very often! but i believe oficial rate will be 3+
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    Post by Neno Wed 27 Mar 2013, 5:29 pm

    Screwball wrote:agree with duck! yes I know doesnt happen very often! but i believe oficial rate will be 3+
    LOL, looks like you were on it today, TY Bro... ;)
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    Post by Screwball Wed 27 Mar 2013, 5:32 pm

    and if I remember correctly there was something also posted on MOF website regarding contract rate!????? to be used on contracts!
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    Post by costar01 Wed 27 Mar 2013, 5:48 pm

    I just wish they would do it. either will work, cause I don't have to cash in every thing at once.
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    Post by Jetsa Wed 27 Mar 2013, 9:22 pm

    If I remember right. we read the minutes of the meetings with the highlights of what we were interested in. I seem to remember the contract rates being mentioned the same as the 1.134. That rate was like they were saying, this is the rate we will use to do business in Iraq, big business, so come on in, the water is fine.

    Neno, I don't remember or know of an "ammended rate", other than the rate we are all waiting to see. What intrigues me now is Moon telling them to get the issues with Kuwait done by the end of this month. Now if this article on the 1.134 was reposted and is not just a rehash of the London meeting 3+ years ago, there may be some merit.

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