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War on Syria Policy questions and gas maps
18/4/2018 12:00 am [rtl]Ali Hassan al-Fawaz When the war begins, politics falls, but in return it announces paths or other options for that war, where the questions are more ambiguous, and the solutions are more likely to be different. Perhaps what happened during the tripartite military strike - the US, British, French - on Syria reveals - in essence - these contradictions, and the desire to change the known tracks, or perhaps the threat of political options in the form of economic sanctions pressing, or continue military options, which would To weaken the national capabilities of the state, as well as their impact on the nature of alliances and conflicts and everything related to the geopolitical nature of the region, and the repercussions of regional and international conflict in them .. The limitations of the military strike have stirred debate over its objectives, the future vision of the relationship with Russia, the Syrian government, or even with Iran and its allies. It is foolish to separate the Syrian file from the regional file and its known conflicts and the nature of its relationship with political, economic and security realities. The region , whose features will be determined by the realism of looking at the strategies of the relationship between the United States and Russia, and the roles of the main players in the region - Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia , Turkey, which revealed this strike limited directions for intersections in positions and interests, support for the military strike and rejection are political options first, and accounts have to do with the major powers Second, as well as the directions of the imposition of the status quo in Syria, which failed the US and regional project in Syria, especially after the emergence of opposition groups from their strongholds in the countryside of Damascus, which was an important pressure paper, at the level of political negotiations in Geneva and Astana, and at the level of threat to the Syrian state itself. Russia's insistence on emptying the eastern Ghouta of the militants was the most important option to ensure the negotiating power, the political and even the security force, and to express its support for the Syrian government. Despite all regional and international attempts to delay this emptying, the direct Russian intervention and the large logistical support of the Syrian army and allied forces With whom he played a major role in resolving the battle of the eastern Ghouta, and move to the stage of political options, but the United States and its allies found in keeping this reality a kind of difficult bets , the war threat paper was present to unload the policy of its usefulness, It has been lost to other options that will inevitably come up in the face of the days, especially with the French project that is likely to revive the Geneva negotiations and deal with the political circumstances in Syria. Politics, War and Economy This tripartite rule imposes itself in all wars, conflicts, interests and political calculations, and what has been happening in Syria since 2011 did not come out in essence from this rule. Apart from the contagion of the so-called (Arab Spring), only the assumption of control of the gas market and its corridors The strategy was one of the deep causes that linked politics to war and the economy, and gave ample space for many international and regional interventions . The war of the markets is the war of interests and political hegemony. It is also the operational option to confront Russia and to strip it of its most powerful instruments of pressure on Europe, which is related to Russian gas and its main consumption markets in Europe, which show its subsequent steps by trying to change the game's maps and implementing the de facto policy By controlling the Syrian and Iraqi geography and opening the gas route from the Gulf towards the Mediterranean Sea to Europe, which is an early danger to Russia, and it has bet on policy options and militarization to prevent the emergence of any kingdom of gas in its south and threaten its strategic economic security. Turkish gas pipeline to Turkey And even thinking about the so-called (Silk Road) as a trade route shortening the roads to Europe is not separated from the options of war and interests and politics, where the node (Syrian, Russian) is one of the most obstacles to the implementation of this project, which means the implementation of a strategic change in the maps of the region, Security policies and logistics of Israel. What is happening, and what is happening in Syria, imposes a new reality, and opens the horizons for dialogues of major interests, as will be an effective role in determining the identity of the next conflict, as well as limiting it to the regional political forces found in the Syrian issue and its bets and calculations to play an important and strategic role in the region . Syria will be clearly reflected on the resolution of these bets, and reconsider the many files and the conflict in the region , Dealing with the issue of maps of regional economies and international interests with more realistic eyes, as well as dealing with the Yemeni file, and the hidden conflict between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates over its division into the south and north. , And to calm the fears of the Emiratis on the future of its ports after the great attention to the port of Godar Pakistan and the great Chinese interest in [/rtl] [rtl]http://www.alsabaah.iq/ArticleShow.aspx?ID=155691 [/rtl] |
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