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[size=36]Al-Kazemi’s government decisive week .. and dangerous challenges await[/size]
Political | 11:37 - 01/05/2020
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Baghdad - Mawazine News
Despite the differences that have arisen in the negotiations to form the government of the Prime Minister-designate, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, he still enjoys the support of a wide network of politicians.
And if the negotiations go in the way of general agreement on the major issues and sub-discussions on the lesser issues, the Al-Kazemi government may see the light within five days, according to the available indicators.
And it seemed that the circle of opponents of Al-Kazemi narrowed and may fade, in light of the widening support for those who made any position against the efforts of forming the government tweeting out of tune.
Late on Thursday evening, political sources said that the "Saeron" and "Al-Fatah" Shiites, the largest bloc in the Iraqi parliament, had agreed to vote with the lineup of the commissioner, while Parliament Speaker Muhammad al-Halbousi, the leader of the largest Sunni political bloc, and Masoud Barzani, the leader of the largest Kurdish party of Al-Kazemi, is right next to them.
Well-informed political sources believe that the session to give confidence to the Al-Kazemi government, expected next Tuesday, "may turn into a carnival to announce support positions, after the major players realized that the passage of the new squad has become an achievement."
A member of the State of Law coalition, Saad al-Muttalabi, said that "Al-Kazemi agreed with the Shiite forces on a list of candidates to fill ministerial portfolios in the new government."
Al-Muttalabi added, "The position of the rule of law will go with the national consensus. If there is a conviction among other parties to vote for the new formation, we will support this approach."
Al-Kazemi's general support from the political class in Iraq only reveals one aspect of the country's general landscape, as everyone knows that the challenges awaiting the new government do not leave much room for optimism.
Even if Al-Kazemi succeeds in passing his ministry with the freedom of choice, the synchronization between the Corona pandemic and the collapse of oil prices in world markets will put the new government under tremendous pressure.
In practice, the government faltered in paying the salaries of nearly 100,000 employees at the Ministry of Electricity for the work of last April, amid expectations of a similar inability to pay the salaries of millions of other employees at the end of this month.
In addition to the collapse of oil prices, Iraq agreed to abandon the export of about one million barrels of its market share in the world markets, amounting to three million and eight hundred thousand barrels per day, within the framework of the "OPEC +" agreement, which aims to reduce the oversupply of crude.
According to semi-official data, Iraq has not found a single buyer during the past seven days, because of its oil production. This means that its imports will decrease significantly in the foreseeable future.
Iraq relies on oil revenues to finance nearly 95 percent of the total spending levels in the annual budget.
It is estimated that Iraqi revenues from the sale of oil will decrease by two-thirds until next August.
During the years of abundant oil prices, Iraq spends about half of its estimated revenue of nearly $ 100 billion to pay the salaries of civil servants, military personnel, and retirees, in addition to the sums allocated to public service and support for many sectors.
Observers say that the Al-Kazemi government may be born dead in light of the current critical economic conditions, but those around the Prime Minister-designate see in these challenges opportunities to emerge and review the possibilities.
And deputies in the Iraqi parliament believe that Al-Kazemi is betting on a proven record in international relations, topped by strong ties with the United States and Saudi Arabia.
Representatives suggested that Al-Kazemi may conceal a quote that holds a number of international promises, made by a partial exemption for Iraq from adhering to the "OPEC +" agreement, as well as financial and in-kind subsidies in the areas of energy, health and electricity. End 6/6 N
Despite the differences that have arisen in the negotiations to form the government of the Prime Minister-designate, Mustafa Al-Kazemi, he still enjoys the support of a wide network of politicians.
And if the negotiations go in the way of general agreement on the major issues and sub-discussions on the lesser issues, the Al-Kazemi government may see the light within five days, according to the available indicators.
And it seemed that the circle of opponents of Al-Kazemi narrowed and may fade, in light of the widening support for those who made any position against the efforts of forming the government tweeting out of tune.
Late on Thursday evening, political sources said that the "Saeron" and "Al-Fatah" Shiites, the largest bloc in the Iraqi parliament, had agreed to vote with the lineup of the commissioner, while Parliament Speaker Muhammad al-Halbousi, the leader of the largest Sunni political bloc, and Masoud Barzani, the leader of the largest Kurdish party of Al-Kazemi, is right next to them.
Well-informed political sources believe that the session to give confidence to the Al-Kazemi government, expected next Tuesday, "may turn into a carnival to announce support positions, after the major players realized that the passage of the new squad has become an achievement."
A member of the State of Law coalition, Saad al-Muttalabi, said that "Al-Kazemi agreed with the Shiite forces on a list of candidates to fill ministerial portfolios in the new government."
Al-Muttalabi added, "The position of the rule of law will go with the national consensus. If there is a conviction among other parties to vote for the new formation, we will support this approach."
Al-Kazemi's general support from the political class in Iraq only reveals one aspect of the country's general landscape, as everyone knows that the challenges awaiting the new government do not leave much room for optimism.
Even if Al-Kazemi succeeds in passing his ministry with the freedom of choice, the synchronization between the Corona pandemic and the collapse of oil prices in world markets will put the new government under tremendous pressure.
In practice, the government faltered in paying the salaries of nearly 100,000 employees at the Ministry of Electricity for the work of last April, amid expectations of a similar inability to pay the salaries of millions of other employees at the end of this month.
In addition to the collapse of oil prices, Iraq agreed to abandon the export of about one million barrels of its market share in the world markets, amounting to three million and eight hundred thousand barrels per day, within the framework of the "OPEC +" agreement, which aims to reduce the oversupply of crude.
According to semi-official data, Iraq has not found a single buyer during the past seven days, because of its oil production. This means that its imports will decrease significantly in the foreseeable future.
Iraq relies on oil revenues to finance nearly 95 percent of the total spending levels in the annual budget.
It is estimated that Iraqi revenues from the sale of oil will decrease by two-thirds until next August.
During the years of abundant oil prices, Iraq spends about half of its estimated revenue of nearly $ 100 billion to pay the salaries of civil servants, military personnel, and retirees, in addition to the sums allocated to public service and support for many sectors.
Observers say that the Al-Kazemi government may be born dead in light of the current critical economic conditions, but those around the Prime Minister-designate see in these challenges opportunities to emerge and review the possibilities.
And deputies in the Iraqi parliament believe that Al-Kazemi is betting on a proven record in international relations, topped by strong ties with the United States and Saudi Arabia.
Representatives suggested that Al-Kazemi may conceal a quote that holds a number of international promises, made by a partial exemption for Iraq from adhering to the "OPEC +" agreement, as well as financial and in-kind subsidies in the areas of energy, health and electricity. End 6/6 N
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