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An international study refutes 3 hypotheses about the protests: shocking results for senior officials
February 21, 2020
The study showed unpleasant results for Getty politicians
Ultra Iraq - Editorial Team
An international exploratory study showed widespread popular support for the protests that the country has been witnessing for months, and it also revealed great support for demonstrations in the Kurdistan region and the liberated areas.
The study confirmed that 85% of Iraqis absolutely support the demonstrations, compared to less than 10% who see it as an external conspiracy
The director of the Middle East and North Africa at the Gallup Foundation for International Research, Dr. Munqeth Dagher, published the results of the survey carried out by the independent group of researchers representing the institution, which included more than two thousand samples of Iraqis randomly selected.
The executive summary of the study on the demonstrations that erupted in October of 2019 and continues to this day, stated that "the research that was conducted with Iraqis representing all governorates of Iraq and various social, demographic, economic, educational and sexual segments relied on more than 2000 face-to-face interviews And by using the computer by the researchers of the group and according to the latest technology used in this field. "
The poll was conducted during the month of February, when the PPS method was used . "
The most important results indicate that there is absolute support for more than 85% of demonstrations in various regions, including more than 80% of support among the Kurds, while the percentage has reached much more than that in the rest of the country.
It also showed a similar level of great support in the various southern governorates and Baghdad, as the provinces of Diyala, Kirkuk and Mosul recorded the highest levels of support compared to the rest of the governorates that were occupied (or parts thereof) by ISIS.
The poll showed that the two highest demands for support from the Iraqis are to hold accountable those responsible for killing and repressing the demonstrators, and then early elections
The study also showed that "the percentage of Iraqis who support the demands of the demonstrations and consider them legitimate is more than 90%, while the percentage of those who say they are illegal does not exceed 5%, 10% believe that the protests are an" external plot ".
The study indicated that the two highest demands for support from the Iraqis are to hold accountable those responsible for killing and repressing the demonstrators and then early elections.
In terms of participating in the protests, about 50% of the Shiites and more than 15% of the Sunnis reported that they personally participated in these demonstrations in different ways and for at least once, while the citizens of Mosul and Tikrit showed "the highest desire to participate in the demonstrations if they erupted in their provinces compared to In the rest of the provinces where demonstrations did not erupt, "according to the study.
The study showed unpleasant results for prominent political figures, as it confirmed that "the Iraqis did not exclude any of the major political leaders from discontent with their political performance, and none of the political leaders (except the Kurds) was able to reach a barrier of 20% of confidence in their performance."
The study concluded that the aforementioned results show a "mistake" hypothesis that the demonstrations do not represent the majority of Iraqis. Since the poll conducted last year, support for the demonstrations has increased at a very large rate in all regions of Iraq, as well as the hypothesis that the demonstrations stand behind an external conspiracy as he did not support this hypothesis Only less than 10%.
Among the "wrong hypotheses" that the study indicated is the hypothesis "that there is no high participation in the demonstrations," indicating that "50% of the population of Baghdad and the southern governorates reported that they actually participated in one way or another and at least once during the past five months with these demonstrations, as they appeared A good percentage of the Sunni youth who participated in it too, "noting that" things seem likely to escalate in the provinces liberated from ISIS. "
The study said that the results showed a significant and unprecedented decline in the popularity of all important political leaders
The study concluded with a reference to "the existence of support for some political leaders, in return for a significant and unprecedented decline in the popularity of all important political leaders without exception."