Will the calls for calm in Iraq succeed, or will things take an upward direction?

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[size=52]Will the calls for calm in Iraq succeed, or will things take an upward direction?[/size]

[size=52][size=48][size=31]“The escalation and expansion of the protest movement and the attempt to disrupt the choice of the prime minister will not end the political blockage in the country.”[/size][/size][/size]
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 FRIDAY 29 JULY 2022 

[size=45]IRAQI PROTESTERS AFTER LEAVING THE PARLIAMENT BUILDING[/size]


[size=45]POLITICAL MATTERS IN IRAQ SEEM TO BE HEADING TOWARDS A DANGEROUS ESCALATION THAT WILL REFLECT IN THE FUTURE ON THE COUNTRY’S SITUATION, AFTER THE PEAK  [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]  BETWEEN THE “COORDINATING FRAMEWORK” AND THE “ [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] ” REACHED THE STREET. DESPITE THE CALLS FOR CALM AND THE SEARCH FOR A POLITICAL EXIT THROUGH POLITICAL NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN THE TWO PARTIES TO THE CONFLICT, CONCERN IS THE MASTER OF THE SITUATION THAT IT WILL FAIL BECAUSE OF THE INTRANSIGENCE OF THE PARTIES TO FORM THE NEW GOVERNMENT.[/size]
[size=45]THE GOVERNMENT IS COMMITTED TO MAINTAINING SECURITY[/size]
[size=45]THE PRIME MINISTER AND COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF OF THE ARMED FORCES, MUSTAFA AL-KAZEMI, REITERATED HIS GOVERNMENT'S INSISTENCE ON IMPOSING SECURITY IN ALL REGIONS, INDICATING THAT HE IS COMMITTED TO PROTECTING SOCIAL PEACE AND DIPLOMATIC MISSIONS.[/size]
[size=45]A STATEMENT FROM AL-KAZEMI'S OFFICE SAID THAT HE "CHAIRED THURSDAY AN EXPANDED MEETING THAT BROUGHT TOGETHER THE SECURITY LEADERS OF THE ARMED FORCES TO DISCUSS THE COURSE OF WHAT HAPPENED DURING  YESTERDAY'S [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]  (WEDNESDAY) IN THE GREEN ZONE, AND THE MECHANISM FOR PROTECTING DEMONSTRATIONS TO ENSURE THAT PEACEFUL DEMONSTRATORS ARE NOT EXPOSED."[/size]
[size=45]AL-KAZEMI STRESSED THAT "THE GOVERNMENT IS COMMITTED TO ITS DUTY TO MAINTAIN SECURITY, ENSURE SOCIAL PEACE, AND PROTECT PUBLIC AND PRIVATE INSTITUTIONS, AND DIPLOMATIC MISSIONS."[/size]
[size=45]HE REITERATED THAT THE SECURITY SERVICES PERFORM THEIR ROLE IN ACCORDANCE WITH THE LAW, TO PROTECT GOVERNMENT INSTITUTIONS AND INTERNATIONAL MISSIONS, AND TO PREVENT ANY ATTEMPT TO DISTURB SECURITY AND PUBLIC ORDER.[/size]
[size=45]CALM CALLS[/size]
[size=45]IN ADDITION, THE POLITICAL RESEARCHER, NABIL JABBAR AL-ALI, RULED OUT THAT “CALLS FOR CALM WILL AFFECT THE ARENA OF INTERNAL CONFLICTS, AND SOME LOCAL AGENDAS OR THE BEHAVIOR OF INTERNAL PARTIES MAY CAUSE THE CRISIS TO INTENSIFY AND ESCALATE, TO FINALLY REACH THE ARMED CONFRONTATION.”[/size]
[size=45]HE CONTINUED, "WHAT WE ARE EXPERIENCING TODAY FROM EVENTS THAT WERE PREDICTED BY MANY FROM INSIDE AND OUTSIDE IRAQ DURING THE DAYS OF THE CONFLICT WITH ISIS, AND DESCRIBED THEM IN THE POST-ISIS PHASE, REPRESENTED BY THE ARMED STRUGGLES OF THE GROUPS THAT FORMED AND GREW DURING THE PERIOD OF THE EXPANSION OF TERRORISM IN LIGHT OF THE ABSENCE OF THE STATE AND THE WEAKNESS OF ITS SECURITY INSTITUTIONS."[/size]
[size=45]HE ADDED, "IRAQ TODAY IS FACING A DIFFICULT LABOR, EITHER MOVING TO THE STAGE OF AUTHORITARIANISM AND TYRANNY AS A RESULT OF THE BATTLE OF BREAKING POLITICAL WILL, OR EMERGING AS A STRONGER DEMOCRATIC COUNTRY CAPABLE OF SOLVING ITS PROBLEMS WITH THE TOOLS OF DEMOCRACY, POLITICAL NEGOTIATION AND ACCEPTANCE OF THE OTHER."[/size]
[size=45]POLITICAL BLOCKAGE[/size]
[size=45]MEANWHILE, POLITICAL RESEARCHER SALEH LAFTA REVEALED THAT "THE ESCALATION AND EXPANSION OF THE PROTEST MOVEMENT, THE CONTINUATION OF DEMONSTRATIONS, AND THE ATTEMPT TO DISRUPT THE CHOICE OF THE PRIME MINISTER WILL NOT END THE POLITICAL BLOCKAGE IN IRAQ, AND AT THE SAME TIME, THINGS WILL NOT LEAD TO THE OUTBREAK OF AN ARMED CONFLICT BETWEEN POLITICAL PARTIES AND BLOCS."[/size]
[size=45]LAFTA CITED THIS BY SAYING, “WE REMEMBER HOW THE PREVIOUS PROTESTS, CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE, AND THE SUSPENSION OF WORK IN ALL STATE INSTITUTIONS TO PRESSURE FOR NEW ELECTIONS DID NOT ACHIEVE THE PEOPLE’S GOALS OF FORMING A GOVERNMENT AWAY FROM THE TRADITIONAL RULING PARTIES, AND THOSE SAME PARTIES CAME OUT WINNING. REDUCING THE ESCALATION OR RESORTING TO CALM DEPENDS ON THE EXTENT TO WHICH THE LEADERS OF THE BLOCS AGREE ON THEIR INTERESTS AND AGREE ON THE PARTICIPATION OF GOVERNANCE.”[/size]
[size=45]HE CONTINUED, "IT IS NOT THE RIGHT OF ANY POLITICAL PARTY TO TAKE EVERYTHING ON ITS OWN. EITHER PARTICIPATION OR VIOLENCE. THEREFORE, EACH PARTY RESORTS TO TRYING TO BLACKMAIL THE OTHER PARTY AND TO SHOW GREAT TOUGHNESS IN POSITIONS AND TO THREATEN TO GO FAR FOR WHAT IS NOT GOOD. THEN THE KNOT IS UNRAVELED AND THE PARTIES AGREE WITHOUT A LOSER. THERE IS NO SOLUTION BUT THE CALM THAT GUARANTEES EACH SIDE GETS WHAT IT WANTS.”[/size]
[size=45]HE BELIEVES, “ANY CITIZEN HAS THE RIGHT TO EXPRESS HIS OPINION AND TRY TO CONVEY HIS VOICE TO THOSE WHO HAVE THE SOLUTION, BUT CITIZENS MUST ACCEPT THE FAIT ACCOMPLI AND LEAVE ASIDE ESCALATION AND RESORTING TO VIOLENCE. WHEN THE LEADERS OF THE BLOCS AGREE, NO ONE WILL CARE ABOUT THEIR DEMANDS.”[/size]
[size=45]DANGEROUS ESCALATION[/size]
[size=45]POLITICAL ANALYST, ALI AL-BAYDAR, BELIEVES THAT "SO FAR, THERE ARE NO POSSIBLE SOLUTIONS TO GET THE COUNTRY OUT OF THE CRISIS IT IS EXPERIENCING. PERHAPS THERE ARE PARTIES THAT WANT TO STRIKE OPPONENTS TOGETHER IN ORDER TO DOMINATE THE SCENE, WHILE THERE IS NO PARTY THAT PRESENTS AN INITIATIVE TO BRIDGE THE RIFT BETWEEN THE VARIOUS PARTIES."[/size]
[size=45]AL-BAYDAR EXPECTED THAT "THE SITUATION IS HEADING TO ESCALATE AND WE MAY WITNESS A POSSIBLE CONFRONTATION BETWEEN THE TWO PARTIES, NURI AL-MALIKI AND HIS COMPANIONS ON THE SIDE OF THE SADRIST MOVEMENT, AND THIS MAY LEAD TO A CIVIL WAR."[/size]
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