Despite Sudanese's call, analysts rule out America's withdrawal soon: repeated voices
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]An Iraqi soldier during a security deployment
2024-01-11 12:38
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Shafaq News/ The American “Breaking Defense” website reported that although Iraqi Prime Minister Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani spoke twice within a few days about his call for American forces to leave Iraq, and quickly, analysts said that the call was empty of its content, and that American soldiers would not They leave soon.
The American report, translated by Shafaq News Agency, was quoted as: Analyst Norman Ricklefs, who worked with the US government in Iraq and was previously an advisor to the Iraqi Minister of the Interior, said, “I do not see any opportunity for US forces to leave Iraq in the near future,” adding, “These military advisors are there at the direct invitation of the Iraqi government, and it can ask them.” "They can leave tomorrow if they wish, but American and coalition forces are needed to support the Iraqi armed forces in their fight against ISIS."
According to Ricklefs, the Dubai-based analyst, the withdrawal of coalition forces now may lead to an escalation of terrorism in Iraq, which is something that no one wants to see, including the Iraqi government itself.
The report stated that Al-Sudani said on January 5, the day after the American assassination of a military leader in one of the Iraqi armed factions, that the Iraqi government was taking the first steps towards withdrawing American and coalition forces “permanently,” by setting a date for a meeting of the joint committee between the two countries to discuss How to do that? Then, in an interview with Reuters yesterday, Al-Sudani went further than that when he called for a “quick” withdrawal so that “the matter does not last long and the mutual attacks continue” between the American forces and the Iranian-backed militias.
The report indicated that immediately before these statements, American officials were optimistic about the issue of their continued presence in Iraq, as the American newspaper “Politico” quoted a US State Department cable as saying that Al-Sudani told American officials in private meetings that he wanted the continued presence of American forces. He called for their exit only in order to calm internal pressures.
The report quoted the senior researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, John Alterman, as saying that there is no doubt that the Iraqis can fight terrorists without the need for American support, but “they will be less effective and the cost to them will be higher, and this is a pressure point for the United States to negotiate.” On the terms of our continued engagement.
Alterman considered, according to what was quoted in the American report, that the continued American military presence “serves the needs of the United States and the needs of the Iraqi government, despite the continued presence of voices inside Iraq, as has been the case for many years, demanding the withdrawal of the United States,” adding that he does not believe that Many people are excited about the presence of foreign forces on their lands, but among security leaders in Iraq, fighting ISIS alone represents a frightening prospect.
The report recalled the statement of the Pentagon spokesman when carrying out the “self-defense strike” against the leader of the Al-Nujaba movement, where he stated that it was the United States that helped, about 10 years ago, to remove ISIS from the Iraqi capital when the organization was 24 kilometers away from the city. The city, and took control of large areas of Iraq and Syria, adding, "No one wants to see the return of ISIS, and our focus will continue on the mission of defeating ISIS. But again, we will not hesitate to protect our forces if they are threatened."
The report indicated that military analyst Ahmed Al-Sharifi, who resides in Iraq, believed that American forces would not leave anywhere, for broader geopolitical reasons, explaining that “the United States and the international coalition will not leave Iraq, and the reason is that the mandate is an international mandate, and whoever enters "With a UN decision, it will not come out except with another decision."
Al-Sharifi continued, saying, "The United States sees Iraq as an integral part of security guarantees for its national interests, and not providing an opportunity for expansion for China and Russia."
Regarding how and when US forces will eventually depart, the report quoted Ricklefs as saying, “It is a matter of circumstances, and depends on the ability of Iraqi forces to operate independently. This is likely to require several years in the future.”
Translated by: Shafaq News Agency
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[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]An Iraqi soldier during a security deployment
2024-01-11 12:38
Share
Font
Shafaq News/ The American “Breaking Defense” website reported that although Iraqi Prime Minister Muhammad Shiaa Al-Sudani spoke twice within a few days about his call for American forces to leave Iraq, and quickly, analysts said that the call was empty of its content, and that American soldiers would not They leave soon.
The American report, translated by Shafaq News Agency, was quoted as: Analyst Norman Ricklefs, who worked with the US government in Iraq and was previously an advisor to the Iraqi Minister of the Interior, said, “I do not see any opportunity for US forces to leave Iraq in the near future,” adding, “These military advisors are there at the direct invitation of the Iraqi government, and it can ask them.” "They can leave tomorrow if they wish, but American and coalition forces are needed to support the Iraqi armed forces in their fight against ISIS."
According to Ricklefs, the Dubai-based analyst, the withdrawal of coalition forces now may lead to an escalation of terrorism in Iraq, which is something that no one wants to see, including the Iraqi government itself.
The report stated that Al-Sudani said on January 5, the day after the American assassination of a military leader in one of the Iraqi armed factions, that the Iraqi government was taking the first steps towards withdrawing American and coalition forces “permanently,” by setting a date for a meeting of the joint committee between the two countries to discuss How to do that? Then, in an interview with Reuters yesterday, Al-Sudani went further than that when he called for a “quick” withdrawal so that “the matter does not last long and the mutual attacks continue” between the American forces and the Iranian-backed militias.
The report indicated that immediately before these statements, American officials were optimistic about the issue of their continued presence in Iraq, as the American newspaper “Politico” quoted a US State Department cable as saying that Al-Sudani told American officials in private meetings that he wanted the continued presence of American forces. He called for their exit only in order to calm internal pressures.
The report quoted the senior researcher at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, John Alterman, as saying that there is no doubt that the Iraqis can fight terrorists without the need for American support, but “they will be less effective and the cost to them will be higher, and this is a pressure point for the United States to negotiate.” On the terms of our continued engagement.
Alterman considered, according to what was quoted in the American report, that the continued American military presence “serves the needs of the United States and the needs of the Iraqi government, despite the continued presence of voices inside Iraq, as has been the case for many years, demanding the withdrawal of the United States,” adding that he does not believe that Many people are excited about the presence of foreign forces on their lands, but among security leaders in Iraq, fighting ISIS alone represents a frightening prospect.
The report recalled the statement of the Pentagon spokesman when carrying out the “self-defense strike” against the leader of the Al-Nujaba movement, where he stated that it was the United States that helped, about 10 years ago, to remove ISIS from the Iraqi capital when the organization was 24 kilometers away from the city. The city, and took control of large areas of Iraq and Syria, adding, "No one wants to see the return of ISIS, and our focus will continue on the mission of defeating ISIS. But again, we will not hesitate to protect our forces if they are threatened."
The report indicated that military analyst Ahmed Al-Sharifi, who resides in Iraq, believed that American forces would not leave anywhere, for broader geopolitical reasons, explaining that “the United States and the international coalition will not leave Iraq, and the reason is that the mandate is an international mandate, and whoever enters "With a UN decision, it will not come out except with another decision."
Al-Sharifi continued, saying, "The United States sees Iraq as an integral part of security guarantees for its national interests, and not providing an opportunity for expansion for China and Russia."
Regarding how and when US forces will eventually depart, the report quoted Ricklefs as saying, “It is a matter of circumstances, and depends on the ability of Iraqi forces to operate independently. This is likely to require several years in the future.”
Translated by: Shafaq News Agency
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